
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30
Volume
1.1M
24h volume
2.5K
1w volume
33.5K
Open interest
140.8K
Liquidity
56.9K
Liquidity CLOB
56.9K
Start
Jan 30, 2026
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 30, 2026
Event ID
192962
Slug
tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30
Markets
7
{
"id": "192962",
"ticker": "tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30",
"slug": "tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30",
"title": "Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-01-30T00:03:50.887Z",
"creationDate": "2026-01-30T00:05:09.892095Z",
"endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30-iEcHeObGGIJl.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30-iEcHeObGGIJl.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 56853.9577,
"volume": 1080128.500553,
"openInterest": 140807.086724,
"sortBy": "ascending",
"createdAt": "2026-01-30T00:01:06.066168Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-18T17:42:30.053882Z",
"competitive": 0.9979790923380155,
"volume24hr": 2516.732088999999,
"volume1wk": 33477.610077,
"volume1mo": 236207.23138100002,
"volume1yr": 466333.5590159999,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 56853.9577,
"negRisk": false,
"commentCount": 21,
"markets": [
{
"id": "2252540",
"question": "Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?",
"conditionId": "0x85647246dede70416c9c71ea851d87facf4b5efe58c685f4acc5ea94a9487c10",
"slug": "tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-december-31",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "17491.7364",
"startDate": "2026-05-13T21:28:32.421Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30-iEcHeObGGIJl.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30-iEcHeObGGIJl.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.185\", \"0.815\"]",
"volume": "130932.94879100005",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-05-13T18:29:45.949171Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-18T17:44:06.802432Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "December 31, 2026",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0x60424d604752205f08bba983cff41a0ad70e414a4ec42c7751b33fe82bf042b2",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 130932.94879100005,
"liquidityNum": 17491.7364,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-05-13",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 328,
"volume1wk": 10225.618942,
"volume1mo": 55250.081160999995,
"volume1yr": 130932.94879100002,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"54008746047030401937229622392846672148881831664328316511258982815120785809185\", \"101711789412405174054428730370251221054106361024009959880641004430966000525926\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 328,
"volume1wkClob": 10225.618942,
"volume1moClob": 55250.081160999995,
"volume1yrClob": 130932.94879100002,
"volumeClob": 130932.94879100005,
"liquidityClob": 17491.7364,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-05-13T21:27:36Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9097318565352862,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "366536",
"conditionId": "0x85647246dede70416c9c71ea851d87facf4b5efe58c685f4acc5ea94a9487c10",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 20,
"startDate": "2026-08-18",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.01,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.01,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.05,
"lastTradePrice": 0.19,
"bestBid": 0.18,
"bestAsk": 0.19,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-05-13T21:16:33.558062Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "tech_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.04,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "2479348",
"question": "Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?",
"conditionId": "0x9e7056c4004056441b57f960460c5e4f6d3e6ab9e1633b15538eb909d0f34466",
"slug": "tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-september-30",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-09-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "23659.55893",
"startDate": "2026-06-09T15:31:23.137238Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30-iEcHeObGGIJl.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30-iEcHeObGGIJl.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0625\", \"0.9375\"]",
"volume": "331548.90006300004",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-06-09T15:29:15.433379Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-18T17:42:07.83724Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "September 30, 2026",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0x9b5de9c731f360b2da89f7e27c146f479725f5a2b2c1530899adf5dde5cfd06f",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 331548.90006300004,
"liquidityNum": 23659.55893,
"endDateIso": "2026-09-30",
"startDateIso": "2026-06-09",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 2034.5238299999994,
"volume1wk": 19422.328793,
"volume1mo": 177127.487878,
"volume1yr": 331548.90006299986,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"48029449843945686586979008658948178079028449323933797256276105854273081505855\", \"9757395023070751126966404054413146048040819662598849012645026287330534488865\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 2034.5238299999994,
"volume1wkClob": 19422.328793,
"volume1moClob": 177127.487878,
"volume1yrClob": 331548.90006299986,
"volumeClob": 331548.90006300004,
"liquidityClob": 23659.55893,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-06-09T15:30:34Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.839344262295082,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "434573",
"conditionId": "0x9e7056c4004056441b57f960460c5e4f6d3e6ab9e1633b15538eb909d0f34466",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 20,
"startDate": "2026-08-14",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.0015,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.009,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0425,
"lastTradePrice": 0.063,
"bestBid": 0.062,
"bestAsk": 0.063,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-06-09T15:29:33.241707Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "tech_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.04,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "3585429",
"question": "Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?",
"conditionId": "0x98288e59d6744f741c7e261556244d6c30c79d39bd4829dc161131945104d182",
"slug": "tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-january-31-2027",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2027-01-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "5143.2454",
"startDate": "2026-08-14T17:39:33Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30-iEcHeObGGIJl.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30-iEcHeObGGIJl.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.205\", \"0.795\"]",
