
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur: 1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election. 2. The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date. An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify. Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify. If the policy is enacted through another official mechanism, including but not limited to a mayoral executive order, local legislation, or state law, and goes into effect by the resolution date it will qualify. Orders that apply only to one lease term (e.g., 0 % on one-year but > 0 % on two-year), apply only to specific unit types (e.g., hotels or SROs), or relate to non-stabilized units will not qualify. Policies which include limited exceptions — such as exclusions for specific categories of rent-stabilized units (e.g., hardship exemptions, temporarily exempt buildings, or administrative carveouts) — will still qualify as long as a general policy of 0 % rent adjustment for both one-year and two-year renewal leases on rent-stabilized apartments and lofts is in effect citywide. If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will immediately resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official Rent Guidelines Board materials.
Ticker
will-mamdani-freeze-nyc-rents-before-2027
Volume
257.4K
24h volume
26
1w volume
3.6K
Open interest
97.8K
Liquidity
9.9K
Liquidity CLOB
9.9K
Start
Nov 4, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 4, 2025
Event ID
72500
Slug
will-mamdani-freeze-nyc-rents-before-2027
Markets
1
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"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:\n\n1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.\n\n2. The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date. An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify. Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify.\n\nIf the policy is enacted through another official mechanism, including but not limited to a mayoral executive order, local legislation, or state law, and goes into effect by the resolution date it will qualify.\n\nOrders that apply only to one lease term (e.g., 0 % on one-year but > 0 % on two-year), apply only to specific unit types (e.g., hotels or SROs), or relate to non-stabilized units will not qualify. Policies which include limited exceptions — such as exclusions for specific categories of rent-stabilized units (e.g., hardship exemptions, temporarily exempt buildings, or administrative carveouts) — will still qualify as long as a general policy of 0 % rent adjustment for both one-year and two-year renewal leases on rent-stabilized apartments and lofts is in effect citywide.\n\nIf Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official Rent Guidelines Board materials.",
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"tags": [
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"id": "102325",
"label": "Mamdani",
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"createdAt": "2025-06-25T21:03:18.526309Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:50:04.34464Z",
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"updatedAt": "2026-04-15T20:48:58.769206Z",
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{
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"label": "NYC Mayor",
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"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects skepticism that Mayor Zohran Mamdani will secure a rent freeze for NYC's roughly one million rent-stabilized apartments before 2027, with \"No\" implying a 69% probability following the Rent Guidelines Board's preliminary vote on May 7, 2026. The board, featuring six Mamdani appointees, approved a 0-2% range for one-year leases and 0-4% for two-year leases—keeping zero percent viable but signaling compromise potential amid fierce landlord opposition decrying maintenance risks and property sales. Public hearings continue through June, with final vote pending; historical precedents under mayors like de Blasio show freezes possible but rare without unanimous alignment, underscoring procedural hurdles and economic pressures shaping the odds.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-05-13T17:07:42.494Z"
}
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