How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

{
  "id": "102763",
  "ticker": "how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2026",
  "slug": "how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2026",
  "title": "How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?",
  "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2025-12-12T00:45:49.529288Z",
  "creationDate": "2025-12-12T00:45:49.529283Z",
  "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2025-tjnLOs2vfvOH.jpg",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2025-tjnLOs2vfvOH.jpg",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 22647.35427,
  "volume": 439981.65791800007,
  "openInterest": 5674.358363,
  "createdAt": "2025-12-11T22:27:18.919501Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-04-15T03:43:10.713728Z",
  "competitive": 0.9071117561683599,
  "volume24hr": 714.674887,
  "volume1wk": 35503.258355,
  "volume1mo": 93006.510645,
  "volume1yr": 439981.6579179999,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 22647.35427,
  "negRisk": true,
  "negRiskMarketID": "0xa92a811c7c6c16f777a36a01ec7cc90d11c2fce29b5f3a046fe04052d0722a00",
  "commentCount": 0,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "916715",
      "question": "Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0xacff734fd12b552ebab5edb2220cf23c19bda7728b3673a44b0c515a2c60c3d5",
      "slug": "will-less-than-5-spacex-starship-launches-successfully-reach-space-in-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "2359.4235",
      "startDate": "2025-12-12T00:45:25.444421Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2025-tjnLOs2vfvOH.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2025-tjnLOs2vfvOH.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.49\", \"0.51\"]",
      "volume": "87467.81829799994",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-12-11T22:27:20.309349Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-15T03:42:28.732015Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "<5",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0xa92a811c7c6c16f777a36a01ec7cc90d11c2fce29b5f3a046fe04052d0722a00",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 87467.81829799994,
      "liquidityNum": 2359.4235,
      "endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
      "startDateIso": "2025-12-12",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 313.527148,
      "volume1wk": 11253.538657,
      "volume1mo": 30577.88645699999,
      "volume1yr": 87467.81829799998,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"36062429679865523787623068309302905887961488865948110723876152708058004555549\", \"108274249976865200285399055028180907021395947249491255471470364491925454297602\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 313.527148,
      "volume1wkClob": 11253.538657,
      "volume1moClob": 30577.88645699999,
      "volume1yrClob": 87467.81829799998,
      "volumeClob": 87467.81829799994,
      "liquidityClob": 2359.4235,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": true,
      "negRiskMarketID": "0xa92a811c7c6c16f777a36a01ec7cc90d11c2fce29b5f3a046fe04052d0722a00",
      "negRiskRequestID": "0x0b64f5a3f888b1f6a5b3eaf2769a96bf250fb5beed9843e9df7ecc1c595d3186",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-12T00:45:04Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.9999000099990001,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "clobRewards": [
        {
          "id": "88668",
          "conditionId": "0xacff734fd12b552ebab5edb2220cf23c19bda7728b3673a44b0c515a2c60c3d5",
          "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
          "rewardsAmount": 0,
          "rewardsDailyRate": 0.001,
          "startDate": "2026-02-27",
          "endDate": "2500-12-31"
        }
      ],
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.2,
      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.095,
      "oneHourPriceChange": -0.045,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.08,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": 0.24,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.58,
      "bestBid": 0.39,
      "bestAsk": 0.59,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "seriesColor": "",
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-12T00:39:15.68346Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "916719",
      "question": "Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x16ffe828264931ee812ab6ba10c018c5e263506e015b07c51faa49a6272dca87",
      "slug": "will-11-12-spacex-starship-launches-successfully-reach-space-in-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "2807.82612",
      "startDate": "2025-12-12T00:45:28.152542Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2025-tjnLOs2vfvOH.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2025-tjnLOs2vfvOH.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.045\", \"0.955\"]",
      "volume": "3099.597235",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-12-11T22:27:22.175434Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-15T03:42:34.397919Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "11-12",
      "groupItemThreshold": "4",
      "questionID": "0xa92a811c7c6c16f777a36a01ec7cc90d11c2fce29b5f3a046fe04052d0722a04",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 3099.597235,
      "liquidityNum": 2807.82612,
      "endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
