Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Ticker
fed-decisions-jun-sep
Volume
749.8K
24h volume
5.5K
1w volume
38.2K
Open interest
127.2K
Liquidity
62.2K
Liquidity CLOB
62.2K
Start
Apr 29, 2026
End
Sep 16, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 30, 2026
Event ID
432111
Slug
fed-decisions-jun-sep
Markets
9
Raw event data
{
"id": "432111",
"ticker": "fed-decisions-jun-sep",
"slug": "fed-decisions-jun-sep",
"title": "Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)",
"description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-04-29T23:56:23.566528Z",
"creationDate": "2026-04-30T00:01:47.191434Z",
"endDate": "2026-09-16T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arch-fed-decisions-in-2025-Vowt-IlTgfPc.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arch-fed-decisions-in-2025-Vowt-IlTgfPc.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 62210.92161,
"volume": 749809.776875,
"openInterest": 127217.613613,
"createdAt": "2026-04-29T20:07:30.175866Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-18T17:40:29.048913Z",
"competitive": 0.9577626664112633,
"volume24hr": 5514.552802,
"volume1wk": 38168.505451,
"volume1mo": 401665.695624,
"volume1yr": 693933.2638129999,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 62210.92161,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x407cf01a2b91d7b6688c928bcd5812dfc0112c4bdcc82799f31b760bc9ab9c00",
"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "2118797",
"question": "Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?",
"conditionId": "0x939991996943dc503bf17a76ec71cd68c6eccc8a67f0bc56389259722dffd8fd",
"slug": "will-the-fed-cutpausepause-in-the-next-three-decisions-junjulsep",
"endDate": "2026-09-16T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-29T23:56:11.28108Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arch-fed-decisions-in-2025-Vowt-IlTgfPc.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arch-fed-decisions-in-2025-Vowt-IlTgfPc.jpg",
"description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "2240.784199",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-29T20:07:30.388509Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-06-18T18:12:05.190007Z",
"closedTime": "2026-06-17 20:06:17+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Cut–Pause–Pause",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0x407cf01a2b91d7b6688c928bcd5812dfc0112c4bdcc82799f31b760bc9ab9c00",
"umaEndDate": "2026-06-17T20:06:17Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 2240.784199,
"endDateIso": "2026-09-16",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-29",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"68852134172932769106945554157516755064505599822270592463678400516026627396435\", \"81051008412682207414017939250278928117453444021543815209652998837817471341456\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 2240.784199,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x407cf01a2b91d7b6688c928bcd5812dfc0112c4bdcc82799f31b760bc9ab9c00",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x8b47f5e06a5216ac4aaaefa03551fa4a37dd7535795c1518a6cb61ecc3ddb927",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-29T23:54:52Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.0075,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.013,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.039,
"lastTradePrice": 0.008,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-29T23:50:59.926436Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "economics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.05,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "2118798",
"question": "Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?",
"conditionId": "0xe96aaa3201601142ed4ae92f086b42ad717c822bc84f59ffc2c98077c2b7a1b4",
"slug": "will-the-fed-cutpausecut-in-the-next-three-decisions-junjulsep",
"endDate": "2026-09-16T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-29T23:56:13.325043Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arch-fed-decisions-in-2025-Vowt-IlTgfPc.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arch-fed-decisions-in-2025-Vowt-IlTgfPc.jpg",
"description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "2229.953727",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-29T20:07:30.978632Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-06-18T18:12:03.723754Z",
"closedTime": "2026-06-17 20:06:17+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Cut–Pause–Cut",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0x407cf01a2b91d7b6688c928bcd5812dfc0112c4bdcc82799f31b760bc9ab9c01",
"umaEndDate": "2026-06-17T20:06:17Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 2229.953727,
"endDateIso": "2026-09-16",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-29",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"59545294182414441152572375349624312572444764442614452647906168192238793408250\", \"64146990012702111206601195468600473602539886870742767128972483890489631592082\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 2229.953727,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x407cf01a2b91d7b6688c928bcd5812dfc0112c4bdcc82799f31b760bc9ab9c00",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x40eae3e65fcf4f114073b8970d5f1be4975936ac1add10bcee9689e942b0b0fa",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-29T23:54:54Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.004,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0435,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.038,
