Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?

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    "context_description": "Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 96.6% for \"No\" on Iran sabotaging undersea internet cables by April 30, driven by the absence of any verified incidents or capabilities despite unconfirmed late-March rumors of threats amid US-Iran military tensions in the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea. Fact-checks debunked viral claims lacking official Iranian statements, emphasizing mutual reliance on cables like EIG, AAE-1, and SEA-ME-WE 6, alongside severe risks of US, UK, and French naval retaliation. Redundancies and international monitoring have prevented disruptions, with Houthi-related Red Sea damages in prior years ruled accidental. Scenarios altering odds include sudden IRGC proxy actions, escalation signals, or late intelligence confirming intent before resolution.",
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