      "startDateIso": "2025-12-12",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 10,
      "volume1wk": 81.66774,
      "volume1mo": 408.35818199999994,
      "volume1yr": 3099.597235000001,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"88581699143591497758671904184719585554648078930935260056154690871588134205285\", \"37555916344697079858808329240939281093076576449736887927519235401369392657066\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 10,
      "volume1wkClob": 81.66774,
      "volume1moClob": 408.35818199999994,
      "volume1yrClob": 3099.597235000001,
      "volumeClob": 3099.597235,
      "liquidityClob": 2807.82612,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": true,
      "negRiskMarketID": "0xa92a811c7c6c16f777a36a01ec7cc90d11c2fce29b5f3a046fe04052d0722a00",
      "negRiskRequestID": "0x69d343bb9924a30788216829c51d78ec4e8a0cd43cd3c116aff01686f1761a4f",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-12T00:45:06Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8284832542822228,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.05,
      "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0015,
      "oneHourPriceChange": 0.0005,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.002,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": 0.001,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.07,
      "bestBid": 0.02,
      "bestAsk": 0.07,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-12T00:39:15.689024Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "916716",
      "question": "Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x1fc6ebc7c289f983c41bbbabcb8f89c40dd6e1775c3fef1d4db27345900918c2",
      "slug": "will-5-6-spacex-starship-launches-successfully-reach-space-in-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "1991.2036",
      "startDate": "2025-12-12T00:45:28.729057Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2025-tjnLOs2vfvOH.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2025-tjnLOs2vfvOH.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.18\", \"0.82\"]",
      "volume": "106731.96585800001",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-12-11T22:27:20.783431Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-15T03:41:51.092202Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "5-6",
      "groupItemThreshold": "1",
      "questionID": "0xa92a811c7c6c16f777a36a01ec7cc90d11c2fce29b5f3a046fe04052d0722a01",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 106731.96585800001,
      "liquidityNum": 1991.2036,
      "endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
      "startDateIso": "2025-12-12",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 5,
      "volume1wk": 23293.99,
      "volume1mo": 39362.07940600001,
      "volume1yr": 106731.965858,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"20798336680914357427325280321488804035719515174673839031828260459847558923163\", \"55490445168913290308103458571019193034534178323806123681707325373021823274419\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 5,
      "volume1wkClob": 23293.99,
      "volume1moClob": 39362.07940600001,
      "volume1yrClob": 106731.965858,
      "volumeClob": 106731.96585800001,
      "liquidityClob": 1991.2036,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": true,
      "negRiskMarketID": "0xa92a811c7c6c16f777a36a01ec7cc90d11c2fce29b5f3a046fe04052d0722a00",
      "negRiskRequestID": "0x2ae6a0011c8ec94ef2b0fe021de97548d54e08f3b88aafc8feea301ca3f348ca",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-12T00:45:06Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.9071117561683599,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "clobRewards": [
        {
          "id": "88262",
          "conditionId": "0x1fc6ebc7c289f983c41bbbabcb8f89c40dd6e1775c3fef1d4db27345900918c2",
          "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
          "rewardsAmount": 0,
          "rewardsDailyRate": 0.001,
          "startDate": "2026-02-27",
          "endDate": "2500-12-31"
        }
      ],
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.12,
      "oneHourPriceChange": -0.01,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.03,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.235,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.26,
      "bestBid": 0.12,
      "bestAsk": 0.24,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-12T00:39:15.685197Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "916720",
      "question": "Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x77e5372080c917e45857e339ff82717efac40ad50cc0f2ea6ee30f5840fb3a0c",
      "slug": "will-13-14-spacex-starship-launches-successfully-reach-space-in-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "3473.10325",
      "startDate": "2025-12-12T00:45:27.392515Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2025-tjnLOs2vfvOH.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2025-tjnLOs2vfvOH.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.046\", \"0.954\"]",
      "volume": "3994.5734550000025",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-12-11T22:27:22.621668Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-15T03:42:47.017219Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "13-14",
      "groupItemThreshold": "5",
      "questionID": "0xa92a811c7c6c16f777a36a01ec7cc90d11c2fce29b5f3a046fe04052d0722a05",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 3994.5734550000025,