"lastTradePrice": 0.003,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-29T23:50:59.928758Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "economics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.05,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "2118799",
"question": "Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?",
"conditionId": "0x0db535388174e80feca135f1f09120239ea3b82a21f4c25ab8c2f9d3e402f08d",
"slug": "will-the-fed-cutcutpause-in-the-next-three-decisions-junjulsep",
"endDate": "2026-09-16T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-29T23:56:15.397824Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arch-fed-decisions-in-2025-Vowt-IlTgfPc.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arch-fed-decisions-in-2025-Vowt-IlTgfPc.jpg",
"description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "1264.553422",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-29T20:07:31.304235Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-06-18T18:12:04.956166Z",
"closedTime": "2026-06-17 20:05:16+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Cut–Cut–Pause",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0x407cf01a2b91d7b6688c928bcd5812dfc0112c4bdcc82799f31b760bc9ab9c02",
"umaEndDate": "2026-06-17T20:05:16Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 1264.553422,
"endDateIso": "2026-09-16",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-29",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"84522302088472742024649537348374387097467873226353893529619019263121854237136\", \"81015296816153187837767583706463054341326699930307903832993884553864557351440\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 1264.553422,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x407cf01a2b91d7b6688c928bcd5812dfc0112c4bdcc82799f31b760bc9ab9c00",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x656ecab05d211e4e63a93b6a31180eecdaf2e37f1595d58412574edef31e1188",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-29T23:54:56Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.002,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.005,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0035,
"lastTradePrice": 0.003,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-29T23:50:59.930413Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "economics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.05,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "2118800",
"question": "Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?",
"conditionId": "0x8ce59af7975a10eaf038ea88181f20cdf50e9b08f58bb7705a765c6e1338894f",
"slug": "will-the-fed-cutcutcut-in-the-next-three-decisions-junjulsep",
"endDate": "2026-09-16T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-29T23:56:19.494595Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arch-fed-decisions-in-2025-Vowt-IlTgfPc.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arch-fed-decisions-in-2025-Vowt-IlTgfPc.jpg",
"description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "1914.714053",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-29T20:07:31.626944Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-06-18T18:12:05.118682Z",
"closedTime": "2026-06-17 20:05:16+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Cut–Cut–Cut",
"groupItemThreshold": "3",
"questionID": "0x407cf01a2b91d7b6688c928bcd5812dfc0112c4bdcc82799f31b760bc9ab9c03",
"umaEndDate": "2026-06-17T20:05:16Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 1914.714053,
"endDateIso": "2026-09-16",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-29",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"36534357959179693885704297186281921721380353984852667001276604958483162750603\", \"79745920793803235522978382580220565257191221305346197947250986420994927497375\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 1914.714053,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x407cf01a2b91d7b6688c928bcd5812dfc0112c4bdcc82799f31b760bc9ab9c00",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x1a13a4d72dd0809f0635b351efcd7bec9226a0f11bacd23c9301f80fbf5b3bea",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-29T23:55:00Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.03,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0195,
"lastTradePrice": 0.002,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-29T23:50:59.932031Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "economics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.05,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "2118801",
"question": "Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?",
"conditionId": "0xd17e44ec063959238b3e4587475977a584618f7e18892d7b13b47051dbaa9a35",
"slug": "will-the-fed-pausepausepause-in-the-next-three-decisions-junjulsep",
"endDate": "2026-09-16T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "12308.9548",
"startDate": "2026-04-29T23:56:23.566528Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arch-fed-decisions-in-2025-Vowt-IlTgfPc.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arch-fed-decisions-in-2025-Vowt-IlTgfPc.jpg",
"description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.72\", \"0.28\"]",
"volume": "291549.112837",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-29T20:07:31.944043Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-18T17:40:06.699677Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Pause–Pause–Pause",
"groupItemThreshold": "4",
