
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ticker
netanyahu-out-before-2027
Volume
124.0M
24h volume
18.7K
1w volume
83.2K
Open interest
422.4K
Liquidity
75.3K
Liquidity CLOB
75.3K
Start
Jul 24, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jul 24, 2025
Event ID
34051
Slug
netanyahu-out-before-2027
Markets
6
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"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/netanyahu-out-in-2025-Vc7bE4GtiJzM.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
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"createdAt": "2026-03-17T22:19:46.573702Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-05-02T05:12:49.625327Z",
"closedTime": "2026-05-01 07:29:48+00",
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"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "April 30",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
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"volumeNum": 9575896.405742953,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-30",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-18",
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"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 9575896.405742953,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-18T23:58:53Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 200,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.001,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.005,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.022,
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"automaticallyActive": true,
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"seriesColor": "",
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"manualActivation": false,
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"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
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"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-18T23:57:38.591182Z",
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"version": "v1"
}
],
"series": [
{
"id": "10158",
"ticker": "netanyahu-out",
"slug": "netanyahu-out",
"title": "Netanyahu out",
"seriesType": "single",
"recurrence": "monthly",
"image": "",
"icon": "",
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"createdAt": "2025-07-21T13:52:31.312064Z",
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"commentCount": 2231,
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}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "100265",
"label": "Geopolitics",
"slug": "geopolitics",
"forceShow": true,
"createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:49:04.209055Z",
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},
{
"id": "101970",
"label": "World",
"slug": "world",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T17:18:59.135061Z",
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},
{
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"label": "Middle East",
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"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:26:20.585+00",
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"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:26:20.601Z",
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},
{
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},
{
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"label": "Politics",
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"publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z",
"forceHide": true,
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},
{
"id": "102458",
"label": "Earn 4%",
"slug": "earn-4",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-08-01T13:31:11.928744Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T21:09:22.871226Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "104793",
"label": "Israel Election",
"slug": "israel-election",
"createdAt": "2026-04-28T19:50:03.260791Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-28T19:55:03.279458Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
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"seriesSlug": "netanyahu-out",
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"negRiskAugmented": false,
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"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Israel’s October 27, 2026, legislative elections, following the Knesset’s July dissolution, represent the dominant near-term catalyst for trader views on Benjamin Netanyahu’s tenure as prime minister. Polls indicate his Likud-led coalition trails opposition blocs, with war fatigue from the post-October 2023 Gaza conflict, unresolved legal proceedings, and coalition fragmentation cited as key pressures. Netanyahu has confirmed he will run again and pursue a governing majority, yet recent legislative maneuvers before dissolution aimed to shore up his bloc amid projections of an opposition edge. Coalition formation after the vote could extend weeks or months, creating a window for his departure by year-end if no viable government emerges. These electoral dynamics and post-vote negotiations underpin current market-implied probabilities around the December 31 outcome.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-08-13T09:16:17.239Z"
},
"version": "v1"
}Tickers mapped from the event's catalyst themes.
Exxon Mobil Corporation
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
Chevron Corporation
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
ConocoPhillips
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
Occidental Petroleum
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
EOG Resources
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
Diamondback Energy
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
Devon Energy
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
Tesla Inc.
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
APA Corporation
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
Coterra
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
Lucid Group, Inc.
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
Schlumberger Limited
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
General Motors Company
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.