
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
will-north-and-south-korea-engage-in-direct-talks-by-2027
Volume
9.5K
24h volume
86
1w volume
244
Open interest
6.0K
Liquidity
30.4K
Liquidity CLOB
30.4K
Start
Nov 5, 2025
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 5, 2025
Event ID
73212
Slug
will-north-and-south-korea-engage-in-direct-talks-by-2027
Markets
1
Raw event data
{
"id": "73212",
"ticker": "will-north-and-south-korea-engage-in-direct-talks-by-2027",
"slug": "will-north-and-south-korea-engage-in-direct-talks-by-2027",
"title": "Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. \n\nRoutine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. \n\nThe resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2025-11-05T19:30:51.476111Z",
"creationDate": "2025-11-05T19:30:51.476108Z",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-north-and-south-korea-engage-in-direct-talks-in-2025-VFIquGOOsCda.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-north-and-south-korea-engage-in-direct-talks-in-2025-VFIquGOOsCda.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 30425.5449,
"volume": 9477.726926000001,
"openInterest": 5963.113521,
"createdAt": "2025-11-04T22:10:41.946673Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-27T23:20:26.92594Z",
"competitive": 0.8620689655172414,
"volume24hr": 86.03999999999999,
"volume1wk": 244.393743,
"volume1mo": 2965.956157,
"volume1yr": 9477.726925999998,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 30425.5449,
"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "665501",
"question": "Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?",
"conditionId": "0x2fd0c0a6ab43aea7cb0b433c9555d5515d8c5ecfb825a11c3b47ef91b92694e5",
"slug": "will-north-and-south-korea-engage-in-direct-talks-by-2027",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "30425.5449",
"startDate": "2025-11-05T19:24:34.944Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-north-and-south-korea-engage-in-direct-talks-in-2025-VFIquGOOsCda.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-north-and-south-korea-engage-in-direct-talks-in-2025-VFIquGOOsCda.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. \n\nRoutine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. \n\nThe resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.1\", \"0.9\"]",
"volume": "9477.726926000001",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-11-04T22:10:42.611656Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-27T23:19:42.687081Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0xa1311d178cfbe75ffe37ca4b824971834bc17f2eec76e8970b479269b68fd9b1",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 9477.726926000001,
"liquidityNum": 30425.5449,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-11-05",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 86.03999999999999,
"volume1wk": 244.393743,
"volume1mo": 2965.956157,
"volume1yr": 9477.726925999998,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"20156392834793884056489274487927561883924285910512901155525996094764792351548\", \"87637084302709500570233388023806581187998367755992238614491528759268119050184\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 86.03999999999999,
"volume1wkClob": 244.393743,
"volume1moClob": 2965.956157,
"volume1yrClob": 9477.726925999998,
"volumeClob": 9477.726926000001,
"liquidityClob": 30425.5449,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-05T19:24:13Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8620689655172414,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.02,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.01,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.065,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.055,
"lastTradePrice": 0.13,
"bestBid": 0.09,
"bestAsk": 0.11,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-05T19:23:47.044686Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"series": [
{
"id": "10567",
"ticker": "north-x-south-korea-talks",
"slug": "north-x-south-korea-talks",
"title": "North x South Korea Talks",
"seriesType": "single",
"recurrence": "annual",
"image": "",
"icon": "",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"createdAt": "2025-11-05T20:32:19.399353Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-27T23:10:52.273184Z",
"volume24hr": 86.03999999999999,
"volume": 9477.726926000001,
"liquidity": 30425.5449,
"commentCount": 9,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "101970",
"label": "World",
"slug": "world",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T17:18:59.135061Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100265",
"label": "Geopolitics",
"slug": "geopolitics",
"forceShow": true,
"createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:49:04.209055Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "351",
"label": "North Korea",
"slug": "north-korea",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:59:46.929+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:59:46.948Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:40:35.116069Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101794",
"label": "Foreign Policy",
"slug": "foreign-policy",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-02-06T17:24:29.604203Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:15:51.294685Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "166",
"label": "South Korea",
"slug": "south-korea",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:29:08.405+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:29:08.413Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:27:28.847056Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "2",
"label": "Politics",
"slug": "politics",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": true,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"seriesSlug": "north-x-south-korea-talks",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Trader consensus reflects a 90% implied probability against direct North-South Korea talks by June 30, driven by Pyongyang's entrenched hostility toward Seoul as its \"principal enemy,\" reaffirmed at the Ninth Workers' Party Congress in early 2026. Despite South Korean President Lee Jae-myung's March 1 Independence Movement Day speech urging dialogue to end confrontation and restart U.S.-North Korea engagement, Kim Jong-un has maintained silence on inter-Korean matters, prioritizing economic solidification, deepened Russia ties—including recent defense talks—and potential U.S. diplomacy contingent on nuclear recognition. North Korea's severance of cross-border rail links and hotlines since 2024, coupled with no reciprocal gestures amid ongoing missile activities, underscores structural barriers, leaving traders skeptical of breakthroughs absent major de-escalation signals.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-27T19:38:21.413Z"
}
}- Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?Vol 9.5KLiq 30.4KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book