"questionID": "0x407cf01a2b91d7b6688c928bcd5812dfc0112c4bdcc82799f31b760bc9ab9c04",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 291549.112837,
"liquidityNum": 12308.9548,
"endDateIso": "2026-09-16",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-29",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 625.503332,
"volume1wk": 5149.580253,
"volume1mo": 101738.82616799999,
"volume1yr": 291549.112837,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"32301123322534888580370968664732988978439792579405897302876890222142550059194\", \"4736352029144535005890820408231925407036939257059587790513004893363322306014\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 625.503332,
"volume1wkClob": 5149.580253,
"volume1moClob": 101738.82616799999,
"volume1yrClob": 291549.112837,
"volumeClob": 291549.112837,
"liquidityClob": 12308.9548,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x407cf01a2b91d7b6688c928bcd5812dfc0112c4bdcc82799f31b760bc9ab9c00",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xf001f28b83c0bad43f597d37529dc90fb520bed0c86e85fab473a828c6312795",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-29T23:55:04Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9538344143456696,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "919334",
"conditionId": "0xd17e44ec063959238b3e4587475977a584618f7e18892d7b13b47051dbaa9a35",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 5,
"startDate": "2026-08-18",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.02,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.035,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.125,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.095,
"lastTradePrice": 0.71,
"bestBid": 0.71,
"bestAsk": 0.73,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-29T23:50:59.933913Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "economics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.05,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "2118802",
"question": "Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?",
"conditionId": "0x3d58efa61842054779ee3541eb4394024172a4a111ee0606e6ec535f27bb7082",
"slug": "will-the-fed-pausepausecut-in-the-next-three-decisions-junjulsep",
"endDate": "2026-09-16T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "26669.91841",
"startDate": "2026-04-29T23:56:32.815009Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arch-fed-decisions-in-2025-Vowt-IlTgfPc.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arch-fed-decisions-in-2025-Vowt-IlTgfPc.jpg",
"description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0035\", \"0.9965\"]",
"volume": "79662.172758",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-29T20:07:32.252126Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-18T17:40:06.699677Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Pause–Pause–Cut",
"groupItemThreshold": "5",
"questionID": "0x407cf01a2b91d7b6688c928bcd5812dfc0112c4bdcc82799f31b760bc9ab9c05",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 79662.172758,
"liquidityNum": 26669.91841,
"endDateIso": "2026-09-16",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-29",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 2510.6900000000005,
"volume1wk": 12820.135,
"volume1mo": 64766.688698999984,
"volume1yr": 79662.17275799999,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"6837649870477624101223064050874677816077332462210303464510912470911823791065\", \"98605759930767570085117522553602529901041057887814709121057469418745095085336\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 2510.6900000000005,
"volume1wkClob": 12820.135,
"volume1moClob": 64766.688698999984,
"volume1yrClob": 79662.17275799999,
"volumeClob": 79662.172758,
"liquidityClob": 26669.91841,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x407cf01a2b91d7b6688c928bcd5812dfc0112c4bdcc82799f31b760bc9ab9c00",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xaae10610fe7558902168d8a869a1d414c8e41d25b5d56c4b6f99b27c04eb21bb",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-29T23:55:14Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8022384055993032,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.001,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0175,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0285,
"lastTradePrice": 0.003,
"bestBid": 0.003,
"bestAsk": 0.004,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-29T23:50:59.935472Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "economics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.05,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "2118803",
"question": "Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?",
"conditionId": "0x2c027dcabf04d8aafebe86337180f6959f6341adeb2dcc22f590992dd0d9978e",
"slug": "will-the-fed-pausecutpause-in-the-next-three-decisions-junjulsep",
"endDate": "2026-09-16T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-29T23:56:34.858121Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arch-fed-decisions-in-2025-Vowt-IlTgfPc.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arch-fed-decisions-in-2025-Vowt-IlTgfPc.jpg",
"description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "30490.738752",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-29T20:07:32.616732Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-07-30T19:58:18.171874Z",
"closedTime": "2026-07-29 21:55:59+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Pause–Cut–Pause",
"groupItemThreshold": "6",
"questionID": "0x407cf01a2b91d7b6688c928bcd5812dfc0112c4bdcc82799f31b760bc9ab9c06",
