Iran leader end of 2026? | Market Ahead

Iran leader end of 2026?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify. If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.

Ticker

iran-leader-end-of-2026

Volume

38.8M

24h volume

12.9K

1w volume

112.5K

Open interest

862.7K

Liquidity

2.8M

Liquidity CLOB

2.8M

Start

Mar 1, 2026

End

Dec 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 1, 2026

Event ID

237598

Slug

iran-leader-end-of-2026

Markets

123

Tags

Middle East Iran World Geopolitics Politics Iran Regime Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec

Raw event data

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  "slug": "iran-leader-end-of-2026",
  "title": "Iran leader end of 2026?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2026-03-01T00:15:11.057586Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-03-01T00:28:20.720382Z",
  "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
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  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
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  "liquidity": 2755618.19612,
  "volume": 38794200.000734,
  "openInterest": 862708.9838480003,
  "sortBy": "price",
  "createdAt": "2026-02-28T21:23:55.4004Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-08-25T06:41:44.562754Z",
  "competitive": 0.9060564436922163,
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  "volume1mo": 3214138.299680003,
  "volume1yr": 21883190.646865,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
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  "negRisk": true,
  "negRiskMarketID": "0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec000",
  "commentCount": 155,
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    {
      "id": "1469734",
      "question": "Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x6397f084bcee3390e92b0a4f8d0f1fa23ddabad1668c4a6783f5643564f646d6",
      "slug": "will-there-be-no-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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      "startDate": "2026-03-01T00:15:11.057586Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0445\", \"0.9555\"]",
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      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-01T00:13:49Z",
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      "competitive": 0.8281708955488092,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
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      "clobRewards": [
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          "rewardsDailyRate": 0.001,
          "startDate": "2026-08-10",
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      "rewardsMinSize": 100,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.007,
      "oneDayPriceChange": 0.005,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.0015,
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      "bestBid": 0.041,
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      "automaticallyActive": true,
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      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-01T00:12:26.385858Z",
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    {
      "id": "1469735",
      "question": "Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0xae6d228c3a89c04f5d48b130c86416b146ee3fdc19c6f201603d9c9682dca3ea",
      "slug": "will-muhammad-mirbaqiri-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "84973.99632",
      "startDate": "2026-03-01T00:15:14.04324Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0035\", \"0.9965\"]",
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      "comboStatus": "disabled",
      "umaBond": "500",
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      "volume24hrClob": 42,
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      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
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      "bestBid": 0.003,
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      "automaticallyActive": true,
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      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
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      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-01T00:12:26.387827Z",
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    {
      "id": "1469736",
      "question": "Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x1c3443745a19b5da3775711dae0bc72056c9a816ccb1c8f6748e304608bd9762",
      "slug": "will-sadegh-larijani-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
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      "liquidity": "94597.88837",
      "startDate": "2026-03-01T00:15:16.050062Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0025\", \"0.9975\"]",
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    {
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      "question": "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "slug": "will-mojtaba-khamenei-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "68368.41725",
      "startDate": "2026-03-01T00:15:27.113703Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.822\", \"0.178\"]",
      "volume": "6133660.2247589985",
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      "createdAt": "2026-02-28T21:23:57.911179Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-08-25T06:43:21.307499Z",
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      "resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
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      "question": "Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
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    {
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      "question": "Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x7d9928e23aefb2209696048829b614f49e387d5a77327aa887d0724952fd1156",
      "slug": "will-hassan-shariatmadari-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
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      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "question": "Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "startDate": "2026-03-01T00:15:49.295639Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
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      "question": "Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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    {
      "id": "1469744",
      "question": "Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x68617ef6b6488a6a4753c9d57604764831a9448fb8aa7dee205bb2311e3b949d",
      "slug": "will-reza-pirzadeh-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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      "startDate": "2026-03-01T00:16:05.366343Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
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    {
      "id": "1469745",
      "question": "Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "slug": "will-navid-shomali-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
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      "startDate": "2026-03-01T00:16:11.379328Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
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    {
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      "question": "Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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    {
      "id": "1469747",
      "question": "Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "slug": "will-ali-motahari-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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      "startDate": "2026-03-01T00:16:26.537743Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
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      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
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    {
      "id": "1469748",
      "question": "Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0xb74991507f427043b7ee95a235b6920f1cf698e32333d98b7b4602787ef981a3",
      "slug": "will-gholam-ali-haddad-adel-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
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      "startDate": "2026-03-01T00:16:34.388203Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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    {
      "id": "1469749",
      "question": "Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0xaa53ce562be767321e2f0cba9f7b3207fde7d2204dbb7f9b5d804996eba7de7c",
      "slug": "will-mostafa-pourmohammadi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "88665.76956",
      "startDate": "2026-03-01T00:16:42.70388Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]",
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      "active": true,
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    {
      "id": "1469750",
      "question": "Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0xce9edcb8be64fadb0c83a6be6bc4efec26eaab5a9e05bcfca5c70c700c7b0942",
      "slug": "will-sadegh-mahsouli-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "101578.38623",
      "startDate": "2026-03-01T00:16:46.515815Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]",
      "volume": "239505.76571",
      "active": true,
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      "createdAt": "2026-02-28T21:24:05.57083Z",
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      "resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "Sadegh Mahsouli",
      "groupItemThreshold": "16",
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      "question": "Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "slug": "will-hassan-rouhani-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
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      "startDate": "2026-03-01T00:17:16.533601Z",
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      "question": "Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "slug": "will-mohammad-khatami-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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      "startDate": "2026-03-01T00:17:22.549712Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
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    {
      "id": "1469756",
      "question": "Will Other be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x27a3400808c45bdd8f6782d393987a2fbf00b8ccddf627b1f542d8244d4137a5",
      "slug": "will-other-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026-477",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "0",
      "startDate": "2026-03-01T00:17:28.652727Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "oneYearPriceChange": 0,
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      "automaticallyActive": true,
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      "seriesColor": "",
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      "manualActivation": true,
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      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
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      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-01T00:12:26.412348Z",
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    {
      "id": "1469757",
      "question": "Will Mohammad Pakpour be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x6cd58ce2bd63ed6773d2989bc5f8ae760ad1b2f7dfbafc6b5dc5b1f8551c49ae",
      "slug": "will-mohammad-pakpour-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026-144",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "startDate": "2026-03-01T00:17:34.680002Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
      "active": true,
      "closed": true,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-02-28T21:24:09.589472Z",
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      "restricted": true,
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    {
      "id": "1469758",
      "question": "Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "slug": "will-alireza-arafi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "81490.24759",
      "startDate": "2026-03-01T00:17:39.638Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "Alireza Arafi",
      "groupItemThreshold": "24",
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    {
      "id": "1469759",
