
Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count. This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered. If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
will-sam-altman-testify-against-musk
Volume
1.0K
24h volume
1.0K
1w volume
1.0K
Open interest
612
Liquidity
890
Liquidity CLOB
890
Start
Apr 27, 2026
End
—
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 27, 2026
Event ID
425496
Slug
will-sam-altman-testify-against-musk
Markets
1
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 78.5% implied probability for Sam Altman testifying against Elon Musk, driven by the Musk v. OpenAI trial (Case No. 4:24-cv-04722) kicking off April 28, 2026, with jury selection complete and opening arguments imminent in Oakland federal court. As OpenAI CEO and a named defendant, Altman's sworn oral testimony is widely anticipated to counter Musk's allegations that OpenAI abandoned its nonprofit founding mission for a for-profit pivot backed by Microsoft, potentially seeking over $130 billion in damages. Recent court rulings dismissed some fraud claims but greenlit the core breach-of-contract case, heightening expectations for high-profile witnesses like Altman amid a three-week proceeding that could reshape AI governance and competitive dynamics between xAI and OpenAI. A last-minute settlement remains a slim wildcard.",
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}- Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?Vol 1.0KLiq 772OpenOrder book