      "liquidityNum": 3473.10325,
      "endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
      "startDateIso": "2025-12-12",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 196.725332,
      "volume1wk": 277.270813,
      "volume1mo": 758.5363159999999,
      "volume1yr": 3994.573455,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"62454311052169754898482566196585439167790716811335720833112511543906782687052\", \"61856016508646529460774314621028209684827556548890044586634471338660169311779\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 196.725332,
      "volume1wkClob": 277.270813,
      "volume1moClob": 758.5363159999999,
      "volume1yrClob": 3994.573455,
      "volumeClob": 3994.5734550000025,
      "liquidityClob": 3473.10325,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": true,
      "negRiskMarketID": "0xa92a811c7c6c16f777a36a01ec7cc90d11c2fce29b5f3a046fe04052d0722a00",
      "negRiskRequestID": "0x34cee6b95aac606413a8255ab14af99281d2140744333e2867e12ef3a01efab2",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-12T00:45:06Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8291076480205885,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "clobRewards": [
        {
          "id": "97174",
          "conditionId": "0x77e5372080c917e45857e339ff82717efac40ad50cc0f2ea6ee30f5840fb3a0c",
          "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
          "rewardsAmount": 0,
          "rewardsDailyRate": 0.001,
          "startDate": "2026-03-09",
          "endDate": "2500-12-31"
        }
      ],
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.048,
      "oneDayPriceChange": 0.023,
      "oneHourPriceChange": -0.0095,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.024,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0035,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.037,
      "bestBid": 0.022,
      "bestAsk": 0.07,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-12T00:39:15.690141Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "916717",
      "question": "Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0xbab5a91f04f1ebe8fb3842b90e0b59c04b59a17f4b7ee67aeb6ad30cdba3fdae",
      "slug": "will-7-8-spacex-starship-launches-successfully-reach-space-in-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "4096.14467",
      "startDate": "2025-12-12T00:45:28.474917Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2025-tjnLOs2vfvOH.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2025-tjnLOs2vfvOH.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.05\", \"0.95\"]",
      "volume": "151197.0027900002",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-12-11T22:27:21.24024Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-15T03:42:20.232432Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "7-8",
      "groupItemThreshold": "2",
      "questionID": "0xa92a811c7c6c16f777a36a01ec7cc90d11c2fce29b5f3a046fe04052d0722a02",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 151197.0027900002,
      "liquidityNum": 4096.14467,
      "endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
      "startDateIso": "2025-12-12",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 20,
      "volume1wk": 166.76358800000003,
      "volume1mo": 20518.347984999993,
      "volume1yr": 151197.00278999994,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"1840177612036013575448372082807311040387833663832563938882269252171934676747\", \"69960315520943112218341999923382008143879801155478597363382485274806808584009\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 20,
      "volume1wkClob": 166.76358800000003,
      "volume1moClob": 20518.347984999993,
      "volume1yrClob": 151197.00278999994,
      "volumeClob": 151197.0027900002,
      "liquidityClob": 4096.14467,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": true,
      "negRiskMarketID": "0xa92a811c7c6c16f777a36a01ec7cc90d11c2fce29b5f3a046fe04052d0722a00",
      "negRiskRequestID": "0x4b20d16796765eea8f888b43cf1d9685f03578dcef37037230c2f0d75896ccac",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-12T00:45:06Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8316008316008316,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "clobRewards": [
        {
          "id": "88694",
          "conditionId": "0xbab5a91f04f1ebe8fb3842b90e0b59c04b59a17f4b7ee67aeb6ad30cdba3fdae",
          "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
          "rewardsAmount": 0,
          "rewardsDailyRate": 0.001,
          "startDate": "2026-02-27",
          "endDate": "2500-12-31"
        }
      ],
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.08,
      "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0195,
      "oneHourPriceChange": 0.0025,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.025,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.085,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.05,
      "bestBid": 0.01,
      "bestAsk": 0.09,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-12T00:39:15.68651Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "916721",
      "question": "Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x4f14f6c2c59d7e37d47fb3d35c2b952b0f88f2a73bff7b520d8f6837eaa06950",
      "slug": "will-15-16-spacex-starship-launches-successfully-reach-space-in-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "3217.27923",
