Netanyahu out by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ticker
netanyahu-out-before-2027
Volume
123.4M
24h volume
17.3K
1w volume
69.4K
Open interest
477.3K
Liquidity
162.7K
Liquidity CLOB
162.7K
Start
Jul 24, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jul 24, 2025
Event ID
34051
Slug
netanyahu-out-before-2027
Markets
6
Raw event data
{
"id": "34051",
"ticker": "netanyahu-out-before-2027",
"slug": "netanyahu-out-before-2027",
"title": "Netanyahu out by...?",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNote that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2025-07-24T23:38:14.261Z",
"creationDate": "2025-07-24T23:47:39.166485Z",
"endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/netanyahu-out-in-2025-Vc7bE4GtiJzM.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/netanyahu-out-in-2025-Vc7bE4GtiJzM.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 162715.8248,
"volume": 123419040.45766361,
"openInterest": 477275.384271,
"createdAt": "2025-07-24T23:11:19.184091Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-07-06T03:39:27.142026Z",
"competitive": 0.9910557221079755,
"volume24hr": 17288.835699,
"volume1wk": 69355.34139100001,
"volume1mo": 455675.5295580004,
"volume1yr": 1901007.0113560075,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 162715.8248,
"negRisk": false,
"commentCount": 34,
"markets": [
{
"id": "2098553",
"question": "Netanyahu out by May 31?",
"conditionId": "0x73a4b0e6dca901bb8cb7556db7445e21b5654fc4b3b0856babee8e2f82094112",
"slug": "netanyahu-out-by-may-31",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-05-31T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-27T17:01:25.204288Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/netanyahu-out-in-2025-Vc7bE4GtiJzM.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/netanyahu-out-in-2025-Vc7bE4GtiJzM.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "821121.8425280005",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-27T16:58:21.39828Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-06-02T03:35:33.144943Z",
"closedTime": "2026-06-01 06:31:27+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "May 31",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0x6ce0a4463a532c09ff4872ccfa6c357f76b64cd53e64c728577103c8a80810e0",
"umaEndDate": "2026-06-01T06:31:27Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 821121.8425280005,
"endDateIso": "2026-05-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-27",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"37387521248243934601038595503021732211653093656817313284775149072918221081890\", \"43922360245019925448014613233325808851342080979414111621138725695702056279772\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 821121.8425280005,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-27T17:00:22Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 0,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 0,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.003,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.021,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-27T16:59:10.157743Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "2555383",
"question": "Netanyahu out by July 31?",
"conditionId": "0xc553d06377f1f3768d3d302748609f5d01c035744dddc327ccc7e55c0067a504",
"slug": "netanyahu-out-by-july-31",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-07-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "72746.50529",
"startDate": "2026-06-15T18:47:57.280372Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/netanyahu-out-in-2025-Vc7bE4GtiJzM.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/netanyahu-out-in-2025-Vc7bE4GtiJzM.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0055\", \"0.9945\"]",
"volume": "78413.47839499985",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-06-15T18:03:03.623752Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-07-06T03:39:21.566516Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "July 31",
"groupItemThreshold": "4",
"questionID": "0x1c06b5724b2d2f9f83d7214d6c047f2c8ab90628f9db3eede524b343a659f41c",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 78413.47839499985,
"liquidityNum": 72746.50529,
"endDateIso": "2026-07-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-06-15",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 373.86934199999996,
"volume1wk": 22552.806857000018,
"volume1mo": 78413.47839500004,
"volume1yr": 78413.47839500004,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"59998658781035476778449418646398730088700792908221657065358591513871102835151\", \"81884166811074002028138369660127588420358639269194135906770008813817544349172\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 373.86934199999996,
"volume1wkClob": 22552.806857000018,
"volume1moClob": 78413.47839500004,
"volume1yrClob": 78413.47839500004,
"volumeClob": 78413.47839499985,
"liquidityClob": 72746.50529,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-06-15T18:47:09Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8035160254240507,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0165,
"lastTradePrice": 0.005,
"bestBid": 0.005,
"bestAsk": 0.006,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-06-15T18:45:59.128918Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "567688",
"question": "Netanyahu out by end of 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xd1796c09d0d6f876f8580086ae9808ec991784e3a74b25a1830a25de71a78c96",
"slug": "netanyahu-out-before-2027-684-719-226-657",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "89903.5592",
"startDate": "2025-07-24T23:38:14.261Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/netanyahu-out-in-2025-Vc7bE4GtiJzM.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/netanyahu-out-in-2025-Vc7bE4GtiJzM.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.405\", \"0.595\"]",
"volume": "1819179.1929610234",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "0xd864690C8f8AA193Ee493524B9046FdbE8Dd28D3",
