US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify. Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by
Volume
29.2M
24h volume
30.8K
1w volume
53.0K
Open interest
564.9K
Liquidity
279.6K
Liquidity CLOB
279.6K
Start
Mar 31, 2026
End
Jan 1, 2027
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 31, 2026
Event ID
329654
Slug
us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by
Markets
8
Raw event data
{
"id": "329654",
"ticker": "us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by",
"slug": "us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by",
"title": "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.\n\nQualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.\n\nA widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-03-31T21:53:43.811955Z",
"creationDate": "2026-03-31T21:53:43.811952Z",
"endDate": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-may-31-bmDm36-gxJBm.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-may-31-bmDm36-gxJBm.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 279596.61563,
"volume": 29180244.840709046,
"openInterest": 564872.6165369999,
"createdAt": "2026-03-31T17:34:45.499248Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-26T12:43:13.59882Z",
"competitive": 0.8347071221385196,
"volume24hr": 30803.302524,
"volume1wk": 52967.342232999996,
"volume1mo": 307220.431673,
"volume1yr": 2316896.9158079987,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 279596.61563,
"negRisk": false,
"commentCount": 194,
"markets": [
{
"id": "2006982",
"question": "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?",
"conditionId": "0xd87a0ee5367e38072ac013e99035672125fee3a3f4446f0389fe806e42e3e42e",
"slug": "us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-april-30",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-05-01T03:59:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-17T15:50:06.581608Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-may-31-bmDm36-gxJBm.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-may-31-bmDm36-gxJBm.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.\n\nQualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.\n\nA widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "1163934.4307450012",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-17T15:45:22.357418Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-21T18:19:15.212803Z",
"closedTime": "2026-05-01 07:29:44+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "April 30",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0x192ab66afa80ad0063d1a24a298efdf5bff9f020fa48ab441e6b894459a77264",
"umaEndDate": "2026-05-01T07:29:44Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 1163934.4307450012,
"endDateIso": "2026-05-01",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-17",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"41096062945098111823949933488606080240606740976160051684644447840115341135428\", \"107954094694031491419426961086575608232833931530777814045947373328458211979429\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 1163934.4307450012,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-17T15:49:02Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 200,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.002,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.011,
"lastTradePrice": 0.002,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-17T15:47:47.525213Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null,
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "2006983",
"question": "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?",
"conditionId": "0x58998da8fa20593cf07618032acd580344a79279a8bcc3ed128b668d793c3d6f",
"slug": "us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-december-31-725-733-123-574-634",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
"liquidity": "134395.3282",
"startDate": "2026-04-17T15:50:04.131Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-may-31-bmDm36-gxJBm.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-may-31-bmDm36-gxJBm.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.\n\nQualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.\n\nA widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]",
"volume": "2165677.1461620005",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-17T15:45:42.304315Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-26T12:44:48.978231Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "December 31",
"groupItemThreshold": "7",
"questionID": "0xb88dd6b1eb92bb01160bec151ea17efe6ef1781697aada3d7bf0b15fd169441b",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 2165677.1461620005,
"liquidityNum": 134395.3282,
"endDateIso": "2027-01-01",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-17",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 28038.277630999997,
"volume1wk": 38291.170969,
"volume1mo": 199101.690395,
"volume1yr": 2165677.1461619986,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"114657271285511367879703365484572688248973675722511239339535646764098946050607\", \"12933385462445051219548039807631278921517469211617755773732773415883384410827\"]",
"positionIds": [
"573614989592525768433968655049075262447723422366572126517209215555520692224",
"573614989592525768433968655049075262447723422366572126517209215555520692225"
],
"comboStatus": "pending",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 28038.277630999997,
"volume1wkClob": 38291.170969,
"volume1moClob": 199101.690395,
"volume1yrClob": 2165677.1461619986,
"volumeClob": 2165677.1461620005,
"liquidityClob": 134395.3282,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-17T15:49:00Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8347071221385196,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "277461",
"conditionId": "0x58998da8fa20593cf07618032acd580344a79279a8bcc3ed128b668d793c3d6f",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 10,
"startDate": "2026-04-29",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 200,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.01,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.01,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.07,
"lastTradePrice": 0.08,
"bestBid": 0.05,
