Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreeva

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    "context_description": "Mirra Andreeva enters as the clear trader consensus favorite at 73.5% implied probability against Hailey Baptiste in the Madrid Open semifinals, driven by her No. 8 WTA ranking, dominant 2026 clay record leading the tour in wins, and consistent deep runs on the surface including straight-set quarterfinal victory over Leylah Fernandez. Baptiste, ranked No. 32, rides massive momentum from saving six match points to stun World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka in quarters—her first top-5 win and maiden WTA 1000 semifinal—but faces stylistic challenges against Andreeva's baseline power, with their head-to-head tied 1-1 from 2025 grass encounters. No injury concerns for either on high-bouncing clay.",
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