"createdAt": "2025-07-24T23:11:20.896629Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-07-06T03:39:21.566516Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x157Ce2d672854c848c9b79C49a8Cc6cc89176a49",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "December 31",
"groupItemThreshold": "5",
"questionID": "0xdffcb15a3e237d0439b6a6cb7dffd2794ea752e7a904dd4120ded5ea839bd5c2",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 1819179.1929610234,
"liquidityNum": 89903.5592,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
"startDateIso": "2025-07-24",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 16914.966357,
"volume1wk": 46802.534534,
"volume1mo": 377262.05116300035,
"volume1yr": 1821037.5529610075,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"114694726451307654528948558967898493662917070661203465131156925998487819889437\", \"66255671088804707681511323064315150986307471908131081808279119719218775249892\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 16914.966357,
"volume1wkClob": 46802.534534,
"volume1moClob": 377262.05116300035,
"volume1yrClob": 1821037.5529610075,
"volumeClob": 1819179.1929610234,
"liquidityClob": 89903.5592,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-07-24T23:37:54Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9910557221079755,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "314558",
"conditionId": "0xd1796c09d0d6f876f8580086ae9808ec991784e3a74b25a1830a25de71a78c96",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 30,
"startDate": "2026-05-08",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 200,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.01,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.05,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.07,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.115,
"lastTradePrice": 0.41,
"bestBid": 0.4,
"bestAsk": 0.41,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-07-24T23:37:05.023259Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": true,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1484949",
"question": "Netanyahu out by March 31?",
"conditionId": "0x7cb525e831729325d651017f81cbcb6f1adde5011c7b2283babea00b4ae93ae7",
"slug": "netanyahu-out-by-march-31-854",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-02T17:46:49.625Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/netanyahu-out-in-2025-Vc7bE4GtiJzM.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/netanyahu-out-in-2025-Vc7bE4GtiJzM.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "104205875.48971872",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-02T17:17:00.792046Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T21:56:12.052718Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-05 06:13:09+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "March 31",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0x08b9a3c692e25cf126ba3ee491e2cb0b6139a9d611b22b92e0cfd8669cf19f52",
"umaEndDate": "2026-04-05T06:13:09Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 104205875.48971872,
"endDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-02",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"68651215661669695672235506829747686724194100790999648420763714425224567728520\", \"73662070458561467734997715458900555626841827840002814944742182699282770895284\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 104205875.48971872,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-02T17:45:43Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 200,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.005,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0765,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\", \"disputed\", \"proposed\", \"disputed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-02T17:20:19.078843Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1484987",
"question": "Netanyahu out by June 30?",
"conditionId": "0x865303ccb9a48341d1bae33b3b4379ca86d5abbff3ce1e132716631cc0af3cce",
"slug": "netanyahu-out-by-june-30-383-244-575",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-02T17:42:07.509Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/netanyahu-out-in-2025-Vc7bE4GtiJzM.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/netanyahu-out-in-2025-Vc7bE4GtiJzM.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "6918554.048317918",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-02T17:19:27.668668Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-07-02T05:28:46.47742Z",
"closedTime": "2026-07-01 06:06:58+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "June 30",
"groupItemThreshold": "3",
"questionID": "0x4e138370a9e4f32a37e1a52a15faefe7b648cafb467f8ae237800beefd29718f",
"umaEndDate": "2026-07-01T06:06:58Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 6918554.048317918,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-02",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume1yr": 1555.98,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"110540225177219524039862595475289990032643955968401089134377304882717624846278\", \"54062452792656591940498333119952225497035882944827198088651910072416401737992\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume1yrClob": 1555.98,
"volumeClob": 6918554.048317918,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-02T17:41:01Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 0,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 0,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.004,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.029,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-02T17:20:19.077466Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1632763",
"question": "Netanyahu out by April 30?",
"conditionId": "0xb37e5f6ece2db9165517b62e3257e0da5d3e79713883cb71c74013fe912e8a4d",