"volume": "1295.674759",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-08-14T17:39:21.305076Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-18T17:44:06.802432Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "January 31, 2027",
"groupItemThreshold": "3",
"questionID": "0xe40d71eda1e20f897793862e597b4dab8e7a411f1d7ab0ee78e68fbc17eb5c0c",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 1295.674759,
"liquidityNum": 5143.2454,
"endDateIso": "2027-01-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-08-14",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"57382591449144984923528298060764506035156609570971253096896047744168942224941\", \"63928244421724772659663398653295644843976377526414475596850124709034205502459\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 1295.674759,
"liquidityClob": 5143.2454,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-08-14T17:39:33Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.91994204365125,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "1374029",
"conditionId": "0x98288e59d6744f741c7e261556244d6c30c79d39bd4829dc161131945104d182",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 20,
"startDate": "2026-08-15",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.01,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.005,
"lastTradePrice": 0.2,
"bestBid": 0.2,
"bestAsk": 0.21,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-08-14T17:39:22.451077Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "tech_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.04,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "3585430",
"question": "Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?",
"conditionId": "0x37a1f0e754c76e0e5caeb33e5005c73258ec292315edf39b544bc1bc6706f2fa",
"slug": "tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-december-31-2027",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2027-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "2568.3922",
"startDate": "2026-08-14T17:39:33Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30-iEcHeObGGIJl.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30-iEcHeObGGIJl.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.545\", \"0.455\"]",
"volume": "4940.5610019999995",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-08-14T17:39:21.374988Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-18T17:44:06.802432Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "December 31, 2027",
"groupItemThreshold": "6",
"questionID": "0xeb8662d7d69705eb2a384304497e3219bccd584e1ed83b98433cbd8901a74fbc",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 4940.5610019999995,
"liquidityNum": 2568.3922,
"endDateIso": "2027-12-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-08-14",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"108138125495806962416231121099670266672790166921750582313787014969635975847592\", \"10229925780214921933667638395615306711799010578985797739080831404799949005345\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 4940.5610019999995,
"liquidityClob": 2568.3922,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-08-14T17:39:33Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9979790923380155,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "1374032",
"conditionId": "0x37a1f0e754c76e0e5caeb33e5005c73258ec292315edf39b544bc1bc6706f2fa",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 20,
"startDate": "2026-08-16",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.01,
"lastTradePrice": 0.55,
"bestBid": 0.54,
"bestAsk": 0.55,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-08-14T17:39:22.364749Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "tech_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.04,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "3585431",
"question": "Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?",
"conditionId": "0xb817da457dae6a61243545179b07b247ff68da8d9b491d186423e9e7ec8f8445",
"slug": "tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-february-28-2027",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2027-02-28T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "4131.4131",
"startDate": "2026-08-14T17:39:33Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30-iEcHeObGGIJl.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30-iEcHeObGGIJl.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.225\", \"0.775\"]",
"volume": "938.579546",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-08-14T17:39:21.394502Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-18T17:44:06.802432Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "February 28, 2027",
"groupItemThreshold": "4",
"questionID": "0xf292107edae46961b60e926515e40a8eca8441a8cd9474ff35e1fd147809ae5f",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 938.579546,
"liquidityNum": 4131.4131,
"endDateIso": "2027-02-28",
"startDateIso": "2026-08-14",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 43.478259,
"volume1wk": 357.499546,
"volume1mo": 357.499546,
"volume1yr": 357.499546,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"92665346553485129648444851493722237317432823505802074242836590350713974513233\", \"104244828250482911855299359017006780997617552704551177991859195346110847807769\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 43.478259,
"volume1wkClob": 357.499546,
"volume1moClob": 357.499546,
"volume1yrClob": 357.499546,
"volumeClob": 938.579546,
"liquidityClob": 4131.4131,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-08-14T17:39:33Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9296920395119117,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "1374034",
"conditionId": "0xb817da457dae6a61243545179b07b247ff68da8d9b491d186423e9e7ec8f8445",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 20,
"startDate": "2026-08-16",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.01,
"lastTradePrice": 0.23,
"bestBid": 0.22,
"bestAsk": 0.23,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-08-14T17:39:22.427799Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "tech_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.04,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "3585432",
"question": "Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?",
"conditionId": "0x4ef1ca263fc36cfb21a80adeefd20de4aa2c82c793b66a2cae4b9e290446323e",
"slug": "tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30-2027",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2027-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "2628.457",
"startDate": "2026-08-14T17:39:33Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30-iEcHeObGGIJl.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30-iEcHeObGGIJl.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.315\", \"0.685\"]",
"volume": "3472.1627959999996",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-08-14T17:39:21.402511Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-18T17:44:06.802432Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "June 30, 2027",