      "startDate": "2025-12-12T00:45:27.899548Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2025-tjnLOs2vfvOH.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2025-tjnLOs2vfvOH.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0165\", \"0.9835\"]",
      "volume": "23876.64623199997",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-12-11T22:27:23.088183Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-15T03:42:42.676123Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "15-16",
      "groupItemThreshold": "6",
      "questionID": "0xa92a811c7c6c16f777a36a01ec7cc90d11c2fce29b5f3a046fe04052d0722a06",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 23876.64623199997,
      "liquidityNum": 3217.27923,
      "endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
      "startDateIso": "2025-12-12",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 124.63833299999999,
      "volume1wk": 243.34033,
      "volume1mo": 441.053388,
      "volume1yr": 23876.646231999996,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"59956068770785273665419484070482212662843360129848576102730478874085267147245\", \"79708138110926765689005855887641805219962536926807581993739419531911158183281\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 124.63833299999999,
      "volume1wkClob": 243.34033,
      "volume1moClob": 441.053388,
      "volume1yrClob": 23876.646231999996,
      "volumeClob": 23876.64623199997,
      "liquidityClob": 3217.27923,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": true,
      "negRiskMarketID": "0xa92a811c7c6c16f777a36a01ec7cc90d11c2fce29b5f3a046fe04052d0722a00",
      "negRiskRequestID": "0x5b4f31488b6a748fc2cd131b86ae852a32605b32bded7ad5c4b3e9c19ac9ead8",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-12T00:45:06Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8105223634264752,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.015,
      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0015,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0015,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0075,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.018,
      "bestBid": 0.009,
      "bestAsk": 0.024,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-12T00:39:15.691115Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "916718",
      "question": "Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0xed0620605dbb5d1d7097883e9de344f92a35a7d4091d7f8d6337c23b16104105",
      "slug": "will-9-10-spacex-starship-launches-successfully-reach-space-in-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "2162.47117",
      "startDate": "2025-12-12T00:45:27.646557Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2025-tjnLOs2vfvOH.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2025-tjnLOs2vfvOH.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.144\", \"0.856\"]",
      "volume": "55089.703409999966",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-12-11T22:27:21.696677Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-15T03:42:25.155648Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "9-10",
      "groupItemThreshold": "3",
      "questionID": "0xa92a811c7c6c16f777a36a01ec7cc90d11c2fce29b5f3a046fe04052d0722a03",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 55089.703409999966,
      "liquidityNum": 2162.47117,
      "endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
      "startDateIso": "2025-12-12",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 20,
      "volume1wk": 78.88000000000001,
      "volume1mo": 475.5406689999999,
      "volume1yr": 55089.703409999995,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"65204571522376669216156468926130548981402705966424997350654016267021708775616\", \"92753378379890594987579176391673387302955841522730684083658512551037210848334\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 20,
      "volume1wkClob": 78.88000000000001,
      "volume1moClob": 475.5406689999999,
      "volume1yrClob": 55089.703409999995,
      "volumeClob": 55089.703409999966,
      "liquidityClob": 2162.47117,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": true,
      "negRiskMarketID": "0xa92a811c7c6c16f777a36a01ec7cc90d11c2fce29b5f3a046fe04052d0722a00",
      "negRiskRequestID": "0x3b7dd973275d4f51a5baacd51652ad79000a6b1cc357afbce43bd53b194f4e1f",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-12T00:45:06Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8875193479217847,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.06,
      "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0205,
      "oneHourPriceChange": -0.0255,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.04,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": 0.044,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.188,
      "bestBid": 0.114,
      "bestAsk": 0.174,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-12T00:39:15.68767Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "916722",
      "question": "Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x1ee868fd07056d7072c8b6f1381939347c1205d755f2e1da9456aa13c80839b1",
      "slug": "will-more-than-16-spacex-starship-launches-successfully-reach-space-in-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "2671.10782",
      "startDate": "2025-12-12T00:45:29.406212Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2025-tjnLOs2vfvOH.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2025-tjnLOs2vfvOH.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.047\", \"0.953\"]",
