
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify. Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by
Volume
29.1M
24h volume
3.5K
1w volume
43.3K
Open interest
569.0K
Liquidity
203.1K
Liquidity CLOB
203.1K
Start
Mar 31, 2026
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 31, 2026
Event ID
329654
Slug
us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by
Markets
8
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}Tickers mapped from the event's catalyst themes.
Exxon Mobil Corporation
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
Chevron Corporation
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
ConocoPhillips
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
Occidental Petroleum
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
EOG Resources
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
Diamondback Energy
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
Devon Energy
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
APA Corporation
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
Coterra
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
Schlumberger Limited
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
Halliburton
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
Baker Hughes
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
Valero Energy
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.
Marathon Petroleum
Escalation can move crude prices, refining margins, fuel costs, defense demand, and risk premiums.