Will Trade Desk (TTD) beat quarterly earnings?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

As of market creation, Trade Desk is estimated to release earnings on May 7, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Trade Desk’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.32 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trade Desk reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.32 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Trade Desk releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Ticker

ttd-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-05-07-2026-0pt32

Volume

10

24h volume

10

1w volume

10

Open interest

10

Liquidity

15

Liquidity CLOB

15

Start

Apr 23, 2026

End

May 7, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Apr 23, 2026

Resolution source

https://seekingalpha.com/

Event ID

410694

Slug

ttd-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-05-07-2026-0pt32

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Will Trade Desk (TTD) beat quarterly earnings?",
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    "context_description": "Trader sentiment for Trade Desk (TTD) hinges on its Q1 2026 earnings release scheduled for May 7 after market close, with consensus analyst estimates calling for $679 million in revenue—roughly 10% year-over-year growth—and adjusted EPS around $0.30. The company's February guidance of at least $678 million revenue, below initial expectations of $688 million, tempered optimism despite Q4 2025 beats on $847 million revenue and $0.59 EPS, driving shares down over 35% year-to-date to near $23 amid ad market headwinds. CEO Jeff Green's recent $150 million insider purchase of 6 million shares has spurred a 5% weekly rebound, signaling confidence in CTV growth and AI tools, while prediction markets aggregate capital-backed views on a potential beat versus macro spending risks.",
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