"umaEndDate": "2026-07-29T21:55:59Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 30490.738752,
"endDateIso": "2026-09-16",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-29",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"110012379529308269152397261662345154526136411446615430304997104224527097750430\", \"85490983630473279233450678432303245965289753231353713684677074820211922088840\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 30490.738752,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x407cf01a2b91d7b6688c928bcd5812dfc0112c4bdcc82799f31b760bc9ab9c00",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x243ed74aacb9b86e08466d9c9ddb1af2e582011c7661571c484e95e43f4049cf",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-29T23:55:16Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.003,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-29T23:50:59.936978Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "economics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.05,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "2118804",
"question": "Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?",
"conditionId": "0x9288e07cc3a716cad898081de864f2fffad42e5f48bf923aad42a36403d2ae9a",
"slug": "will-the-fed-pausecutcut-in-the-next-three-decisions-junjulsep",
"endDate": "2026-09-16T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-29T23:56:43.419968Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arch-fed-decisions-in-2025-Vowt-IlTgfPc.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arch-fed-decisions-in-2025-Vowt-IlTgfPc.jpg",
"description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "17735.768909000002",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-29T20:07:32.928033Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-07-30T19:58:18.171874Z",
"closedTime": "2026-07-29 21:56:15+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Pause–Cut–Cut",
"groupItemThreshold": "7",
"questionID": "0x407cf01a2b91d7b6688c928bcd5812dfc0112c4bdcc82799f31b760bc9ab9c07",
"umaEndDate": "2026-07-29T21:56:15Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 17735.768909000002,
"endDateIso": "2026-09-16",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-29",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"65532548013340282674345794735112137818462103779452275253765844294474410771774\", \"6498941583378131559465823301031945503424658214572336680986101349899870173045\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 17735.768909000002,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x407cf01a2b91d7b6688c928bcd5812dfc0112c4bdcc82799f31b760bc9ab9c00",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x2248db90349786efd0a4d10aa54c6f71db5d76ff50e81c57770f3d02936d8af1",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-29T23:55:24Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.005,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-29T23:50:59.938531Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "economics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.05,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "2118805",
"question": "Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?",
"conditionId": "0x1b56e46dba9e7b2bf93db18e7a79de3f97037314a46f8ebc93b541ae5f396200",
"slug": "will-the-fed-decide-differently-in-the-next-three-decisions-junjulsep",
"endDate": "2026-09-16T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "23343.7993",
"startDate": "2026-04-29T23:56:51.375622Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arch-fed-decisions-in-2025-Vowt-IlTgfPc.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arch-fed-decisions-in-2025-Vowt-IlTgfPc.jpg",
"description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.29\", \"0.71\"]",
"volume": "322721.978218",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-29T20:07:33.226301Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-18T17:40:06.699677Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Other",
"groupItemThreshold": "8",
"questionID": "0x407cf01a2b91d7b6688c928bcd5812dfc0112c4bdcc82799f31b760bc9ab9c08",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 322721.978218,
"liquidityNum": 23343.7993,
"endDateIso": "2026-09-16",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-29",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 2378.35947,
"volume1wk": 20198.790198,
"volume1mo": 235160.18075700002,
"volume1yr": 322721.978218,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"85826665387206167260072765846747779665709734070578023319734585788378738859863\", \"53792825290464867390807566844085018766590407830052736583922453624519252570559\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 2378.35947,
"volume1wkClob": 20198.790198,
"volume1moClob": 235160.18075700002,
"volume1yrClob": 322721.978218,
"volumeClob": 322721.978218,
"liquidityClob": 23343.7993,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x407cf01a2b91d7b6688c928bcd5812dfc0112c4bdcc82799f31b760bc9ab9c00",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xc1a983d3442da8feb91a3ad7216a04dd2943c23baaf337903ff167dbc10db214",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-29T23:55:32Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9577626664112633,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "919335",
"conditionId": "0x1b56e46dba9e7b2bf93db18e7a79de3f97037314a46f8ebc93b541ae5f396200",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 5,
