Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

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    "context_description": "US-brokered talks between Ukraine and Russia have yielded incremental progress, including a 500-prisoner exchange in March and a mutual 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire in early April, with Ukrainian presidential chief Kyrylo Budanov stating on April 10 that maximalist positions on territorial disputes like Donbas are converging toward acceptable limits and a deal \"won't be long.\" However, ongoing Russian offensives, recent claims of Luhansk control, and unresolved sticking points on withdrawals and security guarantees have stalled broader advances, fostering trader consensus at 93.5% against a signed peace agreement by June 30 amid historical negotiation failures and spring military pressures. A pending US delegation visit led by envoys Witkoff and Kushner could catalyze movement, though comprehensive resolution faces steep barriers.",
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