
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur: 1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election. 2. The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date. An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify. Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify. If the policy is enacted through another official mechanism, including but not limited to a mayoral executive order, local legislation, or state law, and goes into effect by the resolution date it will qualify. Orders that apply only to one lease term (e.g., 0 % on one-year but > 0 % on two-year), apply only to specific unit types (e.g., hotels or SROs), or relate to non-stabilized units will not qualify. Policies which include limited exceptions — such as exclusions for specific categories of rent-stabilized units (e.g., hardship exemptions, temporarily exempt buildings, or administrative carveouts) — will still qualify as long as a general policy of 0 % rent adjustment for both one-year and two-year renewal leases on rent-stabilized apartments and lofts is in effect citywide. If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will immediately resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official Rent Guidelines Board materials.
Ticker
will-mamdani-freeze-nyc-rents-before-2027
Volume
257.4K
24h volume
26
1w volume
3.6K
Open interest
97.8K
Liquidity
9.7K
Liquidity CLOB
9.7K
Start
Nov 4, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 4, 2025
Event ID
72500
Slug
will-mamdani-freeze-nyc-rents-before-2027
Markets
1
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Mayor Zohran Mamdani's push for a rent freeze on nearly one million NYC rent-stabilized apartments advanced with the Rent Guidelines Board's May 7 preliminary vote approving 0-2% ranges for one-year leases and 0-4% for two-year leases effective October 2026, despite tenant chants for rollbacks and landlord boos. Yet traders imply only 31% odds of a full freeze before 2027, citing the board's inclusion of hike options amid data showing 5.3% operating cost rises—including 10.5% insurance and 11% fuel increases—strong opposition from property owners like REBNY highlighting financial distress in older buildings, Mamdani's tempered calls for board independence after appointing six members, and rare historical precedents with just three freezes in over 50 years. The final vote follows public hearings on June 25.",
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- Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Vol 257.4KLiq 10.1KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book