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What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Ticker
what-will-fed-rate-hit-before-2027
Volume
1.3M
24h volume
4.5K
1w volume
31.2K
Open interest
142.9K
Liquidity
291.4K
Liquidity CLOB
291.4K
Start
Nov 18, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 18, 2025
Event ID
84803
Slug
what-will-fed-rate-hit-before-2027
Markets
21
Raw event data
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{
"id": "101550",
"label": "Jerome Powell",
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"createdAt": "2024-12-18T23:06:40.410115Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:32:24.492193Z",
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{
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"label": "Macro Indicators",
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"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:23:42.224247Z",
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{
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"label": "Economy",
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"createdAt": "2024-08-05T05:34:54.235643Z",
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{
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"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
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{
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"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:27:18.98+00",
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{
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"label": "Fed Rates",
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"context_description": "Trader sentiment on Federal Reserve funds rate movements before 2027 hinges on March 2026 CPI surging 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4%—fueled by a 10.9% energy index spike from oil shocks, as detailed in Bureau of Labor Statistics data released April 10. Hawkish March FOMC minutes, out April 8, reveal officials' growing openness to hikes amid elevated inflation outlooks, while the target range holds at 3.50%-3.75% with effective rate at 3.64%. Resilient March nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs, dropping unemployment to 4.3%. CME FedWatch Tool implies 95%+ probability of no change at April 28-29 FOMC, but dot plot medians project gradual easing to 3.00%-3.25% by end-2027, vulnerable to further inflation data.",
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}
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