Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

{
  "id": "343917",
  "ticker": "will-green-party-win-a-mayorship-in-the-2026-united-kingdom-local-elections",
  "slug": "will-green-party-win-a-mayorship-in-the-2026-united-kingdom-local-elections",
  "title": "Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?",
  "description": "United Kingdom local elections are currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a Green Party candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.\n\nOnly the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nResolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2026-04-14T22:03:28.056166Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-04-14T22:03:28.056163Z",
  "endDate": "2026-05-07T06:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/greens-b52e852131.png",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/greens-b52e852131.png",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 15904.7472,
  "volume": 27114.112278000008,
  "openInterest": 9184.453341,
  "createdAt": "2026-04-04T18:10:16.399016Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-04-21T11:39:47.076108Z",
  "competitive": 0.9765386587241522,
  "volume24hr": 2560.530899,
  "volume1wk": 27114.11227800001,
  "volume1mo": 27114.11227800001,
  "volume1yr": 27114.11227800001,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 15904.7472,
  "commentCount": 2,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "1864306",
      "question": "Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?",
      "conditionId": "0x847e9fb7f4a6a7efc1f36957fd62c3878d062450f5febe162bdfc880361a4f7d",
      "slug": "will-green-party-win-a-mayorship-in-the-2026-united-kingdom-local-elections",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-05-07T06:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "17085.473",
      "startDate": "2026-04-14T21:58:44.625801Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/greens-b52e852131.png",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/greens-b52e852131.png",
      "description": "United Kingdom local elections are currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a Green Party candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.\n\nOnly the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nResolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.675\", \"0.325\"]",
      "volume": "31765.112278000008",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-04-04T18:10:16.594701Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-21T11:38:55.548914Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0x9e93b66ed88d0339fe01326d789dd91814bebe9ed3879fd7d32ac2dfc83e6648",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 31765.112278000008,
      "liquidityNum": 17085.473,
      "endDateIso": "2026-05-07",
      "startDateIso": "2026-04-14",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 7211.530899,
      "volume1wk": 31765.11227800001,
      "volume1mo": 31765.11227800001,
      "volume1yr": 31765.11227800001,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"108217226965901842022265793660078996985291608502330297087146209004932194330485\", \"95762836298836607814939179696525349398875890374234589730845853961222308775326\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 7211.530899,
      "volume1wkClob": 31765.11227800001,
      "volume1moClob": 31765.11227800001,
      "volume1yrClob": 31765.11227800001,
      "volumeClob": 31765.112278000008,
      "liquidityClob": 17085.473,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-14T21:57:40Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.9702850212249848,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "clobRewards": [
        {
          "id": "185732",
          "conditionId": "0x847e9fb7f4a6a7efc1f36957fd62c3878d062450f5febe162bdfc880361a4f7d",
          "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
          "rewardsAmount": 0,
          "rewardsDailyRate": 60,
          "startDate": "2026-04-15",
          "endDate": "2500-12-31"
        }
      ],
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.01,
      "oneDayPriceChange": 0.15,
      "oneHourPriceChange": 0.02,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.66,
      "bestBid": 0.67,
      "bestAsk": 0.68,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-14T21:54:52.110205Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "eventStartTime": "2026-05-07T06:00:00Z",
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "100761",
      "label": "green",
      "slug": "green",
      "createdAt": "2024-10-08T01:29:36.554612Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T17:23:51.9943Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "1597",
      "label": "Global Elections",
      "slug": "global-elections",
      "forceShow": true,
      "publishedAt": "2024-03-07 20:44:01.258+00",
      "createdBy": 15,
      "updatedBy": 15,
      "createdAt": "2024-03-07T20:41:56.773Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T21:08:23.096987Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "1372",
      "label": "United Kingdom",
      "slug": "united-kingdom",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2024-02-21 00:15:43.905+00",
      "createdAt": "2024-02-21T00:15:43.919Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:31:50.16991Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "144",
      "label": "Elections",
      "slug": "elections",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:24:31.008+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:24:31.198Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T17:22:31.696566Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "734",
      "label": "uk",
      "slug": "uk",
      "publishedAt": "2023-12-13 20:16:30.79+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-12-13T20:16:30.802Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:23:34.257626Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "2",
      "label": "Politics",
      "slug": "politics",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "102788",
      "label": "Mayoral Elections",
      "slug": "mayoral-elections",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-10-30T21:09:39.366658Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:33:50.097595Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": true,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "startTime": "2026-05-07T06:00:00Z",
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Green Party trader consensus at 65.5% Yes for securing a mayorship in the May 7, 2026, UK local elections stems from surging momentum following their historic February Gorton and Denton parliamentary by-election victory—their first at Westminster level—overturning a Labour majority and attracting 15,000 new members. Polling firm Bombe's March projection shows Greens poised for 548 London council seats, the most of any party, amid Labour scandals eroding support in urban strongholds. The party fields candidates in key contested mayoral races including Lewisham (Liam Shrivastava), Hackney, Tower Hamlets, and Newham, capitalizing on disaffected progressive voters in these Labour-held boroughs, though no outright majority is assured in tight multicandidate fields.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-21T11:25:40.711Z"
  }
}