"bestAsk": 0.06,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-17T15:47:47.519882Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null,
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "2183424",
"question": "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?",
"conditionId": "0xc112ff35c760ee66738e288067c3de90a2b44a28a9e2f4488989d498be03b292",
"slug": "us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-june-30",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-05-07T18:11:16.666164Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-may-31-bmDm36-gxJBm.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-may-31-bmDm36-gxJBm.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.\n\nQualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.\n\nA widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "4501329.993843931",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-05-07T18:08:11.695209Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-21T18:19:15.283145Z",
"closedTime": "2026-07-01 06:09:26+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "June 30",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0xda0d0806d11633424c17950b3e5e816c77ed7fbd2367b574b351f18745749090",
"umaEndDate": "2026-07-01T06:09:26Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 4501329.993843931,
"endDateIso": "2026-07-01",
"startDateIso": "2026-05-07",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume1yr": 212.5,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"107010784463622992347585756781888741119874289659386929971064211775896839258138\", \"74383005746117841900553443989581268615957888455524049940092822086091148821262\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume1yrClob": 212.5,
"volumeClob": 4501329.993843931,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-05-07T18:10:20Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 200,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.001,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.004,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.036,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-05-07T18:09:14.563316Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null,
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "2355076",
"question": "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?",
"conditionId": "0xef5365cb2973f77e162709e007e0da70d06e8ff1e115372beb437d64326efd76",
"slug": "us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-july-31",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
"liquidity": "0",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-may-31-bmDm36-gxJBm.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-may-31-bmDm36-gxJBm.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.\n\nQualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.\n\nA widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"volume": "0",
"active": false,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-05-25T16:54:57.779167Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-21T18:19:15.275559Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D",
"archived": true,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "July 31",
"groupItemThreshold": "3",
"questionID": "0x71144345b7ea2b869abb485b9cfb124cf1e1086b7b6041935722fdf22c659460",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 0,
"liquidityNum": 0,
"endDateIso": "2026-08-01",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 0,
"volume1wk": 0,
"volume1mo": 0,
"volume1yr": 0,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"99898826776688642243611180513761391438338703592111222029361539646852005434476\", \"47677872301173174398105864641994853717439067266071737642114461777263524877447\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrAmm": 0,
"volume1wkAmm": 0,
"volume1moAmm": 0,
"volume1yrAmm": 0,
"volume24hrClob": 0,
"volume1wkClob": 0,
"volume1moClob": 0,
"volume1yrClob": 0,
"volumeAmm": 0,
"volumeClob": 0,
"liquidityAmm": 0,
"liquidityClob": 0,
"customLiveness": 0,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 0,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 0,
"spread": 1,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0,
"oneYearPriceChange": 0,
"lastTradePrice": 0,
"bestBid": 0,
"bestAsk": 1,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": true,
"deploying": true,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-05-25T17:06:55Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null,
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "2492625",
"question": "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? ",
"conditionId": "0xca9ce5a7e2f41eccfedf8c376b77e1f72d762e69142cdd54b5de41de30e918a2",
"slug": "us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-july-31-20260610164403871-511",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-06-10T17:00:58.697Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-may-31-bmDm36-gxJBm.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-may-31-bmDm36-gxJBm.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.\n\nQualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.\n\nA widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "655491.421636",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-06-10T16:58:57.386312Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-21T18:19:15.294391Z",
"closedTime": "2026-08-01 06:04:47+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "July 31",
"groupItemThreshold": "4",
"questionID": "0x778ea50a5ea878024ec5bddde8446cb29eb4a2db7cdfe600f4fbc1d68180b3ff",
"umaEndDate": "2026-08-01T06:04:47Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 655491.421636,
"endDateIso": "2026-08-01",
"startDateIso": "2026-06-10",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"36146590157764268681634085928856537349789942828886863710234676538502719790403\", \"106223094497006590794919847361505664504239342102498987257666051011853716926618\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 655491.421636,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-06-10T17:00:10Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 200,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.001,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0115,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0165,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-06-10T16:59:10.322898Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null,
