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How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2026
Volume
403.1K
24h volume
84
1w volume
580
Open interest
20.5K
Liquidity
22.0K
Liquidity CLOB
22.0K
Start
Dec 12, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 12, 2025
Event ID
102763
Slug
how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2026
Markets
8
Raw event data
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}- Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Vol 75.8KLiq 2.5KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
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