
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the average monthly Ethereum gas price is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the dashboard available at https://dune.com/nibty/eth-gas-prices, using the “mean_gas” value displayed in the “Gas Prices Monthly Average” tab. This market will resolve as soon as a finalized average monthly gas price shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for December 2026 is finalized and no earlier finalized monthly value has met or exceeded that threshold. A monthly value will be considered finalized once the next monthly data point is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.
Ticker
what-will-the-average-monthly-ethereum-gas-price-hit-before-2027
Volume
18.9K
24h volume
3
1w volume
3
Open interest
2.9K
Liquidity
937
Liquidity CLOB
937
Start
Dec 15, 2025
End
Jan 1, 2027
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 15, 2025
Event ID
103643
Slug
what-will-the-average-monthly-ethereum-gas-price-hit-before-2027
Markets
6
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"title": "What will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit before 2027?",
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"question": "Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 10 Gwei before 2027?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the average monthly Ethereum gas price is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the dashboard available at https://dune.com/nibty/eth-gas-prices, using the “mean_gas” value displayed in the “Gas Prices Monthly Average” tab.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as a finalized average monthly gas price shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for December 2026 is finalized and no earlier finalized monthly value has met or exceeded that threshold.\n\nA monthly value will be considered finalized once the next monthly data point is published.\n\nIf the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.",
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"question": "Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 15 Gwei before 2027?",
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{
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"question": "Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027?",
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{
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"question": "Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 25 Gwei before 2027?",
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"endDate": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the average monthly Ethereum gas price is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the dashboard available at https://dune.com/nibty/eth-gas-prices, using the “mean_gas” value displayed in the “Gas Prices Monthly Average” tab.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as a finalized average monthly gas price shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for December 2026 is finalized and no earlier finalized monthly value has met or exceeded that threshold.\n\nA monthly value will be considered finalized once the next monthly data point is published.\n\nIf the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.045\", \"0.955\"]",
"volume": "5145.967242000001",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-12-12T21:34:47.542275Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-18T17:44:06.802432Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "25 Gwei",
"groupItemThreshold": "4",
"questionID": "0x9c85f93776294ea41bd54032189db353b4d48c57385c3777d86c0f11b1e3ca27",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 5145.967242000001,
"liquidityNum": 99.14748,
"endDateIso": "2027-01-01",
"startDateIso": "2025-12-15",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"4948120852309116508091614170839376668966884700948989771484997808380844459394\", \"18802393565291712436899729429089924858104497792982518694284454990866908025798\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 5145.967242000001,
"liquidityClob": 99.14748,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-15T15:47:13Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8284832542822228,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "219376",
"conditionId": "0x9ea0030337e6416cfbd5e9a52ffb4c80575953b45a52bc513f2d7ecbe299d5f2",
"assetAddress": "0x2791bca1f2de4661ed88a30c99a7a9449aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 0.001,
"startDate": "2026-04-21",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.014,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0345,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.019,
"lastTradePrice": 0.117,
"bestBid": 0.038,
"bestAsk": 0.052,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-15T15:46:46.459507Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "crypto_fees_v2",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.07,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.2
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "921961",
"question": "Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 40 Gwei before 2027?",
"conditionId": "0xb5d84b0d831b64feb65dbd8f8b6ff92ac739cfdd13676770d2b13087f1a0d386",
"slug": "will-the-average-monthly-ethereum-gas-price-hit-40-gwei-before-2027",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "129.30555",
"startDate": "2025-12-15T15:47:40.179188Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-average-monthly-ethereum-gas-price-hit-before-2027--ceukZtMx5o_.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-average-monthly-ethereum-gas-price-hit-before-2027--ceukZtMx5o_.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the average monthly Ethereum gas price is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the dashboard available at https://dune.com/nibty/eth-gas-prices, using the “mean_gas” value displayed in the “Gas Prices Monthly Average” tab.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as a finalized average monthly gas price shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for December 2026 is finalized and no earlier finalized monthly value has met or exceeded that threshold.\n\nA monthly value will be considered finalized once the next monthly data point is published.\n\nIf the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.056\", \"0.944\"]",
"volume": "2775.845835",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-12-12T21:34:47.996364Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-18T17:44:06.802432Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "40 Gwei",
"groupItemThreshold": "5",
"questionID": "0xe03af7f32aa1affe146cf47fd7009c104786006a9bceb360382a569fc6bcd5ef",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 2775.845835,
"liquidityNum": 129.30555,
"endDateIso": "2027-01-01",
"startDateIso": "2025-12-15",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"33175309972016000248263528387301108568617815485472844061570583804671647075556\", \"77682261456383833387938086943971268093085982137816059512451473962006730013309\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 2775.845835,
"liquidityClob": 129.30555,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-15T15:47:17Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8353269803932051,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.044,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.003,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.001,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.012,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.0445,
"lastTradePrice": 0.028,
"bestBid": 0.034,
"bestAsk": 0.078,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-15T15:46:46.462717Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "crypto_fees_v2",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.07,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.2
},
"version": "v1"
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "105288",
"label": "Network Stats",
"slug": "network-stats",
"createdAt": "2026-06-09T16:53:22.647218Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-06-09T16:55:01.901567Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "21",
"label": "Crypto",
"slug": "crypto",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:03:54.55+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:03:54.564Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:28:03.349847Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "39",
"label": "Ethereum",
"slug": "ethereum",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:08:15.934+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:08:15.95Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:49:04.26767Z",
"forceHide": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"version": "v1"
}Tickers mapped from the event's catalyst themes.
Coinbase Global Inc.
Policy markets can change trading volume, token custody demand, mining economics, and payment-network competitive pressure.
Robinhood Markets Inc.
Policy markets can change trading volume, token custody demand, mining economics, and payment-network competitive pressure.
Strategy Inc.
Policy markets can change trading volume, token custody demand, mining economics, and payment-network competitive pressure.
MARA Holdings, Inc.
Policy markets can change trading volume, token custody demand, mining economics, and payment-network competitive pressure.
Riot Platforms, Inc.
Policy markets can change trading volume, token custody demand, mining economics, and payment-network competitive pressure.
CleanSpark, Inc.
Policy markets can change trading volume, token custody demand, mining economics, and payment-network competitive pressure.
Hut 8 Corp.
Policy markets can change trading volume, token custody demand, mining economics, and payment-network competitive pressure.
Bit Digital, Inc.
Policy markets can change trading volume, token custody demand, mining economics, and payment-network competitive pressure.
IREN Limited
Policy markets can change trading volume, token custody demand, mining economics, and payment-network competitive pressure.
TeraWulf Inc.
Policy markets can change trading volume, token custody demand, mining economics, and payment-network competitive pressure.
Block, Inc.
Policy markets can change trading volume, token custody demand, mining economics, and payment-network competitive pressure.
Block Inc.
Policy markets can change trading volume, token custody demand, mining economics, and payment-network competitive pressure.
PayPal Holdings Inc.
Policy markets can change trading volume, token custody demand, mining economics, and payment-network competitive pressure.
CME Group
Policy markets can change trading volume, token custody demand, mining economics, and payment-network competitive pressure.