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "2757753",
"question": "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?",
"conditionId": "0x720e3088802a33c3607cbff579d67a6e5c42f6e0196470a447f108f9d005557f",
"slug": "us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-september-30-145",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z",
"liquidity": "94242.26803",
"startDate": "2026-07-01T15:40:29.418Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-may-31-bmDm36-gxJBm.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-may-31-bmDm36-gxJBm.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.\n\nQualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.\n\nA widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.017\", \"0.983\"]",
"volume": "101740.06224700002",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-07-01T15:35:41.054356Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-26T12:44:48.978231Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "September 30",
"groupItemThreshold": "6",
"questionID": "0x5c68ba0923c5bea364be1801cbd2659cc83aa5ec9ebbf0e7478143aa9d37a31d",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 101740.06224700002,
"liquidityNum": 94242.26803,
"endDateIso": "2026-10-01",
"startDateIso": "2026-07-01",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 1247.527893,
"volume1wk": 7760.658264000001,
"volume1mo": 58851.533878999995,
"volume1yr": 101740.062247,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"14531058244135511323708167131367659269778725299916035706490325037718122844763\", \"88496841039217425529633014138604073270845626461615951633938983852496815451920\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 1247.527893,
"volume1wkClob": 7760.658264000001,
"volume1moClob": 58851.533878999995,
"volume1yrClob": 101740.062247,
"volumeClob": 101740.06224700002,
"liquidityClob": 94242.26803,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-07-01T15:39:40Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.810839957220084,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "754673",
"conditionId": "0x720e3088802a33c3607cbff579d67a6e5c42f6e0196470a447f108f9d005557f",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 30,
"startDate": "2026-07-01",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 200,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.002,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0045,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.043,
"lastTradePrice": 0.016,
"bestBid": 0.016,
"bestAsk": 0.018,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-07-01T15:37:27.97358Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null,
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "3203595",
"question": "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?",
"conditionId": "0x8bf79620792c8452d889c11f61b4ee05d06f4ed2ea2fb5c689d6ff15e8ce311b",
"slug": "us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-august-31",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-09-01T03:59:00Z",
"liquidity": "51304.3272",
"startDate": "2026-07-29T16:16:49.064135Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-may-31-bmDm36-gxJBm.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-may-31-bmDm36-gxJBm.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.\n\nQualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.\n\nA widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0025\", \"0.9975\"]",
"volume": "49242.407399",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-07-29T16:14:09.523291Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-26T12:44:48.978231Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "August 31",
"groupItemThreshold": "5",
"questionID": "0x840ad2f97b39c059200ffb55d866a1d949db76229b761794fa4c4291aff64765",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 49242.407399,
"liquidityNum": 51304.3272,
"endDateIso": "2026-09-01",
"startDateIso": "2026-07-29",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 1517.497,
"volume1wk": 6890.712999999996,
"volume1mo": 49242.407398999996,
"volume1yr": 49242.407398999996,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"34405171049111579727508208902100269461068454587749309895982764876837944442705\", \"54081917799321060265978771417458515772990225518811339761398893337548265533430\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 1517.497,
"volume1wkClob": 6890.712999999996,
"volume1moClob": 49242.407398999996,
"volume1yrClob": 49242.407398999996,
"volumeClob": 49242.407399,
"liquidityClob": 51304.3272,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-07-29T16:16:00Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8015991903848178,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.001,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.004,
"lastTradePrice": 0.002,
"bestBid": 0.002,
"bestAsk": 0.003,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-07-29T16:14:59.046978Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null,
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "1808970",
"question": "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?",
"conditionId": "0xbcacd5a055f5a9ced6f69f122216c073dd6987d08253fc07bbcc168fa5b81d55",
"slug": "us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-may-31-396",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-01T03:59:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-31T21:49:31.495Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-may-31-bmDm36-gxJBm.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-may-31-bmDm36-gxJBm.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.\n\nQualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.\n\nA widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "20542829.378676113",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-31T17:34:45.872306Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-21T18:19:15.451269Z",
"closedTime": "2026-06-01 06:05:35+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "May 31",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0xcdd5759951fabd70fa48b1d7c034b97f230cbd60c03aecd13d909550bbd89cba",
