
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface. The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
two-spacex-starships-dock-together-by
Volume
59.7K
24h volume
50
1w volume
50
Open interest
9.3K
Liquidity
4.2K
Liquidity CLOB
4.2K
Start
Jun 11, 2026
End
Dec 31, 2028
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jun 11, 2026
Event ID
584288
Slug
two-spacex-starships-dock-together-by
Markets
2
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"context_description": "SpaceX has equipped recent Starship V3 vehicles with docking ports, drogues, propellant transfer connections, and DragonEye sensors to enable orbital rendezvous and ship-to-ship refueling, a critical step for Artemis lunar missions and beyond. No two Starships have docked yet, but SpaceX plans a full-scale propellant transfer demonstration in 2026 following earlier intra-vehicle tests and rapid flight cadence improvements. Upcoming integrated flight tests, tower catches, and regulatory clearances will determine whether hardware and software maturity support a 2026 attempt, while NASA oversight highlights cryogenic transfer as a major technical risk. Trader sentiment reflects these timelines alongside historical delays in Starship development.",
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}Tickers mapped from the event's catalyst themes.
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