      "question": "Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0xa6093b047455f139b9aead883060929fb780f09eb904b09eeff01bb48d568222",
      "slug": "will-ali-larijani-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "startDate": "2026-03-01T00:17:48.439Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
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    {
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      "question": "Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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    {
      "id": "1469761",
      "question": "Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x9bc5b4e8a866be23195ae675ec7c3ca2e4fece72c80fffe82a7d69726f9dfc61",
      "slug": "will-ahmad-vahidi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
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      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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      "startDate": "2026-03-01T00:18:05.331Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
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    {
      "id": "1469762",
      "question": "Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "slug": "will-mohsen-araki-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
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      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
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    {
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      "question": "Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "slug": "will-nasir-hosseini-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
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      "startDate": "2026-03-01T00:18:19.274Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
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      "question": "Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "question": "Will ad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "question": "Will ae be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "question": "Will af be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "slug": "will-af-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "question": "Will aj be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "question": "Will an be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "question": "Will ar be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "question": "Will as be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "question": "Will ba be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "question": "Will bd be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "question": "Will be be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "id": "1469810",
      "question": "Will bf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "slug": "will-bf-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
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      "liquidity": "0",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
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      "question": "Will bh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "question": "Will bi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "question": "Will bj be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "question": "Will bl be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "question": "Will bm be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "question": "Will bn be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "question": "Will bo be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "question": "Will bq be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "slug": "will-bq-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
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      "liquidity": "0",
      "startDate": "2026-03-01T00:24:58.767184Z",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "id": "1469822",
      "question": "Will br be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0xc213259721400e6b26e1d454ac7bcc28d424ab197ad52f8b5139f1e77b45cb6b",
      "slug": "will-br-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
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      "liquidity": "0",
      "startDate": "2026-03-01T00:25:06.780862Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
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    {
      "id": "1469823",
      "question": "Will bs be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x9ad6083fd40ad189c0f478a1ae285e0907040733cc701bb747de3b87c7c893f0",
      "slug": "will-bs-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "0",
      "startDate": "2026-03-01T00:25:14.835613Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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    {
      "id": "1469824",
      "question": "Will bt be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0xac64cfb9a17c261ca3e4501a09288d22b23cfcaacfeac3681a1d6d133605fe07",
      "slug": "will-bt-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "0",
      "startDate": "2026-03-01T00:25:18.940063Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
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      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
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      "active": false,
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      "createdAt": "2026-02-28T21:24:47.278842Z",
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      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "bt",
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      "question": "Will bu be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "question": "Will bv be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "question": "Will bw be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "question": "Will by be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "question": "Will bz be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "slug": "will-bz-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
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      "id": "1469831",
      "question": "Will ca be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "slug": "will-ca-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "question": "Will cb be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "question": "Will cd be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "question": "Will ce be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "question": "Will cf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "slug": "will-cf-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
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      "liquidity": "0",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "question": "Will ch be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "question": "Will cj be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "question": "Will cn be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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      "question": "Will cq be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "slug": "will-cq-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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    {
      "id": "1469848",
      "question": "Will cr be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "slug": "will-cr-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
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      "liquidity": "0",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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    {
      "id": "1469849",
      "question": "Will cs be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "slug": "will-cs-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "0",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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    {
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      "question": "Will ct be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "slug": "will-ct-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
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      "liquidity": "0",
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      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
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      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
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      "question": "Will cu be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "question": "Will cv be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "question": "Will cw be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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    {
      "id": "1469855",
      "question": "Will cy be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "slug": "will-cy-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "0",
      "startDate": "2026-03-01T00:29:21.534741Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
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      "id": "1469856",
      "question": "Will cz be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "volume": "0",
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  "tags": [
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      "id": "154",
      "label": "Middle East",
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      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:26:20.585+00",
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      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:26:20.601Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:19:53.885899Z",
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    {
      "id": "78",
      "label": "Iran",
      "slug": "iran",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:51.647+00",
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      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:19:53.890971Z",
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      "id": "101970",
      "label": "World",
      "slug": "world",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T17:18:59.135061Z",
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      "id": "100265",
      "label": "Geopolitics",
      "slug": "geopolitics",
      "forceShow": true,
      "createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:49:04.209055Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
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    {
      "id": "2",
      "label": "Politics",
      "slug": "politics",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "104005",
      "label": "Iran Regime",
      "slug": "iranian-leadership-regime",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2026-03-02T19:48:14.400431Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:49:44.287128Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "103796",
      "label": "Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec",
      "slug": "rewards-50-4pt5-100",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2026-02-17T21:38:43.366956Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-06-12T18:00:05.17263Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
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  "cyom": false,
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  "deploying": false,
  "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-01T00:10:55.0168Z",
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Mojtaba Khamenei’s selection as Supreme Leader by Iran’s Assembly of Experts in March 2026, following the assassination of his father Ali Khamenei during U.S.-Israeli strikes, anchors trader consensus at 82.2%. The unanimous vote by the clerical body formalized continuity amid wartime pressure and IRGC influence, with Mojtaba positioned as a reliable hardline figure despite limited religious credentials. Persistent reports of his injuries from the strikes, multiple surgeries, and minimal public appearances have sustained modest probabilities for alternatives such as Alireza Arafi or an interim council structure, reflected in the 4.5% for no head of state. No other listed contenders have mounted credible challenges since the transition, and scheduled institutional processes through year-end offer few near-term catalysts for shifts.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-08-25T05:31:34.112Z"
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}

