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Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Ticker
venezuela-leader-end-of-2026
Volume
88.6M
24h volume
74.4K
1w volume
720.2K
Open interest
625.3K
Liquidity
1.6M
Liquidity CLOB
1.6M
Start
Jan 4, 2026
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 4, 2026
Event ID
143443
Slug
venezuela-leader-end-of-2026
Markets
57
Raw event data
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"title": "Venezuela leader end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 4 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 6 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 8 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 10 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 12 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 14 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 20 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 22 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 28 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 3 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 5 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 7 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 9 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 11 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 13 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 15 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 17 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 19 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 21 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Leader 23 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?",
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"createdAt": "2026-01-15T17:34:55.254317Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-15T20:46:22.35402Z",
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"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "The US military capture of Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, and his subsequent detention in the United States removed the incumbent from direct control while leaving Venezuela’s Chavista institutions largely intact. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in days later by the National Assembly, has consolidated power through cabinet continuity and pragmatic adjustments under external pressure, sustaining trader consensus around regime insiders at 66.9 percent for Maduro and 18.5 percent for Rodríguez. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined without scheduled elections or broad institutional backing. The absence of a clear transition timeline or new presidential vote by year-end keeps probabilities anchored to current power structures rather than rapid democratic turnover.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-05-21T16:16:00.636Z"
}
}Related stocks
Tickers mapped from the event's catalyst themes.
XOM
Exxon Mobil Corporation
Oil and energy prices
Oil prices affect upstream revenue, oilfield-service activity, refiner spreads, airline fuel expense, and transport costs.
CVX
Chevron Corporation
Oil and energy prices
Oil prices affect upstream revenue, oilfield-service activity, refiner spreads, airline fuel expense, and transport costs.
COP
ConocoPhillips
Oil and energy prices
Oil prices affect upstream revenue, oilfield-service activity, refiner spreads, airline fuel expense, and transport costs.
OXY
Occidental Petroleum
Oil and energy prices
Oil prices affect upstream revenue, oilfield-service activity, refiner spreads, airline fuel expense, and transport costs.
EOG
EOG Resources
Oil and energy prices
Oil prices affect upstream revenue, oilfield-service activity, refiner spreads, airline fuel expense, and transport costs.
FANG
Diamondback Energy
Oil and energy prices
Oil prices affect upstream revenue, oilfield-service activity, refiner spreads, airline fuel expense, and transport costs.
DVN
Devon Energy
Oil and energy prices
Oil prices affect upstream revenue, oilfield-service activity, refiner spreads, airline fuel expense, and transport costs.
APA
APA Corporation
Oil and energy prices
Oil prices affect upstream revenue, oilfield-service activity, refiner spreads, airline fuel expense, and transport costs.
CTRA
Coterra
Oil and energy prices
Oil prices affect upstream revenue, oilfield-service activity, refiner spreads, airline fuel expense, and transport costs.
SLB
Schlumberger Limited
Oil and energy prices
Oil prices affect upstream revenue, oilfield-service activity, refiner spreads, airline fuel expense, and transport costs.
HAL
Halliburton
Oil and energy prices
Oil prices affect upstream revenue, oilfield-service activity, refiner spreads, airline fuel expense, and transport costs.
BKR
Baker Hughes
Oil and energy prices
Oil prices affect upstream revenue, oilfield-service activity, refiner spreads, airline fuel expense, and transport costs.
VLO
Valero Energy
Oil and energy prices
Oil prices affect upstream revenue, oilfield-service activity, refiner spreads, airline fuel expense, and transport costs.
MPC
Marathon Petroleum
Oil and energy prices
Oil prices affect upstream revenue, oilfield-service activity, refiner spreads, airline fuel expense, and transport costs.
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 1.7MLiq 32.8KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 1.6MLiq 56.2KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 1.1MLiq 80.7KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 1.0MLiq 50.0KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 853.9KLiq 63.2KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 1.7MLiq 55.2KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 1.1MLiq 67.8KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 915.6KLiq 58.9KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 5.2MLiq 162.1KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 672.4KLiq 71.7KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 2 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 4 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 6 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 8 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 10 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 12 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 14 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 16 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 18 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 20 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 22 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 24 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 26 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 28 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 30 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 32 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 34 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 36 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 38 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 40 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 1 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 3 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 5 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 7 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 9 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 11 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 13 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 15 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 17 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 19 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 21 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 23 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 25 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 27 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 29 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 31 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 33 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 35 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 37 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Leader 39 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Other be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book