Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Ticker
venezuela-leader-end-of-2026
Volume
93.1M
24h volume
256.8K
1w volume
921.3K
Open interest
612.0K
Liquidity
2.1M
Liquidity CLOB
2.1M
Start
Jan 4, 2026
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 4, 2026
Event ID
143443
Slug
venezuela-leader-end-of-2026
Markets
57
Raw event data
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"question": "Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 2 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 6 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 10 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 14 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 15 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 16 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 17 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 18 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 19 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 20 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 21 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 23 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 27 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 36 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:13:49.710088Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": true,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": true,
"estimateValue": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-04T18:09:06.72373Z",
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, and removed him from Venezuela to face charges, shifting formal power to acting president Delcy Rodríguez under the constitutional line of succession and Supreme Court rulings. Chavista-aligned institutions, including the National Assembly led by Jorge Rodríguez and loyal security forces, have maintained continuity, with Delcy consolidating authority through limited reforms, sanctions relief, and diplomatic engagement with the United States focused on stability and energy sector cooperation. No new presidential elections have been scheduled despite opposition calls from figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González, who face ongoing restrictions on political activity. Traders assign Maduro the highest probability due to the regime's institutional resilience and potential for his eventual return or recognition, while pricing opposition outcomes low amid the absence of verified electoral processes or broader power shifts by late 2026.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-06-18T02:31:40.544Z"
}
}Related stocks
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XOM
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CVX
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COP
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OXY
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EOG
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FANG
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DVN
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APA
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CTRA
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SLB
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HAL
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BKR
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VLO
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- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 2.1MLiq 68.4KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 1.3MLiq 91.7KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will Leader 1 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will Leader 7 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 8 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 9 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 10 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 11 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 12 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 13 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 14 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 15 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 16 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 17 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 18 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 19 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 20 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 21 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 22 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 23 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 24 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 25 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 26 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 27 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will Leader 30 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 31 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 32 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 33 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 34 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 35 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 36 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 37 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 38 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 39 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will Other be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book