Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

The 2026 Met Gala is scheduled for May 4, 2026. This year's theme is "Costume Art". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lady Gaga attends the 2026 Met Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Ticker

will-lady-gaga-attend-the-met-gala

Volume

94.4K

24h volume

264

1w volume

1.3K

Open interest

1.1K

Liquidity

2.0K

Liquidity CLOB

2.0K

Start

Jan 27, 2026

End

May 4, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Jan 27, 2026

Event ID

190521

Slug

will-lady-gaga-attend-the-met-gala

Markets

1

Raw event data
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    "context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Lady Gaga a 70% implied probability of attending the May 4, 2026 Met Gala, driven by recent reports from a Vanity Fair journalist stating she is expected to appear for the first time in seven years to promote her role in The Devil Wears Prada 2. The \"Costume Art\" theme aligns perfectly with her history of transformative red carpet moments, like her 2019 Brandon Maxwell ensemble, fueling promotional momentum amid no conflicting tour dates after her Mayhem Ball wraps in March. While unconfirmed by official sources, the absence of denials and her status as a perennial invitee per former Vogue editors bolster optimism, though last-minute scheduling shifts remain a risk with the event just days away.",
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