"startDate": "2026-08-18",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.02,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.055,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.105,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.055,
"lastTradePrice": 0.27,
"bestBid": 0.28,
"bestAsk": 0.3,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-29T23:50:59.940141Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "economics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.05,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
}
],
"series": [
{
"id": "10342",
"ticker": "fed-3-parlay",
"slug": "fed-3-parlay",
"title": "Fed 3-Parlay",
"seriesType": "single",
"recurrence": "daily",
"image": "",
"icon": "",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"createdAt": "2025-09-30T15:24:59.362803Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-18T17:40:54.151146Z",
"volume24hr": 9153.853415000001,
"volume": 1465464.341751,
"liquidity": 178534.48486,
"commentCount": 37,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "159",
"label": "Fed",
"slug": "fed",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:27:18.98+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:27:18.986Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T21:09:42.963001Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100478",
"label": "fomc",
"slug": "fomc",
"createdAt": "2024-09-18T16:39:12.895052Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:41:15.156214Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100328",
"label": "Economy",
"slug": "economy",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2024-08-05T05:34:54.235643Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:29:06.948273Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101337",
"label": "Parlays",
"slug": "parlays",
"createdAt": "2024-11-27T20:28:32.874197Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:57:11.879826Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100196",
"label": "Fed Rates",
"slug": "fed-rates",
"forceShow": true,
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T17:15:07.579162Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101550",
"label": "Jerome Powell",
"slug": "jerome-powell",
"createdAt": "2024-12-18T23:06:40.410115Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T17:26:03.169374Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "105614",
"label": "CPI Release",
"slug": "cpi-release",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2026-07-13T16:21:39.23125Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-07-13T16:25:05.4713Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": true,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"seriesSlug": "fed-3-parlay",
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"estimateValue": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-29T23:43:10.393304Z",
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Recent FOMC meetings in June and July held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5-3.75 percent amid PCE inflation readings near 3.3-3.7 percent, well above the 2 percent target, with the July decision splitting 9-3 and three members favoring a 25-basis-point hike. Softer July CPI and PPI prints, combined with a July jobs report showing a 23,000 payroll decline and 4.1 percent unemployment, have tempered immediate hike expectations while labor market slack and still-elevated price pressures limit odds of a September cut. Market-implied odds heavily favor a third consecutive pause at the September 15-16 meeting, consistent with the Fed's data-dependent stance and official guidance against premature easing.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-08-18T16:16:49.104Z"
},
"version": "v1"
}Related stocks
Tickers mapped from the event's catalyst themes.
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
BAC
Bank of America Corporation
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
WFC
Wells Fargo & Company
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
C
Citigroup Inc.
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
GS
Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
MS
Morgan Stanley
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
SCHW
Charles Schwab Corporation
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
COF
Capital One
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
AXP
American Express Company
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
DFS
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
SYF
Synchrony Financial
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
V
Visa Inc.
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
MA
Mastercard Incorporated
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
SPGI
S&P Global Inc.
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Vol 291.5KLiq 12.3KEnd Sep 16, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Vol 322.7KLiq 23.3KEnd Sep 16, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Vol 79.7KLiq 26.7KEnd Sep 16, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Vol 30.5KLiq —End Sep 16, 2026Closed
- Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Vol 17.7KLiq —End Sep 16, 2026Closed
- Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Vol 2.2KLiq —End Sep 16, 2026Closed
- Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Vol 2.2KLiq —End Sep 16, 2026Closed
- Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Vol 1.9KLiq —End Sep 16, 2026Closed
- Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Vol 1.3KLiq —End Sep 16, 2026Closed