Loading event…
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time. The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
Ticker
what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026
Volume
6.0M
24h volume
364
1w volume
6.4K
Open interest
30.8K
Liquidity
303.9K
Liquidity CLOB
303.9K
Start
Jan 12, 2026
End
Dec 9, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 12, 2026
Event ID
159954
Slug
what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026
Markets
15
Raw event data
{
"id": "159954",
"ticker": "what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026",
"slug": "what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026",
"title": "What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?",
"description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-01-12T17:47:04.954225Z",
"creationDate": "2026-01-12T17:47:04.954206Z",
"endDate": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 303919.53528,
"volume": 5990624.327981999,
"openInterest": 30796.563175999996,
"createdAt": "2026-01-12T16:29:46.998212Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:40:00.712463Z",
"competitive": 0.9928268261808434,
"volume24hr": 363.69341599999996,
"volume1wk": 6416.205045999999,
"volume1mo": 2172664.0277639995,
"volume1yr": 2335841.482517,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 303919.53528,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f400",
"commentCount": 5,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1168141",
"question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x16dd5e4c4bfa3f3095c3ff0def4bed556eba411e3cdbf7b463b3b9a74c1d93a4",
"slug": "will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-4pt25-at-the-end-of-2026-984",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "22670.61718",
"startDate": "2026-01-12T17:46:35.651518Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0215\", \"0.9785\"]",
"volume": "404507.495855",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-12T16:29:51.933114Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:36.64817Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "4.25%",
"groupItemThreshold": "13",
"questionID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f408",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 404507.495855,
"liquidityNum": 22670.61718,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-09",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-12",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 133.62599999999998,
"volume1wk": 1042.4342849999998,
"volume1mo": 391232.2728010001,
"volume1yr": 404507.4958550001,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"89500673908097597906591339142232589618046825453146074245854666302243957916021\", \"85375547246839457656540637130161240130803028993782681477831906794644854814586\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 133.62599999999998,
"volume1wkClob": 1042.4342849999998,
"volume1moClob": 391232.2728010001,
"volume1yrClob": 404507.4958550001,
"volumeClob": 404507.495855,
"liquidityClob": 22670.61718,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f400",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xca4a589a20256888cc53818a441608d20f3ebde0ad9204dc0c90c5f7d4d29791",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:46:13Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8136946435905578,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "101712",
"conditionId": "0x16dd5e4c4bfa3f3095c3ff0def4bed556eba411e3cdbf7b463b3b9a74c1d93a4",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 0.001,
"startDate": "2026-03-13",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.017,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.003,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.0155,
"lastTradePrice": 0.023,
"bestBid": 0.013,
"bestAsk": 0.03,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:43:17.148326Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1168133",
"question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xcefba5a5ca20b0fee51103c05388828b138cc2199a36fe5a7702049dbc9e5222",
"slug": "will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-2pt25-at-the-end-of-2026-971",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "19912.97816",
"startDate": "2026-01-12T17:46:28.959662Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0095\", \"0.9905\"]",
"volume": "62883.653288000016",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-12T16:29:47.798875Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:38:57.336322Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "2.25%",
"groupItemThreshold": "5",
"questionID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f400",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 62883.653288000016,
"liquidityNum": 19912.97816,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-09",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-12",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"22041816684222995832827286579718756449177525604552575185729167841575371811511\", \"30722923551251377760935076967830403176200756460207968800542652410814932643112\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 62883.653288000016,
"liquidityClob": 19912.97816,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f400",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xadee78006a5bcd747fc2ed8bbd51dd165ea4f85c368b2d3831850d69a730e707",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:46:07Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.806067918073675,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.005,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.0005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.0045,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.003,
"lastTradePrice": 0.011,
"bestBid": 0.007,
"bestAsk": 0.012,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:43:17.13749Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1168137",
"question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xaf3a3a07512f3123098b5901a8c4ed2a8320cc7c8e011c831ce4af3c17324260",
"slug": "will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-3pt25-at-the-end-of-2026-282",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "18012.8222",
"startDate": "2026-01-12T17:46:32.959503Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.12\", \"0.88\"]",
"volume": "38683.46643099994",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-12T16:29:49.97983Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:46.202479Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "3.25%",
"groupItemThreshold": "9",
"questionID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f404",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 38683.46643099994,
"liquidityNum": 18012.8222,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-09",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-12",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 82.72,
"volume1wk": 962.6504500000001,
"volume1mo": 16900.749029000002,
