
Will Tractor Supply (TSCO) beat quarterly earnings?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
As of market creation, Tractor Supply is estimated to release earnings on April 21, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Tractor Supply's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.35 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tractor Supply reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.35 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Tractor Supply releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Ticker
tsco-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-04-21-2026-0pt35
Volume
5.8K
Open interest
5.3K
Liquidity
—
Start
Apr 7, 2026
End
Apr 21, 2026
Status
Closed
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 7, 2026
Resolution source
https://seekingalpha.com/
Event ID
351685
Slug
tsco-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-04-21-2026-0pt35
Markets
1
Raw event data
{
"id": "351685",
"ticker": "tsco-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-04-21-2026-0pt35",
"slug": "tsco-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-04-21-2026-0pt35",
"title": "Will Tractor Supply (TSCO) beat quarterly earnings?",
"description": "As of market creation, Tractor Supply is estimated to release earnings on April 21, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Tractor Supply's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.35 as of market creation. This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Tractor Supply reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.35 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\" The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. \n\nIf Tractor Supply releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” \n\nNote: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).\nNote: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. \nNote: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.\nNote: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.\nNote: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.\nNote: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.\nNote: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.\n",
"resolutionSource": "https://seekingalpha.com/",
"startDate": "2026-04-07T16:07:57.616308Z",
"creationDate": "2026-04-07T16:07:57.616305Z",
"endDate": "2026-04-21T13:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tsco-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-04-21-2026-0pt35-5EpXGBH2bYHx.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tsco-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-04-21-2026-0pt35-5EpXGBH2bYHx.png",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"volume": 5769.933185,
"openInterest": 5318.452461,
"sortBy": "ascending",
"createdAt": "2026-04-06T22:02:34.288175Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-24T07:07:11.713718Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"negRisk": false,
"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1896798",
"question": "Will Tractor Supply (TSCO) beat quarterly earnings?",
"conditionId": "0xcf5eed900375db73fd3f389260038db1cb87321b5212dac06320ecbfe6cfe3d0",
"slug": "tsco-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-04-21-2026-0pt35",
"resolutionSource": "https://seekingalpha.com/",
"endDate": "2026-04-21T13:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-07T16:06:30.633222Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tsco-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-04-21-2026-0pt35-5EpXGBH2bYHx.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tsco-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-04-21-2026-0pt35-5EpXGBH2bYHx.png",
"description": "As of market creation, Tractor Supply is estimated to release earnings on April 21, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Tractor Supply's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.35 as of market creation. This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Tractor Supply reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.35 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\" The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. \n\nIf Tractor Supply releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” \n\nNote: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).\nNote: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. \nNote: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.\nNote: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.\nNote: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.\nNote: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.\nNote: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.\n",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "5769.933185",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-06T22:02:34.922774Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-22T16:03:09.933466Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-21 16:22:50+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0xc0c1ebe1542ba3826791b60f0915348299d84eaecb0e035628d304522709a851",
"umaEndDate": "2026-04-21T16:22:50Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 5769.933185,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-21",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-07",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"2063175260527183955558319649882100549897110954753753481341008279520198559519\", \"90344689510578449539120082988240644649162287189208828788678262005191643490895\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 5769.933185,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-07T16:05:25Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.2345,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.4245,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-07T16:03:56.307772Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"eventStartTime": "2026-04-21T13:00:00Z",
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "economics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.05,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
}
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "102169",
"label": "Hide From New",
"slug": "hide-from-new",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-05-23T18:47:07.430147Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:28:28.912197Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "1013",
"label": "Earnings",
"slug": "earnings",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2024-02-06 19:27:48.024+00",
"createdAt": "2024-02-06T19:27:48.029Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:56:08.17449Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102676",
"label": "Equities",
"slug": "equities",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-10-14T20:02:08.297777Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T17:19:19.157114Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "120",
"label": "Finance",
"slug": "finance",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:22:21.615+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:22:21.62Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:17:43.066649Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"closedTime": "2026-04-21T16:22:50Z",
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": true,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"startTime": "2026-04-21T13:00:00Z",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Tractor Supply (TSCO) released Q1 2026 earnings on April 21, reporting GAAP diluted EPS of $0.31, well below the $0.35 consensus threshold, alongside revenue of $3.59 billion missing estimates of $3.64 billion and modest +0.5% comparable store sales amid softer companion animal demand and elevated SG&A expenses from accelerated store openings. This confirmed shortfall has driven Polymarket trader consensus to 100% \"No\" on a beat, reflecting skin-in-the-game alignment with official figures and reaffirmed fiscal 2026 guidance of $2.13–$2.23 EPS. Tail risks remain negligible, limited to immediate fat-finger errors in reporting, as subsequent restatements do not alter resolution per market rules.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-21T15:28:12.534Z"
}
}- Will Tractor Supply (TSCO) beat quarterly earnings?Vol 5.8KLiq —End Apr 21, 2026Closed