
Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
Drake's new album "ICEMAN" is expected to release in 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake's next officially released album debuts at No. 1 on the Billboard 200 albums chart for its first charted week following release. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Drake does not release a new album by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve as soon as Billboard publishes the first chart week in which the album appears. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/).
Ticker
will-iceman-debut-no1-on-billboard-200
Volume
1.1K
24h volume
1.1K
1w volume
1.1K
Open interest
759
Liquidity
5.1K
Liquidity CLOB
5.1K
Start
Apr 22, 2026
End
May 15, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 22, 2026
Event ID
407020
Slug
will-iceman-debut-no1-on-billboard-200
Markets
1
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Drake's Iceman, his ninth solo studio album set for May 15 release, commands an 88.5% market-implied probability of debuting at No. 1 on the Billboard 200, fueled by his unblemished record of eight consecutive No. 1 debuts and surging pre-release momentum from chart-topping singles like \"What Did I Miss,\" which hit No. 1 on R&B/Hip-Hop Airplay, and \"Which One\" with Central Cee tracking for a top-10 Hot 100 entry. The official release date announcement just 24 hours ago via Billboard and Variety has amplified hype, with fan projections exceeding 400,000 first-week units amid strong streaming buzz and minimal competition. Traders eye Hits Daily Double tracking updates this week as the key catalyst, though surprise rival releases could pose upset risks in this volatile chart race.",
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}- Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?Vol 1.1KLiq 5.1KEnd May 15, 2026OpenOrder book