
Prediction market · Polymarket
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ticker
spacex-starship-florida-launch-by-20260617154757803
Volume
7.0K
24h volume
124
1w volume
484
Open interest
4.6K
Liquidity
8.9K
Liquidity CLOB
8.9K
Start
Jun 17, 2026
End
Jun 30, 2027
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jun 17, 2026
Event ID
605662
Slug
spacex-starship-florida-launch-by-20260617154757803
Markets
3
{
"id": "605662",
"ticker": "spacex-starship-florida-launch-by-20260617154757803",
"slug": "spacex-starship-florida-launch-by-20260617154757803",
"title": "SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?",
"description": "If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.\n\nAny subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-06-17T19:00:54.947427Z",
"creationDate": "2026-06-17T20:23:39.544935Z",
"endDate": "2027-06-30T23:59:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-starship-florida-launch-by-20260617154757803-ca7bdpvYs-IQ.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-starship-florida-launch-by-20260617154757803-ca7bdpvYs-IQ.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 8939.90579,
"volume": 6954.233837,
"openInterest": 4568.622013,
"sortBy": "ascending",
"createdAt": "2026-06-17T18:26:05.264703Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-18T17:44:28.211614Z",
"competitive": 0.9558173433056943,
"volume24hr": 124,
"volume1wk": 483.841211,
"volume1mo": 2723.499862,
"volume1yr": 5308.352433999999,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 8939.90579,
"negRisk": false,
"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "2584972",
"question": "Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by August 31, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x984bfa7c64690606bd31ef92575aea7ace721a9f4990799b09c5eb5355cd4582",
"slug": "will-the-spacex-starship-launch-from-florida-by-august-31-2026-20260617154758583",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
"liquidity": "6088.08729",
"startDate": "2026-06-17T20:20:35.071316Z",
"description": "If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.\n\nAny subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.023\", \"0.977\"]",
"volume": "1427.0563419999999",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-06-17T18:26:06.363815Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-18T17:44:06.802432Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "August 31, 2026",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0x3786708da89621e09b37c25529b632394ca0e82d0b9f8e42ca9ca7dc15fc4a4f",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 1427.0563419999999,
"liquidityNum": 6088.08729,
"endDateIso": "2026-08-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-06-17",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"91444297264930544966315806994292152987821161085506246013401524870761592330820\", \"12809204305733542651591038358937408462006712458457671750896877019975721566032\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 1427.0563419999999,
"liquidityClob": 6088.08729,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-06-17T20:19:46Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8146447049316147,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.03,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.0015,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0015,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.007,
"lastTradePrice": 0.04,
"bestBid": 0.008,
"bestAsk": 0.038,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-06-17T18:26:32.861112Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "tech_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.04,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "2584973",
"question": "Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x99d07b94c07452c4bd8b04439472ebe2797f2f9ec2f54524595873fd61ff40f3",
"slug": "will-the-spacex-starship-launch-from-florida-by-december-31-2026-20260617154758584",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
"liquidity": "1488.9754",
"startDate": "2026-06-17T19:00:54.947427Z",
"description": "If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.\n\nAny subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.295\", \"0.705\"]",
"volume": "5308.352434",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-06-17T18:26:06.489777Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-18T17:44:06.802432Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "December 31, 2026",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0x432036af4f58d6605b138d139bb651e9ad03837aa37e3730e09bda2b5aa8f0f6",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 5308.352434,
"liquidityNum": 1488.9754,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-06-17",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 124,
"volume1wk": 483.841211,
"volume1mo": 2723.499862,
"volume1yr": 5308.352433999999,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"67851530246924068075638434479010726301308565136355702346955634732625102334342\", \"82142993600821271766257981709356517501672837665343527564009716884456800318303\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 124,
"volume1wkClob": 483.841211,
"volume1moClob": 2723.499862,
"volume1yrClob": 5308.352433999999,
"volumeClob": 5308.352434,
"liquidityClob": 1488.9754,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-06-17T19:00:07Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9596698735634942,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "716674",
"conditionId": "0x99d07b94c07452c4bd8b04439472ebe2797f2f9ec2f54524595873fd61ff40f3",
"assetAddress": "0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 0.001,
"startDate": "2026-06-28",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.15,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.02,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.27,
"lastTradePrice": 0.31,
"bestBid": 0.22,
"bestAsk": 0.37,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-06-17T18:26:32.863852Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "tech_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.04,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "2584974",
"question": "Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by June 30, 2027?",
"conditionId": "0x4d20d9fce87443ffc2956fc5e041ff261fd4eb29c81ad06b800e9f8c66063cf2",
"slug": "will-the-spacex-starship-launch-from-florida-by-june-30-2027-20260617154758585",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2027-06-30T23:59:00Z",
"liquidity": "1352.9226",
"startDate": "2026-06-17T19:10:24.229439Z",
"description": "If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.\n\nAny subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.775\", \"0.225\"]",
"volume": "218.825061",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-06-17T18:26:06.64089Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-18T17:44:06.802432Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "June 30, 2027",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0xb8305a42f6b57a5beb6cddec7e655a17f800c1c6476f37d9ac1e8f0e24225af5",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 218.825061,
"liquidityNum": 1352.9226,
