Netanyahu out by...?

Name: Netanyahu out by...?
Start: 2025-07-24T23:38:14.261Z
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00Z

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Ticker

netanyahu-out-before-2027

Volume

124.1M

24h volume

7.1K

1w volume

23.1K

Open interest

397.3K

Liquidity

99.6K

Liquidity CLOB

99.6K

Start

Jul 24, 2025

End

Jan 1, 2027

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Jul 24, 2025

Event ID

34051

Slug

netanyahu-out-before-2027

Markets

Tags

Geopolitics World Middle East Israel Politics Earn 4%Israel Election

Raw event data

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  "title": "Netanyahu out by...?",
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      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "seriesColor": "",
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-02T17:20:19.077466Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null,
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    },
    {
      "id": "1632763",
      "question": "Netanyahu out by April 30?",
      "conditionId": "0xb37e5f6ece2db9165517b62e3257e0da5d3e79713883cb71c74013fe912e8a4d",
      "slug": "netanyahu-out-by-april-30",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-05-01T03:59:00Z",
      "startDate": "2026-03-18T23:59:58.839005Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/netanyahu-out-in-2025-Vc7bE4GtiJzM.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/netanyahu-out-in-2025-Vc7bE4GtiJzM.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
      "volume": "9575896.405742953",
      "active": true,
      "closed": true,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-03-17T22:19:46.573702Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-08-21T18:19:13.317083Z",
      "closedTime": "2026-05-01 07:29:48+00",
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      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "April 30",
      "groupItemThreshold": "1",
      "questionID": "0xfe9cce3a504aa40e78fc2d31c2323177d9c9f0ed81b387a5624fa5f6bb53d501",
      "umaEndDate": "2026-05-01T07:29:48Z",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
      "volumeNum": 9575896.405742953,
      "endDateIso": "2026-05-01",
      "startDateIso": "2026-03-18",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"94971791649616758046979838862595479708845542618213971624131398549272319500007\", \"23817979944211394691334587934704165710302136064023445337739699893544600634387\"]",
      "comboStatus": "disabled",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volumeClob": 9575896.405742953,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": false,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-18T23:58:53Z",
      "cyom": false,
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      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 200,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.001,
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      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.001,
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      "seriesColor": "",
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      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-18T23:57:38.591182Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
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    }
  ],
  "series": [
    {
      "id": "10158",
      "ticker": "netanyahu-out",
      "slug": "netanyahu-out",
      "title": "Netanyahu out",
      "seriesType": "single",
      "recurrence": "monthly",
      "image": "",
      "icon": "",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "archived": false,
      "featured": false,
      "restricted": true,
      "createdAt": "2025-07-21T13:52:31.312064Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-08-24T18:38:09.520825Z",
      "volume24hr": 7090.403464,
      "volume": 124069689.87896259,
      "liquidity": 99561.3042,
      "commentCount": 2234,
      "requiresTranslation": false
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  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "100265",
      "label": "Geopolitics",
      "slug": "geopolitics",
      "forceShow": true,
      "createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:49:04.209055Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "101970",
      "label": "World",
      "slug": "world",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T17:18:59.135061Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
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    {
      "id": "154",
      "label": "Middle East",
      "slug": "middle-east",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:26:20.585+00",
      "updatedBy": 15,
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:26:20.601Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:19:53.885899Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
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    {
      "id": "180",
      "label": "Israel",
      "slug": "israel",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:31:07.39+00",
      "updatedBy": 15,
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:31:07.395Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T17:25:43.191023Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
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    },
    {
      "id": "2",
      "label": "Politics",
      "slug": "politics",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "102458",
      "label": "Earn 4%",
      "slug": "earn-4",
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      "createdAt": "2025-08-01T13:31:11.928744Z",
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      "isCarousel": false,
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    {
      "id": "104793",
      "label": "Israel Election",
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      "updatedAt": "2026-04-28T19:55:03.279458Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
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  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": false,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "seriesSlug": "netanyahu-out",
  "gmpChartMode": "default",
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "estimateValue": false,
  "cumulativeMarkets": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Netanyahu serves as caretaker prime minister following the Knesset dissolution on July 17, 2026, ahead of the October 27 legislative election that will determine the next coalition. Recent polls show his Likud-led bloc holding roughly 48–52 seats, trailing or nearly tied with opposition groupings led by Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, with neither side securing the 61-seat majority required to form a government. Key factors include voter fatigue from the Gaza conflict, coalition tensions over Haredi conscription, and Netanyahu’s rejection of a U.S.-backed 15-point Gaza plan in early August. An opposition victory or prolonged stalemate could lead to his departure in late 2026, while a Likud plurality might extend his interim role or enable a new government. The outcome hinges on turnout, Arab-party participation, and post-election coalition negotiations.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-08-24T18:01:51.342Z"
  },
  "version": "v1"
}

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Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Vol 2.2MLiq 99.5KEnd Jan 1, 2027OpenOrder book
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Vol 104.2MLiq —End Apr 1, 2026Closed
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Vol 9.6MLiq —End May 1, 2026Closed
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Vol 6.9MLiq —End Jul 1, 2026Closed
Netanyahu out by May 31?
Vol 821.1KLiq —End Jun 1, 2026Closed
Netanyahu out by July 31?
Vol 332.1KLiq —End Aug 1, 2026Closed

Overview

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