
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur: 1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election. 2. The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date. An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify. Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify. If the policy is enacted through another official mechanism, including but not limited to a mayoral executive order, local legislation, or state law, and goes into effect by the resolution date it will qualify. Orders that apply only to one lease term (e.g., 0 % on one-year but > 0 % on two-year), apply only to specific unit types (e.g., hotels or SROs), or relate to non-stabilized units will not qualify. Policies which include limited exceptions — such as exclusions for specific categories of rent-stabilized units (e.g., hardship exemptions, temporarily exempt buildings, or administrative carveouts) — will still qualify as long as a general policy of 0 % rent adjustment for both one-year and two-year renewal leases on rent-stabilized apartments and lofts is in effect citywide. If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will immediately resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official Rent Guidelines Board materials.
Ticker
will-mamdani-freeze-nyc-rents-before-2027
Volume
258.1K
24h volume
13
1w volume
118
Open interest
97.9K
Liquidity
8.3K
Liquidity CLOB
8.3K
Start
Nov 4, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 4, 2025
Event ID
72500
Slug
will-mamdani-freeze-nyc-rents-before-2027
Markets
1
{
"id": "72500",
"ticker": "will-mamdani-freeze-nyc-rents-before-2027",
"slug": "will-mamdani-freeze-nyc-rents-before-2027",
"title": "Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:\n\n1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.\n\n2. The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date. An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify. Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify.\n\nIf the policy is enacted through another official mechanism, including but not limited to a mayoral executive order, local legislation, or state law, and goes into effect by the resolution date it will qualify.\n\nOrders that apply only to one lease term (e.g., 0 % on one-year but > 0 % on two-year), apply only to specific unit types (e.g., hotels or SROs), or relate to non-stabilized units will not qualify. Policies which include limited exceptions — such as exclusions for specific categories of rent-stabilized units (e.g., hardship exemptions, temporarily exempt buildings, or administrative carveouts) — will still qualify as long as a general policy of 0 % rent adjustment for both one-year and two-year renewal leases on rent-stabilized apartments and lofts is in effect citywide.\n\nIf Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official Rent Guidelines Board materials.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2025-11-04T02:26:35.631538Z",
"creationDate": "2025-11-04T02:26:35.631536Z",
"endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-mamdani-freeze-nyc-rents-before-2027-EV0SF1Q62CPA.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-mamdani-freeze-nyc-rents-before-2027-EV0SF1Q62CPA.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 8341.7313,
"volume": 258057.08584899968,
"openInterest": 97874.858514,
"createdAt": "2025-11-04T02:09:48.053762Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-06-16T20:43:20.508942Z",
"competitive": 0.9558173433056943,
"volume24hr": 13.459451999999999,
"volume1wk": 118.148026,
"volume1mo": 543.7072840000001,
"volume1yr": 258057.08584900017,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 8341.7313,
"commentCount": 33,
"markets": [
{
"id": "664045",
"question": "Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?",
"conditionId": "0x921330240e4d92f8535d54bcb34b31750fc235761f97b064d92e54a48c2f9dca",
"slug": "will-mamdani-freeze-nyc-rents-before-2027",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "8026.4201",
"startDate": "2025-11-04T02:22:29.060005Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-mamdani-freeze-nyc-rents-before-2027-EV0SF1Q62CPA.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-mamdani-freeze-nyc-rents-before-2027-EV0SF1Q62CPA.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:\n\n1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.\n\n2. The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date. An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify. Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify.\n\nIf the policy is enacted through another official mechanism, including but not limited to a mayoral executive order, local legislation, or state law, and goes into effect by the resolution date it will qualify.\n\nOrders that apply only to one lease term (e.g., 0 % on one-year but > 0 % on two-year), apply only to specific unit types (e.g., hotels or SROs), or relate to non-stabilized units will not qualify. Policies which include limited exceptions — such as exclusions for specific categories of rent-stabilized units (e.g., hardship exemptions, temporarily exempt buildings, or administrative carveouts) — will still qualify as long as a general policy of 0 % rent adjustment for both one-year and two-year renewal leases on rent-stabilized apartments and lofts is in effect citywide.\n\nIf Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official Rent Guidelines Board materials.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.285\", \"0.715\"]",
"volume": "258057.08584899968",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-11-04T02:09:50.190311Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-06-16T20:42:52.33657Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0x884a69c1be0be3f1653b4a2ee96456825c672eccb19aa143072cd1a9ee2144c0",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 258057.08584899968,
"liquidityNum": 8026.4201,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
"startDateIso": "2025-11-04",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 13.459451999999999,
"volume1wk": 118.148026,
"volume1mo": 543.7072840000001,
"volume1yr": 258057.08584900017,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"106102449360267073046637097096598048592436928340059823162151571020807191828087\", \"86934023414665345422427506679433864279296027898426531732170959339104415335162\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 13.459451999999999,
"volume1wkClob": 118.148026,
"volume1moClob": 543.7072840000001,
"volume1yrClob": 258057.08584900017,
"volumeClob": 258057.08584899968,
"liquidityClob": 8026.4201,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-04T02:22:07Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9558173433056943,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 0,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 0,
"spread": 0.03,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.015,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0.01,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.02,
"lastTradePrice": 0.28,
"bestBid": 0.27,
"bestAsk": 0.3,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-04T02:21:32.195749Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "politics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.04,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
}
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "102325",
"label": "Mamdani",
"slug": "mamdani",
"createdAt": "2025-06-25T21:03:18.526309Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:50:04.34464Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100091",
"label": "New York City",
"slug": "new-york-city",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-15T20:48:58.769206Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102148",
"label": "NYC Mayor",
"slug": "nyc-mayor",
"createdAt": "2025-05-20T19:13:38.789883Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T21:09:42.954127Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "2",
"label": "Politics",
"slug": "politics",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": true,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Mayor Zohran Mamdani, who took office in January 2026 after campaigning on a rent freeze for roughly one million rent-stabilized units, secured a board majority through six Rent Guidelines Board appointments in February. A preliminary May vote set ranges including 0% increases, with the final decision scheduled for late June. However, the administration has introduced exemptions for distressed landlords, paired its approach with a broader “Block by Block” production and preservation agenda backed by billions in new investment, and faced ongoing fiscal and legal scrutiny from real estate stakeholders. These procedural and fiscal dynamics underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 73.5% probability assigned to no freeze materializing before 2027.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-06-16T16:31:23.302Z"
}
}Tickers mapped from the event's catalyst themes.
Tesla Inc.
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
Lucid Group, Inc.
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
General Motors Company
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
Ford Motor Company
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
Albemarle Corporation
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
Aptiv
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
ON Semiconductor
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
QuantumScape Corporation
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
ChargePoint Holdings, Inc.
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.