August Inflation US - Annual
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ticker
august-inflation-us-annual-1786474662954
Volume
74.8K
24h volume
2.4K
1w volume
28.4K
Open interest
37.1K
Liquidity
35.2K
Liquidity CLOB
35.2K
Start
Aug 12, 2026
End
Sep 11, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Aug 12, 2026
Event ID
838710
Slug
august-inflation-us-annual-1786474662954
Markets
12
Raw event data
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"creationDate": "2026-08-12T14:16:20.503257Z",
"endDate": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z",
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"question": "Will annual inflation be 2.9% or less in August?",
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"question": "Will annual inflation be 3.1% in August?",
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"question": "Will annual inflation be 3.2% in August?",
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}Related stocks
Tickers mapped from the event's catalyst themes.
WMT
Walmart Inc.
Consumer inflation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
TGT
Target Corporation
Consumer inflation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
COST
Costco Wholesale Corporation
Consumer inflation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
DG
Dollar General
Consumer inflation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
DLTR
Dollar Tree
Consumer inflation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
PG
Procter & Gamble Company
Consumer inflation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
PEP
PepsiCo Inc.
Consumer inflation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
KO
Coca-Cola Company
Consumer inflation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
MCD
McDonald's Corporation
Consumer inflation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
SBUX
Starbucks Corporation
Consumer inflation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
NKE
NIKE Inc.
Consumer inflation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
HD
Home Depot Inc.
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
LOW
Lowe's Companies Inc.
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
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- Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August?Vol 12.4KLiq 4.0KEnd Sep 11, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will annual inflation be 3.2% in August?Vol 2.4KLiq 1.4KEnd Sep 11, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will annual inflation be 3.6% in August?Vol 2.5KLiq 2.1KEnd Sep 11, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will annual inflation be 3.7% in August?Vol 1.6KLiq 3.1KEnd Sep 11, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will annual inflation be 3.1% in August?Vol 1.7KLiq 2.2KEnd Sep 11, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will annual inflation be 3.0% in August?Vol 1.6KLiq 2.3KEnd Sep 11, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will annual inflation be 4.0% or more in August?Vol 3.4KLiq 2.3KEnd Sep 11, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will annual inflation be 3.8% in August?Vol 1.2KLiq 4.6KEnd Sep 11, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will annual inflation be 2.9% or less in August?Vol 1.6KLiq 3.2KEnd Sep 11, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will annual inflation be 3.9% in August?Vol 1.3KLiq 3.0KEnd Sep 11, 2026OpenOrder book