"groupItemThreshold": "5",
"questionID": "0x37b47aec13f9c5d4f6a597908f4280db3ce371b5dc89d5d856eff8a18a65d20b",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 3472.1627959999996,
"liquidityNum": 2628.457,
"endDateIso": "2027-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2026-08-14",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 110.73,
"volume1wk": 3472.162796,
"volume1mo": 3472.162796,
"volume1yr": 3472.162796,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"97993157528042721726853253346196174330986354557287106653896852893323543480072\", \"80038425221419481606736471807220463102474649644164694570584174152708376276036\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 110.73,
"volume1wkClob": 3472.162796,
"volume1moClob": 3472.162796,
"volume1yrClob": 3472.162796,
"volumeClob": 3472.1627959999996,
"liquidityClob": 2628.457,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-08-14T17:39:33Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9669075878072954,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "1374035",
"conditionId": "0x4ef1ca263fc36cfb21a80adeefd20de4aa2c82c793b66a2cae4b9e290446323e",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 20,
"startDate": "2026-08-16",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.01,
"lastTradePrice": 0.32,
"bestBid": 0.31,
"bestAsk": 0.32,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-08-14T17:39:22.412964Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "tech_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.04,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "1296852",
"question": "Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?",
"conditionId": "0xa8e3a62f9261f3f12287d41bea9ca4efea4d221aae79bc0cec695bb1882bb7b3",
"slug": "tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-01-30T00:03:50.887Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30-iEcHeObGGIJl.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30-iEcHeObGGIJl.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "606999.673596",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-30T00:01:07.109223Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-14T19:36:34.495167Z",
"closedTime": "2026-07-01 06:45:35+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "June 30",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0x942399fb8274c7aefbf15a61c01040b72719cf83a1a0269c396871bc976e5423",
"umaEndDate": "2026-07-01T06:45:35Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 606999.673596,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-30",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume1yr": 22.04782,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"93492671457908566406173230771295829296612782822765483768198668651161854192557\", \"71557034236828063054645160618859705958331619667274860632036403286882915385067\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume1yrClob": 22.04782,
"volumeClob": 606999.673596,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-30T00:02:44Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 0,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 0,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.0005,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.0005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.003,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0225,
"lastTradePrice": 0.002,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-30T00:01:30.190637Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "tech_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.04,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "728",
"label": "Tesla",
"slug": "tesla",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-12-13 17:45:54.013+00",
"createdAt": "2023-12-13T17:45:54.043Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:28:03.35712Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "282",
"label": "Elon Musk",
"slug": "elon-musk",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:48:11.771+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:48:11.78Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-15T20:30:55.934375Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "63",
"label": "SpaceX",
"slug": "spacex",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:15:23.311+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:15:23.316Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:33:38.558326Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101999",
"label": "Big Tech",
"slug": "big-tech",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-03-26T21:46:09.386953Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:30:29.290644Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "1325",
"label": "Space",
"slug": "space",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2024-02-14 20:38:45.407+00",
"createdAt": "2024-02-14T20:38:45.417Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:21:14.178474Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "1401",
"label": "Tech",
"slug": "tech",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2024-02-21 23:06:12.305+00",
"createdAt": "2024-02-21T23:06:12.324Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:14.21105Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"estimateValue": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Elon Musk’s July 2026 Tesla earnings comments, citing growing operational overlap especially around the Terafab AI semiconductor facility and shared robotics-energy infrastructure, remain the main catalyst sustaining trader interest in a near-term merger announcement. Ongoing collaborations on batteries, manufacturing tech, and AI systems support the case for deeper integration under common ownership, yet significant barriers persist, including regulatory scrutiny in China and the U.S. due to SpaceX’s government work, complex governance tied to Musk’s voting stakes, and valuation alignment between the public and private entities. Upcoming Tesla or SpaceX updates, potential IPO timelines, or formal proposals could quickly shift sentiment in either direction.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-08-18T16:31:49.941Z"
},
"version": "v1"
}Tickers mapped from the event's catalyst themes.
Tesla Inc.
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
Lucid Group, Inc.
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
General Motors Company
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
Ford Motor Company
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
Albemarle Corporation
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
Aptiv
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
ON Semiconductor
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
QuantumScape Corporation
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
ChargePoint Holdings, Inc.
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
NVIDIA Corporation
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Broadcom Inc.
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.