"endDateIso": "2027-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2026-06-17",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"72679970962612861739645559032393096505362043553291693758577246021118492574446\", \"92405246202981086627323815823246175263708712514180387825818518094365793880671\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 218.825061,
"liquidityClob": 1352.9226,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-06-17T19:09:35Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.6228936664729808,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.33,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.02,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.01,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.07,
"lastTradePrice": 0.72,
"bestBid": 0.61,
"bestAsk": 0.94,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-06-17T18:26:32.879773Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "tech_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.04,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "1401",
"label": "Tech",
"slug": "tech",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2024-02-21 23:06:12.305+00",
"createdAt": "2024-02-21T23:06:12.324Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:14.21105Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "425",
"label": "nasa",
"slug": "nasa",
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 22:23:17.982+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T22:23:17.99Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:36:16.196901Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "1325",
"label": "Space",
"slug": "space",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2024-02-14 20:38:45.407+00",
"createdAt": "2024-02-14T20:38:45.417Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:21:14.178474Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "63",
"label": "SpaceX",
"slug": "spacex",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:15:23.311+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:15:23.316Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:33:38.558326Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "138",
"label": "launch",
"slug": "launch",
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:24:08.085+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:24:08.099Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T17:19:39.147325Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100346",
"label": "Florida",
"slug": "florida",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2024-08-16T16:49:52.176052Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:22:34.260855Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101999",
"label": "Big Tech",
"slug": "big-tech",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-03-26T21:46:09.386953Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:30:29.290644Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "373",
"label": "starship",
"slug": "starship",
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 22:07:22.29+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T22:07:22.3Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:21:14.205736Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "282",
"label": "Elon Musk",
"slug": "elon-musk",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:48:11.771+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:48:11.78Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-15T20:30:55.934375Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "75",
"label": "space exploration",
"slug": "space-exploration",
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:21.696+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:21.714Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:29:27.665942Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"estimateValue": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "SpaceX is advancing Starship launch infrastructure at Kennedy Space Center’s LC-39A and Cape Canaveral’s SLC-37, with tower construction nearing completion as of late July 2026 and environmental impact reviews progressing toward FAA licensing for orbital operations. This positions the company to shift some test flights or operational missions from Texas Starbase to Florida before year-end, contingent on final regulatory approvals and integration of the Super Heavy booster with the new Florida pads. Ongoing Texas flights, including recent Block 3 tests, continue validating vehicle performance, while historical Falcon Heavy activity at LC-39A provides operational familiarity. Key near-term catalysts include EIS finalization, license issuance, and any announced target windows that could accelerate or delay the first Starship liftoff from the Space Coast.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-08-18T17:05:30.694Z"
},
"version": "v1"
}Tickers mapped from the event's catalyst themes.
Rocket Lab Corporation
Launch and satellite events can affect space pure plays, aerospace suppliers, defense primes, telecom competition, and government contract expectations.
Intuitive Machines, Inc.
Launch and satellite events can affect space pure plays, aerospace suppliers, defense primes, telecom competition, and government contract expectations.
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
Launch and satellite events can affect space pure plays, aerospace suppliers, defense primes, telecom competition, and government contract expectations.
Iridium Communications Inc.
Launch and satellite events can affect space pure plays, aerospace suppliers, defense primes, telecom competition, and government contract expectations.
Planet Labs PBC
Launch and satellite events can affect space pure plays, aerospace suppliers, defense primes, telecom competition, and government contract expectations.
Boeing Company
Launch and satellite events can affect space pure plays, aerospace suppliers, defense primes, telecom competition, and government contract expectations.
Lockheed Martin Corporation
Launch and satellite events can affect space pure plays, aerospace suppliers, defense primes, telecom competition, and government contract expectations.
Northrop Grumman
Launch and satellite events can affect space pure plays, aerospace suppliers, defense primes, telecom competition, and government contract expectations.
RTX Corporation
Launch and satellite events can affect space pure plays, aerospace suppliers, defense primes, telecom competition, and government contract expectations.
General Dynamics
Launch and satellite events can affect space pure plays, aerospace suppliers, defense primes, telecom competition, and government contract expectations.
Launch and satellite events can affect space pure plays, aerospace suppliers, defense primes, telecom competition, and government contract expectations.
Launch and satellite events can affect space pure plays, aerospace suppliers, defense primes, telecom competition, and government contract expectations.
T-Mobile US Inc.
Launch and satellite events can affect space pure plays, aerospace suppliers, defense primes, telecom competition, and government contract expectations.
Verizon Communications Inc.
Launch and satellite events can affect space pure plays, aerospace suppliers, defense primes, telecom competition, and government contract expectations.