Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. (see: https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event.

Ticker

will-trump-dance-during-whca-dinner-on-april-25

Volume

9.5K

24h volume

1.4K

1w volume

9.5K

Open interest

6.1K

Liquidity

4.6K

Liquidity CLOB

4.6K

Start

Apr 22, 2026

End

Apr 25, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Apr 22, 2026

Event ID

406625

Slug

will-trump-dance-during-whca-dinner-on-april-25

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?",
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    {
      "id": "104657",
      "label": "Dance",
      "slug": "dance",
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    "context_description": "Trader consensus favors \"No\" at 68.5% implied probability for President Trump dancing at tonight's White House Correspondents' Association Dinner, driven by the event's formal black-tie format emphasizing speeches, roasts, and mentalist Oz Pearlman's performance over rally-style music or exits. Trump's confirmed attendance—his first as president after years of boycotts and a March WHCA invitation acceptance—has heightened buzz with red carpet arrivals underway at the Washington Hilton, but the 15-minute presidential address slot prioritizes press critiques amid ongoing controversy, lacking any dance precedent from his 2011 guest appearance. Recent rally clips of his YMCA moves fuel speculative Yes bets, yet the gala's structure and no live reports of dancing keep odds firmly skeptical as C-SPAN coverage unfolds.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-25T23:42:01.400Z"
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