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What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Ticker
what-will-fed-rate-hit-before-2027
Volume
1.3M
24h volume
2.5K
1w volume
11.8K
Open interest
141.5K
Liquidity
161.9K
Liquidity CLOB
161.9K
Start
Nov 18, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 18, 2025
Event ID
84803
Slug
what-will-fed-rate-hit-before-2027
Markets
21
Raw event data
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{
"id": "101550",
"label": "Jerome Powell",
"slug": "jerome-powell",
"createdAt": "2024-12-18T23:06:40.410115Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:32:24.492193Z",
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},
{
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"label": "Macro Indicators",
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"createdAt": "2025-03-26T21:57:53.430333Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:23:42.224247Z",
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{
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"label": "Economy",
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"createdAt": "2024-08-05T05:34:54.235643Z",
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{
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"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
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{
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"createdAt": "2025-02-06T18:05:50.554703Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:19:41.428248Z",
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{
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"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:27:18.98+00",
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{
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"label": "Fed Rates",
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"context_description": "Trader sentiment on Polymarket for the Fed funds rate reaching key levels before 2027 reflects the Federal Reserve's March 2026 FOMC decision to hold the target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% for a second consecutive meeting, citing balanced risks to maximum employment and 2% inflation. February CPI held at 2.4% year-over-year, while March unemployment dipped to 4.3% with modest job gains, supporting a cautious stance amid oil-driven inflation pressures from geopolitical tensions. CME FedWatch Tool prices near-certainty (>95%) of an April 28-29 hold, with futures implying limited cuts through year-end if data softens. Critical catalysts include March CPI release on April 10 and subsequent FOMC projections, which could recalibrate market-implied rate paths versus official dot plot guidance.",
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"context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T19:19:12.063Z"
}
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