
Prediction market · Polymarket
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report. The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Ticker
south-africa-annual-inflation-2026
Volume
63.9K
24h volume
4.4K
1w volume
9.5K
Open interest
3.8K
Liquidity
12.0K
Liquidity CLOB
12.0K
Start
Jan 26, 2026
End
Jan 21, 2027
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 26, 2026
Event ID
183657
Slug
south-africa-annual-inflation-2026
Markets
10
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"id": "183657",
"ticker": "south-africa-annual-inflation-2026",
"slug": "south-africa-annual-inflation-2026",
"title": "South Africa Annual Inflation 2026",
"description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)\". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-01-26T22:59:44.683808Z",
"creationDate": "2026-01-26T23:01:23.485362Z",
"endDate": "2027-01-21T04:59:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/south-africa-annual-inflation-2026-myZpgWrUtAdS.jpg",
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"active": true,
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"createdAt": "2026-01-23T17:42:47.909005Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-09-22T22:22:51.386781Z",
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"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x79c5f410563c26f6d32dc6445908b156c607d44b9e94e7284a25ff72b604f200",
"commentCount": 0,
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"id": "1250456",
"question": "Will South African inflation be less than 2.6% in 2026?",
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"description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)\". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874",
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"active": true,
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"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-26T22:58:39Z",
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"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
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{
"id": "1250457",
"question": "Will South African inflation be between 2.6% and 2.9% in 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xb6ea30c8cf1658248f037056697c86fb4610398714900c7b158b014bc063a6f1",
"slug": "will-south-african-inflation-be-between-2pt6-and-2pt9-in-2026",
"endDate": "2027-01-20T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "805.011",
"startDate": "2026-01-26T22:59:44.683808Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/south-africa-annual-inflation-2026-myZpgWrUtAdS.jpg",
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"description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)\". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874",
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{
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"question": "Will South African inflation be between 2.9% and 3.2% in 2026?",
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"endDate": "2027-01-21T04:59:00Z",
"liquidity": "844.26153",
"startDate": "2026-01-26T22:59:50.240353Z",
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{
"id": "1250459",
"question": "Will South African inflation be between 3.2% and 3.5% in 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x443e60a2f3550031a8a6fb2785f8bb919e6ff505a4e3875198ee5b864756b369",
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"endDate": "2027-01-21T04:59:00Z",
"liquidity": "653.00022",
"startDate": "2026-01-26T22:59:49.986903Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/south-africa-annual-inflation-2026-myZpgWrUtAdS.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/south-africa-annual-inflation-2026-myZpgWrUtAdS.jpg",
"description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)\". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874",
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"volume": "1929.5354829999997",
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"groupItemTitle": "3.2-3.5%",
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"endDateIso": "2027-01-21",
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"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 60.3,
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}Tickers mapped from the event's catalyst themes.
Walmart Inc.
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
Target Corporation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
Costco Wholesale Corporation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
Dollar General
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
Dollar Tree
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
Procter & Gamble Company
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
PepsiCo Inc.
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
Coca-Cola Company
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
McDonald's Corporation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
Starbucks Corporation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
NIKE Inc.
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
Home Depot Inc.
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
Lowe's Companies Inc.
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.