      "volume": "8524.350640000002",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-12-11T22:27:23.550277Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-15T03:42:40.288217Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": ">16",
      "groupItemThreshold": "7",
      "questionID": "0xa92a811c7c6c16f777a36a01ec7cc90d11c2fce29b5f3a046fe04052d0722a07",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 8524.350640000002,
      "liquidityNum": 2671.10782,
      "endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
      "startDateIso": "2025-12-12",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 24.784074,
      "volume1wk": 107.807227,
      "volume1mo": 464.708242,
      "volume1yr": 8524.35064,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"49628892108634923524008562708027038277544058634424295335770469534982708174113\", \"80292400097630829461032948843624933228136266251992495233677480559823530598919\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 24.784074,
      "volume1wkClob": 107.807227,
      "volume1moClob": 464.708242,
      "volume1yrClob": 8524.35064,
      "volumeClob": 8524.350640000002,
      "liquidityClob": 2671.10782,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": true,
      "negRiskMarketID": "0xa92a811c7c6c16f777a36a01ec7cc90d11c2fce29b5f3a046fe04052d0722a00",
      "negRiskRequestID": "0x7d6ca5f5110a51c38310587193946f0caaef84d5552c31d0ab18a4f636ef749e",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-12T00:45:08Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8297316067171752,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.054,
      "oneDayPriceChange": 0.006,
      "oneHourPriceChange": -0.0105,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.0315,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": 0.017,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.081,
      "bestBid": 0.02,
      "bestAsk": 0.074,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-12T00:39:15.692119Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "series": [
    {
      "id": "10768",
      "ticker": "how-many-spacex-starship-launches",
      "slug": "how-many-spacex-starship-launches",
      "title": "How many SpaceX Starship launches",
      "seriesType": "single",
      "recurrence": "daily",
      "image": "",
      "icon": "",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "archived": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-12-11T22:20:47.526013Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-15T03:43:22.413937Z",
      "volume24hr": 714.674887,
      "volume": 439981.65791800007,
      "liquidity": 22647.35427,
      "commentCount": 13,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "63",
      "label": "SpaceX",
      "slug": "spacex",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:15:23.311+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:15:23.316Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:33:38.558326Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "1325",
      "label": "Space",
      "slug": "space",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2024-02-14 20:38:45.407+00",
      "createdAt": "2024-02-14T20:38:45.417Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:34:38.75615Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "74",
      "label": "Science",
      "slug": "science",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:20.623+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:20.826Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:33:38.571503Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "282",
      "label": "Elon Musk",
      "slug": "elon-musk",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:48:11.771+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:48:11.78Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:23:02.106744Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "103037",
      "label": "Climate & Science",
      "slug": "climate-science",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-12-30T23:31:52.33537Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:32:44.49474Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": false,
  "enableNegRisk": true,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "seriesSlug": "how-many-spacex-starship-launches",
  "gmpChartMode": "default",
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "cumulativeMarkets": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-12T00:30:37.185714Z",
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket prices under 5 Starship launches reaching space in 2026 at a 53.5% implied probability, driven by persistent delays in the program's first flight test of the year. SpaceX's Starship Flight 12, debuting the upgraded Version 3 vehicle with enhanced Raptor 3 engines and greater payload capacity, has faced multiple postponements—from early 2026 targets to now early May—due to pre-flight testing, supply chain issues, and FAA licensing hurdles including mishap investigations from prior flights. With zero orbital attempts logged by mid-April despite ambitions for rapid reusability and high cadence, traders draw from 2025's modest 5 tests amid regulatory scrutiny and Artemis program setbacks; key catalysts include Flight 12 static fires and potential FAA approvals for increased launch rates up to 25 annually.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-15T03:18:31.925Z"
  }
}