"slug": "netanyahu-out-by-april-30",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-04-30T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-18T23:59:58.839005Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/netanyahu-out-in-2025-Vc7bE4GtiJzM.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/netanyahu-out-in-2025-Vc7bE4GtiJzM.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "9575896.405742953",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-17T22:19:46.573702Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-05-02T05:12:49.625327Z",
"closedTime": "2026-05-01 07:29:48+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "April 30",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0xfe9cce3a504aa40e78fc2d31c2323177d9c9f0ed81b387a5624fa5f6bb53d501",
"umaEndDate": "2026-05-01T07:29:48Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 9575896.405742953,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-30",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-18",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"94971791649616758046979838862595479708845542618213971624131398549272319500007\", \"23817979944211394691334587934704165710302136064023445337739699893544600634387\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 9575896.405742953,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-18T23:58:53Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 200,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.001,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.005,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.022,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-18T23:57:38.591182Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"series": [
{
"id": "10158",
"ticker": "netanyahu-out",
"slug": "netanyahu-out",
"title": "Netanyahu out",
"seriesType": "single",
"recurrence": "monthly",
"image": "",
"icon": "",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"createdAt": "2025-07-21T13:52:31.312064Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-07-06T03:39:40.530885Z",
"volume24hr": 17288.835699,
"volume": 123419040.45766361,
"liquidity": 162715.8248,
"commentCount": 2242,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "100265",
"label": "Geopolitics",
"slug": "geopolitics",
"forceShow": true,
"createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:49:04.209055Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101970",
"label": "World",
"slug": "world",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T17:18:59.135061Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "154",
"label": "Middle East",
"slug": "middle-east",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:26:20.585+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:26:20.601Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:19:53.885899Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "180",
"label": "Israel",
"slug": "israel",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:31:07.39+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:31:07.395Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T17:25:43.191023Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "2",
"label": "Politics",
"slug": "politics",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102458",
"label": "Earn 4%",
"slug": "earn-4",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-08-01T13:31:11.928744Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T21:09:22.871226Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"seriesSlug": "netanyahu-out",
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"estimateValue": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Netanyahu remains Israel's prime minister ahead of legislative elections scheduled by late October 2026, with the Knesset advancing dissolution proceedings amid coalition strains over ultra-Orthodox military exemptions and budget issues. Recent polls show Likud as the largest single party, though opposition blocs led by figures such as Naftali Bennett and Gadi Eisenkot have narrowed or overtaken his coalition in some surveys, reflecting voter fatigue from prolonged conflicts in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran. Netanyahu has signaled intent to seek another term and influence the election timeline, while public statements emphasize security achievements against Iran and Hezbollah. Traders weigh risks of post-election losses or coalition realignments against his history of navigating fragmented Knesset arithmetic; key near-term catalysts include final election date confirmation and any late shifts in northern voter sentiment or U.S.-Iran diplomacy.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-06-18T02:17:54.055Z"
}
}Related stocks
Tickers mapped from the event's catalyst themes.
XOM
Exxon Mobil Corporation
Iran and oil risk
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
CVX
Chevron Corporation
Iran and oil risk
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
COP
ConocoPhillips
Iran and oil risk
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
OXY
Occidental Petroleum
Iran and oil risk
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
EOG
EOG Resources
Iran and oil risk
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
FANG
Diamondback Energy
Iran and oil risk
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
DVN
Devon Energy
Iran and oil risk
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
TSLA
Tesla Inc.
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
APA
APA Corporation
Iran and oil risk
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
CTRA
Coterra
Iran and oil risk
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
SLB
Schlumberger Limited
Iran and oil risk
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
GM
General Motors Company
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Vol 1.8MLiq 89.9KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Netanyahu out by July 31?Vol 78.4KLiq 72.7KEnd Jul 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Vol 104.2MLiq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
- Netanyahu out by April 30?Vol 9.6MLiq —End Apr 30, 2026Closed
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Vol 6.9MLiq —End Jun 30, 2026Closed
- Netanyahu out by May 31?Vol 821.1KLiq —End May 31, 2026Closed