
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
The 2026 Met Gala is scheduled for May 4, 2026. This year's theme is "Costume Art". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lady Gaga attends the 2026 Met Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
will-lady-gaga-attend-the-met-gala
Volume
94.4K
24h volume
264
1w volume
1.3K
Open interest
1.1K
Liquidity
2.0K
Liquidity CLOB
2.0K
Start
Jan 27, 2026
End
May 4, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 27, 2026
Event ID
190521
Slug
will-lady-gaga-attend-the-met-gala
Markets
1
Raw event data
{
"id": "190521",
"ticker": "will-lady-gaga-attend-the-met-gala",
"slug": "will-lady-gaga-attend-the-met-gala",
"title": "Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?",
"description": "The 2026 Met Gala is scheduled for May 4, 2026. This year's theme is \"Costume Art\". \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Lady Gaga attends the 2026 Met Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-01-27T22:27:07.708764Z",
"creationDate": "2026-01-27T22:27:07.708761Z",
"endDate": "2026-05-04T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-lady-gaga-attend-the-met-gala-74rf7UOcxNLu.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-lady-gaga-attend-the-met-gala-74rf7UOcxNLu.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 2005.9108,
"volume": 94427.00009800014,
"openInterest": 1144.800862,
"createdAt": "2026-01-27T16:58:37.957236Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-26T06:38:00.715473Z",
"competitive": 0.9044657998869418,
"volume24hr": 264.14488800000004,
"volume1wk": 1334.8349500000006,
"volume1mo": 9832.11807600005,
"volume1yr": 94427.00009800006,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 2005.9108,
"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1278415",
"question": "Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?",
"conditionId": "0x9a85860222480097c4fbafa1a0fde962fea0f535a282f4f799cc28f86dacf763",
"slug": "will-lady-gaga-attend-the-met-gala",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-05-04T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "2000.1527",
"startDate": "2026-01-27T22:25:03.626253Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-lady-gaga-attend-the-met-gala-74rf7UOcxNLu.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-lady-gaga-attend-the-met-gala-74rf7UOcxNLu.jpg",
"description": "The 2026 Met Gala is scheduled for May 4, 2026. This year's theme is \"Costume Art\". \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Lady Gaga attends the 2026 Met Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.825\", \"0.175\"]",
"volume": "94427.00009800014",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-27T16:58:38.543643Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-26T06:42:05.204161Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0xbbeb8bf44a43e8f7bb994cd14f2456f2a3246f9d65e567bca8fe927a8cbb07b4",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 94427.00009800014,
"liquidityNum": 2000.1527,
"endDateIso": "2026-05-04",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-27",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 264.14488800000004,
"volume1wk": 1334.8349500000006,
"volume1mo": 9832.11807600005,
"volume1yr": 94427.00009800006,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"31602863676260619126879021240646097369649348747067462344745166423995577232115\", \"90422142040998376043537424548791289106339211043708635579819962082346251370811\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 264.14488800000004,
"volume1wkClob": 1334.8349500000006,
"volume1moClob": 9832.11807600005,
"volume1yrClob": 94427.00009800006,
"volumeClob": 94427.00009800014,
"liquidityClob": 2000.1527,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-27T22:23:57Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9044657998869418,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.07,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.155,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0.09,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.165,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.295,
"lastTradePrice": 0.7,
"bestBid": 0.79,
"bestAsk": 0.86,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-27T22:16:11.307599Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "100",
"label": "Music",
"slug": "music",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:19:29.061+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:19:29.066Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:16:43.013972Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "286",
"label": "Celebrities",
"slug": "celebrities",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:48:48.368+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:48:48.383Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:34:55.010856Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "596",
"label": "Culture",
"slug": "pop-culture",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "53",
"label": "Movies",
"slug": "movies",
"forceShow": true,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:14:39.573+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:14:39.577Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:50:04.367908Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": true,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Lady Gaga a 70% implied probability of attending the May 4, 2026 Met Gala, driven by recent reports from a Vanity Fair journalist stating she is expected to appear for the first time in seven years to promote her role in The Devil Wears Prada 2. The \"Costume Art\" theme aligns perfectly with her history of transformative red carpet moments, like her 2019 Brandon Maxwell ensemble, fueling promotional momentum amid no conflicting tour dates after her Mayhem Ball wraps in March. While unconfirmed by official sources, the absence of denials and her status as a perennial invitee per former Vogue editors bolster optimism, though last-minute scheduling shifts remain a risk with the event just days away.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-26T06:24:47.525Z"
}
}- Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?Vol 94.4KLiq 2.0KEnd May 4, 2026OpenOrder book