"volume1yr": 38683.46643100001,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"30366180262779010808139929063676071042343089991674577710986189846984779742371\", \"85677146697569934787475823154714326727658905985619546396571251691878626416300\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 82.72,
"volume1wkClob": 962.6504500000001,
"volume1moClob": 16900.749029000002,
"volume1yrClob": 38683.46643100001,
"volumeClob": 38683.46643099994,
"liquidityClob": 18012.8222,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f400",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x85d7e1a62252cd3695522d5106eb2290e675d3d11d3489805c892a389aedc964",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:46:11Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8738203425375743,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "54841",
"conditionId": "0xaf3a3a07512f3123098b5901a8c4ed2a8320cc7c8e011c831ce4af3c17324260",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 3,
"startDate": "2026-01-12",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.02,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.01,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.22,
"lastTradePrice": 0.12,
"bestBid": 0.11,
"bestAsk": 0.13,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:43:17.143428Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1168139",
"question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xf88da08f18b2026d986d67508141ec7c13614d87a6ff0f5315edfce4df643165",
"slug": "will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-3pt75-at-the-end-of-2026-166",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "21487.23597",
"startDate": "2026-01-12T17:46:34.889878Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.4155\", \"0.5845\"]",
"volume": "491956.229187",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-12T16:29:51.041828Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:44.023522Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "3.75%",
"groupItemThreshold": "11",
"questionID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f406",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 491956.229187,
"liquidityNum": 21487.23597,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-09",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-12",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 8.847416,
"volume1wk": 1054.999721,
"volume1mo": 403637.58381700004,
"volume1yr": 491956.22918700014,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"77981338513262421050195407227805423999001074679019211738787029756025412233520\", \"67538289943759516608015485329281824073862511746412848500581938783863030221584\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 8.847416,
"volume1wkClob": 1054.999721,
"volume1moClob": 403637.58381700004,
"volume1yrClob": 491956.22918700014,
"volumeClob": 491956.229187,
"liquidityClob": 21487.23597,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f400",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x0c2f7e9d5d8b8100c5f4c89e8664f56fa3c90e560199d206ef0cbb16c71285da",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:46:13Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9929103717183381,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.029,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.107,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0.013,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.076,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.317,
"lastTradePrice": 0.426,
"bestBid": 0.401,
"bestAsk": 0.43,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:43:17.145782Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1168136",
"question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xf9ca1f6608ee282342a6c8d108dda15b91fc9cc1cf9e90a548c3ae5f825b425f",
"slug": "will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-3pt0-at-the-end-of-2026-593",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "29384.86485",
"startDate": "2026-01-12T17:46:33.465539Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.038\", \"0.962\"]",
"volume": "431308.7649070001",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-12T16:29:49.404803Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:17.722666Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "3.0%",
"groupItemThreshold": "8",
"questionID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f403",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 431308.7649070001,
"liquidityNum": 29384.86485,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-09",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-12",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"22030816399818413560467152256926658656366292051273475071688151582132139764281\", \"25727124709156563745313136619789212129028607048433410847650871425435693217078\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 431308.7649070001,
"liquidityClob": 29384.86485,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f400",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x6b0f5b494ea5b5bc19deaa28ff451fb98e2aa448cbb428f5282c9b903b32aaa1",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:46:11Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8241006589508869,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "54842",
"conditionId": "0xf9ca1f6608ee282342a6c8d108dda15b91fc9cc1cf9e90a548c3ae5f825b425f",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 3,
"startDate": "2026-01-12",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.002,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.003,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.067,
"lastTradePrice": 0.037,
"bestBid": 0.037,
"bestAsk": 0.039,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:43:17.142167Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1168134",
"question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xed67f6f9c7c20366b5e608062ada2b8bcb2f667f96d9acdbfc945bd1e5dfdaea",
"slug": "will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-2pt5-at-the-end-of-2026-876",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "20271.31197",
"startDate": "2026-01-12T17:46:29.213617Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.021\", \"0.979\"]",
"volume": "125512.63921399997",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-12T16:29:48.256069Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:39.820285Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "2.5%",
"groupItemThreshold": "6",
"questionID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f401",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 125512.63921399997,
"liquidityNum": 20271.31197,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-09",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-12",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"74366238780126511156198005038700786940884582649388457649794697077780927240575\", \"73111932040759725999696984609269224705760896374161152252423768299058178483816\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 125512.63921399997,
