
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify. An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward. Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
us-congress-member-out-over-epstein-files-before-april-30
Volume
10.0K
24h volume
1.9K
1w volume
2.1K
Open interest
5.2K
Liquidity
5.2K
Liquidity CLOB
5.2K
Start
Nov 20, 2025
End
Apr 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 20, 2025
Event ID
84804
Slug
us-congress-member-out-over-epstein-files-before-april-30
Markets
1
Raw event data
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"title": "U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?",
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"tags": [
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"publishedAt": "2023-11-16 16:28:14.421+00",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus at 98.4% \"No\" stems from the absence of new Epstein files revelations implicating sitting U.S. Congress members in scandals warranting resignation or expulsion by April 30. The DOJ's January release of 3.5 million pages under the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act yielded no such actionable evidence against current House or Senate members, despite prior unredacted reviews by lawmakers. Recent House Oversight Democratic calls on March 27 for private investigators to testify on 2005 evidence handling and the April 23 DOJ inspector general probe into release compliance have focused on procedural issues, not fresh allegations. With just days left, institutional inertia and lack of breaking developments underpin high confidence, though a surprise document drop or verified scandal could prompt rapid change.",
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"context_updated_at": "2026-04-26T10:44:09.185Z"
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}- U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?Vol 10.0KLiq 5.3KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book