Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Brazil during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Ticker

will-neymar-play-in-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-for-brazil

Volume

395.9K

24h volume

46.7K

1w volume

114.5K

Open interest

147.6K

Liquidity

8.5K

Liquidity CLOB

8.5K

Start

Mar 17, 2026

End

Jul 19, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 17, 2026

Event ID

280375

Slug

will-neymar-play-in-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-for-brazil

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
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  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "100272",
      "label": "neymar",
      "slug": "neymar",
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    "context_description": "Trader consensus favors \"No\" at 64% implied probability for Neymar playing in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven primarily by his chronic injury history and a fresh knee procedure during the April international break that sidelined him from Santos training and Copa Sudamericana action. At 34, the Brazil all-time leading scorer has battled recurring setbacks since his 2023 ACL tear, limiting recent form—he appeared sluggish in March club outings despite a January contract extension with Santos aimed at World Cup readiness. Brazil coach Carlo Ancelotti demands 100% fitness by mid-2026, with a six-month deadline looming, though Estevão's grade-4 hamstring strain on April 22 slightly boosted Neymar's path by thinning attacking depth; persistent medical issues still dominate sentiment.",
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