"liquidityClob": 20271.31197,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f400",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x146834a56444466d22acfcbaef524f549ece9f348bd298ab3aa42713205c2c12",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:46:07Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8133777871406599,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.016,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.0005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.012,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0175,
"lastTradePrice": 0.011,
"bestBid": 0.013,
"bestAsk": 0.029,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:43:17.139498Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1168135",
"question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x0fe6bc20ffff1a1f3c0b076f2c512fc582fb82be1cf5836b59bbafa17151fb32",
"slug": "will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-2pt75-at-the-end-of-2026-218",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "22778.6942",
"startDate": "2026-01-12T17:46:33.212572Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]",
"volume": "23659.013330000013",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-12T16:29:48.872115Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:35.56487Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "2.75%",
"groupItemThreshold": "7",
"questionID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f402",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 23659.013330000013,
"liquidityNum": 22778.6942,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-09",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-12",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"10021099765479877880206130084102113471770375449510519368096296649508325006675\", \"43741673772979840608427729723619432164896600165987192499903280534638952977639\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 23659.013330000013,
"liquidityClob": 22778.6942,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f400",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x81e718377654ad3738331b7a3292a101da0a8d8c256a97307a08e1f2ef8585ef",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:46:11Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8347071221385196,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "54843",
"conditionId": "0x0fe6bc20ffff1a1f3c0b076f2c512fc582fb82be1cf5836b59bbafa17151fb32",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 2,
"startDate": "2026-01-12",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.01,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.005,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.02,
"lastTradePrice": 0.05,
"bestBid": 0.05,
"bestAsk": 0.06,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:43:17.140904Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1168138",
"question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xfdf784c55879c70a90eab563dde386b6c5965e41be15fa74424f1db623282312",
"slug": "will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-3pt5-at-the-end-of-2026-352",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "14591.9237",
"startDate": "2026-01-12T17:46:35.397831Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.225\", \"0.775\"]",
"volume": "57032.93139299996",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-12T16:29:50.564523Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:01.766693Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "3.5%",
"groupItemThreshold": "10",
"questionID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f405",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 57032.93139299996,
"liquidityNum": 14591.9237,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-09",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-12",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 82.5,
"volume1wk": 742.3621019999999,
"volume1mo": 30545.839128000007,
"volume1yr": 57032.93139299996,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"76542734491881647384543632699602825265030157099252760960463268833056461102034\", \"53986214156874056289716055834359990128615286284879588756681565739744095952761\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 82.5,
"volume1wkClob": 742.3621019999999,
"volume1moClob": 30545.839128000007,
"volume1yrClob": 57032.93139299996,
"volumeClob": 57032.93139299996,
"liquidityClob": 14591.9237,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f400",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x3e4d24d78ffa93a8f7842264ef5f0d803c232d2f48c18f621f70486c64380c5a",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:46:13Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9296920395119117,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "54840",
"conditionId": "0xfdf784c55879c70a90eab563dde386b6c5965e41be15fa74424f1db623282312",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 3,
"startDate": "2026-01-12",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.03,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.03,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.015,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.01,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.055,
"lastTradePrice": 0.21,
"bestBid": 0.21,
"bestAsk": 0.24,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:43:17.144584Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1168140",
"question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xb6abfbc465b88c6085503b3280872545c99c43fc979674bb47b9df1f7c170fd3",
"slug": "will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-4pt0-at-the-end-of-2026-386",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "20763.58687",
"startDate": "2026-01-12T17:46:35.14396Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0835\", \"0.9165\"]",
"volume": "1343661.359651",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-12T16:29:51.484456Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:06.974069Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "4.0%",
"groupItemThreshold": "12",
"questionID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f407",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 1343661.359651,
"liquidityNum": 20763.58687,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-09",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-12",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 56,
"volume1wk": 2613.7584879999995,
"volume1mo": 1330347.5829889996,
"volume1yr": 1343661.3596509995,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"45298643302120067019009097483686644753682404593036519073434032964867401216713\", \"91978458915370945988908089539242949184649677903154230672720974787942861020433\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 56,
"volume1wkClob": 2613.7584879999995,
"volume1moClob": 1330347.5829889996,
"volume1yrClob": 1343661.3596509995,
"volumeClob": 1343661.359651,