Tickers mapped from the event's catalyst themes.

Exxon Mobil Corporation

Iran and oil risk

Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.

Chevron Corporation

Iran and oil risk

Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.

ConocoPhillips

Iran and oil risk

Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.

Occidental Petroleum

Iran and oil risk

Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.

EOG Resources

Iran and oil risk

Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.

Diamondback Energy

Iran and oil risk

Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.

Devon Energy

Iran and oil risk

Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.

APA Corporation

Iran and oil risk

Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.

Coterra

Iran and oil risk

Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.

Schlumberger Limited

Iran and oil risk

Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.

Halliburton

Iran and oil risk

Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.

Baker Hughes

Iran and oil risk

Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.

Valero Energy

Iran and oil risk

Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.

Marathon Petroleum

Iran and oil risk

Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 6.1MLiq 68.4KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 1.2MLiq 81.7KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 675.5KLiq 149.6KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 2.3MLiq 81.5KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 1.1MLiq 76.4KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 944.9KLiq 81.1KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 777.7KLiq 71.8KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 1.0MLiq 74.0KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 1.4MLiq 75.8KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 919.3KLiq 82.0KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 833.7KLiq 81.1KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 438.3KLiq 85.0KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 539.0KLiq 94.6KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 5.2MLiq 93.6KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 3.7MLiq 94.4KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 3.4MLiq 88.7KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 3.1MLiq 90.8KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 837.3KLiq 88.5KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 807.3KLiq 105.2KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 435.9KLiq 106.0KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 399.8KLiq 96.2KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 389.8KLiq 96.3KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 344.1KLiq 97.9KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 306.9KLiq 90.9KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 285.9KLiq 108.2KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 254.9KLiq 100.0KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 239.5KLiq 101.6KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 215.0KLiq 101.8KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 201.3KLiq 97.4KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 147.4KLiq 100.2KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 236.9KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Mohammad Pakpour be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol —Liq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Other be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will o be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will p be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will q be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will r be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will s be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will t be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will u be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will v be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will w be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will x be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will y be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will z be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will aa be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will ab be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will ac be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will ad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will ae be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will af be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will ag be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will ah be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will ai be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will aj be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will ak be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will al be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will am be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will an be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will ao be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will ap be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will aq be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will ar be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will as be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will at be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will au be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will av be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will aw be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will ax be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will ay be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will az be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will ba be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will bb be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will bc be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will bd be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will be be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will bf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will bg be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will bh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will bi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will bj be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will bk be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will bl be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will bm be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will bn be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will bo be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will bp be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will bq be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will br be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will bs be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will bt be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will bu be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will bv be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will bw be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will bx be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will by be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will bz be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will ca be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will cb be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will cc be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will cd be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will ce be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will cf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will cg be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will ch be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will ci be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will cj be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will ck be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will cl be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will cm be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will cn be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will co be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will cp be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will cq be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will cr be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will cs be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will ct be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will cu be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will cv be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will cw be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will cx be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will cy be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will cz be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book