This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Ticker
democratic-presidential-nominee-2028
Volume
1223.6M
24h volume
582.6K
1w volume
6.3M
Open interest
10.7M
Liquidity
64.6M
Liquidity CLOB
64.6M
Start
Jul 11, 2025
End
Nov 7, 2028
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jul 11, 2025
Event ID
30829
Slug
democratic-presidential-nominee-2028
Markets
128
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"context_description": "Gavin Newsom leads the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination market at 24.3% due to his high national profile as California governor, frequent public clashes with the Trump administration, and positioning around the 2026 midterms and state redistricting efforts. The wide-open field features fragmented support across governors like Josh Shapiro and Andy Beshear, senators such as Jon Ossoff and Mark Kelly, and progressives including Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, reflecting competing priorities over name recognition, fundraising, and general-election appeal. Recent polling shows Newsom competitive with Kamala Harris in ranked-choice simulations, while trader consensus prices in the advantages of term-limited executives who can focus on national messaging without immediate reelection pressures. The 2026 midterms and any resulting shifts in party infrastructure or donor alignment could consolidate backing behind fewer contenders ahead of formal primary activity.",
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}Tickers mapped from the event's catalyst themes.
NVIDIA Corporation
AI events can shift accelerator demand, cloud capex, networking spend, server demand, and software sentiment.
Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
AI events can shift accelerator demand, cloud capex, networking spend, server demand, and software sentiment.
Broadcom Inc.
AI events can shift accelerator demand, cloud capex, networking spend, server demand, and software sentiment.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
AI events can shift accelerator demand, cloud capex, networking spend, server demand, and software sentiment.
ASML Holding N.V.
AI events can shift accelerator demand, cloud capex, networking spend, server demand, and software sentiment.
Applied Materials Inc.
AI events can shift accelerator demand, cloud capex, networking spend, server demand, and software sentiment.
Lam Research Corporation
AI events can shift accelerator demand, cloud capex, networking spend, server demand, and software sentiment.
Rocket Lab Corporation
Launch and satellite events can affect space pure plays, aerospace suppliers, defense primes, telecom competition, and government contract expectations.
KLA Corporation
AI events can shift accelerator demand, cloud capex, networking spend, server demand, and software sentiment.
Intuitive Machines, Inc.
Launch and satellite events can affect space pure plays, aerospace suppliers, defense primes, telecom competition, and government contract expectations.
Micron Technology Inc.
AI events can shift accelerator demand, cloud capex, networking spend, server demand, and software sentiment.
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
Launch and satellite events can affect space pure plays, aerospace suppliers, defense primes, telecom competition, and government contract expectations.
Super Micro Computer Inc.
AI events can shift accelerator demand, cloud capex, networking spend, server demand, and software sentiment.
Iridium Communications Inc.
Launch and satellite events can affect space pure plays, aerospace suppliers, defense primes, telecom competition, and government contract expectations.