Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

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    "context_description": "Iran qualified for the 2026 FIFA World Cup through AFC merit-based competition and was drawn into Group G alongside Belgium, Egypt, and New Zealand, with all matches scheduled in the US. Recent trader consensus at 87% \"Yes\" reflects FIFA President Gianni Infantino's April 16 confirmation that Iran will participate \"for sure,\" alongside Tehran's statements of full preparation and rejection of US diplomatic proposals to replace them with Italy. Italy's sports minister dismissed the idea as \"inappropriate\" on April 24, emphasizing pitch-earned qualification, while US officials clarified players are welcome absent IRGC ties. Escalating US-Iran tensions pose minor risks like visa issues, but FIFA's independence and historical precedents sustain high implied probability ahead of the June 11 kickoff.",
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