"umaEndDate": "2026-06-01T06:05:35Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 20542829.378676113,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-01",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume1wk": 24.8,
"volume1mo": 24.8,
"volume1yr": 24.8,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"99787107393065498256888522570939526464960671564345515510320748534859284179297\", \"5345441419419147559625888104788940459264045849260872706421285679583531763371\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume1wkClob": 24.8,
"volume1moClob": 24.8,
"volume1yrClob": 24.8,
"volumeClob": 20542829.378676113,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-31T21:48:25Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 200,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.001,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0.001,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.019,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0835,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestBid": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.002,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-31T21:47:11.421529Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null,
"version": "v1"
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "2",
"label": "Politics",
"slug": "politics",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "104039",
"label": "U.S. x Iran",
"slug": "trump-iran",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2026-03-02T20:09:15.156731Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:30:08.870525Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100265",
"label": "Geopolitics",
"slug": "geopolitics",
"forceShow": true,
"createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:49:04.209055Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "104010",
"label": "Iran Ceasefire",
"slug": "diplomacy-ceasefire",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2026-03-02T19:58:33.637952Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:18:43.047208Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "78",
"label": "Iran",
"slug": "iran",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:51.647+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:51.667Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:19:53.890971Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "126",
"label": "Trump",
"slug": "trump",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:23:16.384+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:23:16.39Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:14.206724Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "453",
"label": "Negotiation Topics",
"slug": "negotiations",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-03 19:17:12.844+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-03T19:17:12.859Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-06-12T00:00:03.725998Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"estimateValue": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Negotiations following the June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding have centered on resolving Iran's stockpiled enriched uranium, including roughly 440 kilograms enriched to 60 percent, through down-blending on Iranian soil under IAEA supervision as the minimum approach. U.S. officials have signaled preferences for destruction and potential removal in any final agreement, yet the interim framework emphasizes on-site dilution without mandating export or U.S. custody. Access remains complicated by material buried under rubble from 2025-2026 strikes at sites like Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan, with reports of sealed tunnels and mines. Ongoing technical talks, IAEA verification challenges, and status-quo maintenance until a final deal leave physical U.S. possession dependent on diplomatic outcomes within the December 31, 2026 resolution window. Trader consensus reflects these barriers and the emphasis on multilateral rather than unilateral acquisition.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-08-26T11:46:36.572Z"
},
"version": "v1"
}Related stocks
Tickers mapped from the event's catalyst themes.
XOM
Exxon Mobil Corporation
Iran and oil risk
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
CVX
Chevron Corporation
Iran and oil risk
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
COP
ConocoPhillips
Iran and oil risk
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
OXY
Occidental Petroleum
Iran and oil risk
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
EOG
EOG Resources
Iran and oil risk
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
FANG
Diamondback Energy
Iran and oil risk
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
DVN
Devon Energy
Iran and oil risk
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
APA
APA Corporation
Iran and oil risk
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
CTRA
Coterra
Iran and oil risk
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
SLB
Schlumberger Limited
Iran and oil risk
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
HAL
Halliburton
Iran and oil risk
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
BKR
Baker Hughes
Iran and oil risk
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
VLO
Valero Energy
Iran and oil risk
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
MPC
Marathon Petroleum
Iran and oil risk
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Vol 2.2MLiq 134.4KEnd Jan 1, 2027OpenOrder book
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Vol 101.7KLiq 94.2KEnd Oct 1, 2026OpenOrder book
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?Vol 49.2KLiq 51.3KEnd Sep 1, 2026OpenOrder book
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Vol 20.5MLiq —End Jun 1, 2026Closed
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Vol 4.5MLiq —End Jul 1, 2026Closed
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?Vol 1.2MLiq —End May 1, 2026Closed
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?Vol 655.5KLiq —End Aug 1, 2026Closed
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 1, 2026OpenOrder book