StocksCryptoPredict

Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.

Ticker

will-trump-praise-allah-again-by-may-31

Volume

1.1K

24h volume

1.0K

1w volume

1.1K

Open interest

912

Liquidity

20.4K

Liquidity CLOB

20.4K

Start

Apr 30, 2026

End

May 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Apr 30, 2026

Event ID

435087

Slug

will-trump-praise-allah-again-by-may-31

Markets

1

Raw event data
{
  "id": "435087",
  "ticker": "will-trump-praise-allah-again-by-may-31",
  "slug": "will-trump-praise-allah-again-by-may-31",
  "title": "Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nText or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2026-04-30T18:44:41.951465Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-04-30T18:44:41.951455Z",
  "endDate": "2026-05-31T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-praise-allah-again-by-april-15-1p5i3gJviiV_.jpg",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-praise-allah-again-by-april-15-1p5i3gJviiV_.jpg",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 20425.9169,
  "volume": 1082.158414,
  "openInterest": 911.998413,
  "createdAt": "2026-04-30T17:00:28.609369Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-05-02T06:38:57.647378Z",
  "competitive": 0.9017945711966814,
  "volume24hr": 1027.814983,
  "volume1wk": 1082.158414,
  "volume1mo": 1082.158414,
  "volume1yr": 1082.158414,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 20425.9169,
  "commentCount": 0,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "2126422",
      "question": "Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?",
      "conditionId": "0x401b91700dd938f62b2b6b897517a477ea3eb5076eb662451f1a4386cda151b7",
      "slug": "will-trump-praise-allah-again-by-may-31",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-05-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "36306.9969",
      "startDate": "2026-04-30T18:40:11.38096Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-praise-allah-again-by-april-15-1p5i3gJviiV_.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-praise-allah-again-by-april-15-1p5i3gJviiV_.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nText or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.175\", \"0.825\"]",
      "volume": "1082.158414",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-04-30T17:00:28.811528Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-05-02T06:41:09.962956Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0x0e399bac7e5f441342037fedcd193b6dfe4dc925668a47933c312ce44f63a4bd",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 1082.158414,
      "liquidityNum": 36306.9969,
      "endDateIso": "2026-05-31",
      "startDateIso": "2026-04-30",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 1027.814983,
      "volume1wk": 1082.158414,
      "volume1mo": 1082.158414,
      "volume1yr": 1082.158414,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"21068414983774006264904221462412327808186522925645670032332011441163222564491\", \"43275816074846533471414448760913107073288249849142431840347495615939536142292\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 1027.814983,
      "volume1wkClob": 1082.158414,
      "volume1moClob": 1082.158414,
      "volume1yrClob": 1082.158414,
      "volumeClob": 1082.158414,
      "liquidityClob": 36306.9969,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-30T18:39:08Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.9044657998869418,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "clobRewards": [
        {
          "id": "307254",
          "conditionId": "0x401b91700dd938f62b2b6b897517a477ea3eb5076eb662451f1a4386cda151b7",
          "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
          "rewardsAmount": 0,
          "rewardsDailyRate": 50,
          "startDate": "2026-05-01",
          "endDate": "2500-12-31"
        }
      ],
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.01,
      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.03,
      "oneHourPriceChange": -0.005,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.16,
      "bestBid": 0.17,
      "bestAsk": 0.18,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-30T18:37:04.719654Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "series": [
    {
      "id": "11524",
      "ticker": "praise-allah",
      "slug": "praise-allah",
      "title": "Praise allah",
      "seriesType": "single",
      "recurrence": "annual",
      "image": "",
      "icon": "",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "archived": false,
      "createdAt": "2026-04-13T15:53:34.507278Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-05-02T06:39:05.038698Z",
      "volume24hr": 1750.334983,
      "volume": 1082.158414,
      "liquidity": 20425.9169,
      "commentCount": 76,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "2",
      "label": "Politics",
      "slug": "politics",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "126",
      "label": "Trump",
      "slug": "trump",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:23:16.384+00",
      "updatedBy": 15,
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:23:16.39Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:14.206724Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "78",
      "label": "Iran",
      "slug": "iran",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:51.647+00",
      "updatedBy": 15,
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:51.667Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:19:53.890971Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "100265",
      "label": "Geopolitics",
      "slug": "geopolitics",
      "forceShow": true,
      "createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:49:04.209055Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "104010",
      "label": "Iran Ceasefire",
      "slug": "diplomacy-ceasefire",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2026-03-02T19:58:33.637952Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:18:43.047208Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": true,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "seriesSlug": "praise-allah",
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket prices \"No\" at 82% for President Trump praising Allah again by May 31, reflecting the absence of similar statements since his April 11 Truth Social post amid U.S.-Iran Strait of Hormuz tensions. The phrase appeared twice earlier that month—first on Easter Sunday, April 5, in an expletive-laden threat to Iranian infrastructure—drawing sharp backlash from conservative figures like Ann Coulter and Tucker Carlson for its perceived oddity on a Christian holiday. With no recurrences in the past three weeks despite ongoing military posturing and rescue operations, traders view repetition as unlikely absent fresh escalations, though diplomatic developments or rhetorical shifts could alter odds before resolution.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-05-02T02:29:06.588Z"
  }
}