Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

Drake's new album "ICEMAN" is expected to release in 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake's next officially released album debuts at No. 1 on the Billboard 200 albums chart for its first charted week following release. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Drake does not release a new album by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve as soon as Billboard publishes the first chart week in which the album appears. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/).

Ticker

will-iceman-debut-no1-on-billboard-200

Volume

1.1K

24h volume

1.1K

1w volume

1.1K

Open interest

759

Liquidity

5.1K

Liquidity CLOB

5.1K

Start

Apr 22, 2026

End

May 15, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Apr 22, 2026

Event ID

407020

Slug

will-iceman-debut-no1-on-billboard-200

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?",
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  "createdAt": "2026-04-22T16:26:39.129218Z",
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      "label": "Music",
      "slug": "music",
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      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:19:29.061+00",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Drake's Iceman, his ninth solo studio album set for May 15 release, commands an 88.5% market-implied probability of debuting at No. 1 on the Billboard 200, fueled by his unblemished record of eight consecutive No. 1 debuts and surging pre-release momentum from chart-topping singles like \"What Did I Miss,\" which hit No. 1 on R&B/Hip-Hop Airplay, and \"Which One\" with Central Cee tracking for a top-10 Hot 100 entry. The official release date announcement just 24 hours ago via Billboard and Variety has amplified hype, with fan projections exceeding 400,000 first-week units amid strong streaming buzz and minimal competition. Traders eye Hits Daily Double tracking updates this week as the key catalyst, though surprise rival releases could pose upset risks in this volatile chart race.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-23T09:28:47.984Z"
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