"liquidityClob": 20763.58687,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f400",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xbca6032c4350f2a78e5708233debe1dbc6ac65a67c8ec23dfa459f02cc6504e7",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:46:13Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.852171834485221,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.027,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.032,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.072,
"lastTradePrice": 0.07,
"bestBid": 0.07,
"bestAsk": 0.097,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:43:17.147018Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1168142",
"question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x3d20f26deb9b9cc7e24e5e06c10234a722d93bac095ce1105c59b44b503078d7",
"slug": "will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-4pt5-at-the-end-of-2026-139",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "14220.16947",
"startDate": "2026-01-12T17:46:37.908382Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.051\", \"0.949\"]",
"volume": "2388542.606302999",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-12T16:29:52.446776Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:36.128381Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "≥ 4.5%",
"groupItemThreshold": "14",
"questionID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f409",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 2388542.606302999,
"liquidityNum": 14220.16947,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-09",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-12",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"44956651579513700220045051729687627381715616102744183825397331989105273067709\", \"51964039038586437622048402090827247539716151648632162816759306830645640049347\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 2388542.606302999,
"liquidityClob": 14220.16947,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f400",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x3d27aa201d5feabfbe71a188e707010e512c5949499297cf4ec9dbe78169848b",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:46:15Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.832223009135312,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "101792",
"conditionId": "0x3d20f26deb9b9cc7e24e5e06c10234a722d93bac095ce1105c59b44b503078d7",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 0.001,
"startDate": "2026-03-13",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.04,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.039,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.027,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.02,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.048,
"lastTradePrice": 0.033,
"bestBid": 0.031,
"bestAsk": 0.071,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:43:17.149619Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1168832",
"question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x857a2ae8088bc256184d6684adfdc7832d072e526c1e8f0d218c1160770c20e9",
"slug": "will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-1pt0-at-the-end-of-2026-434",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "13150.39325",
"startDate": "2026-01-12T17:46:38.161624Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.017\", \"0.983\"]",
"volume": "192421.72348299992",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-12T17:31:07.920158Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:20.306085Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "≤1.0%",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f40a",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 192421.72348299992,
"liquidityNum": 13150.39325,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-09",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-12",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"8428905054197455020031495106070658435380642200638989046327033285092773824082\", \"22604101464619399037934071193108562587384510554998098062934337462216758346318\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 192421.72348299992,
"liquidityClob": 13150.39325,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f400",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x13a57d115f1302d3c53166c2ab813951a1ce14091cad7e8735a70273d5e23d5c",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:46:15Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.810839957220084,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.012,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.001,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.0065,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.007,
"lastTradePrice": 0.011,
"bestBid": 0.011,
"bestAsk": 0.023,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:43:17.151194Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1168833",
"question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x7a4ddd066c01025c1f97739238a872546c73ac4a32f75f8045f526a8eb27d1a0",
"slug": "will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-1pt25-at-the-end-of-2026-681",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "23262.4865",
"startDate": "2026-01-12T17:46:39.979834Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.007\", \"0.993\"]",
"volume": "105882.15598600003",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-12T17:31:28.94748Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:46.209661Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "1.25",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f40b",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 105882.15598600003,
"liquidityNum": 23262.4865,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-09",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-12",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"1157443684511006167585906406655380617190907150100754776816041475587243788670\", \"36635807580806452971261964327469928791107377411152635707398563290409311103680\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 105882.15598600003,
"liquidityClob": 23262.4865,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f400",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x9fdf52ec061e6dc7880f7ff9a8140d1bf7c5fa8adb817fd74850606546a6274f",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:46:17Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8044735163296057,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.006,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.001,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.0005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.002,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.0025,
"lastTradePrice": 0.004,
"bestBid": 0.004,
"bestAsk": 0.01,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:43:17.152442Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1168834",
"question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xb81fde30f892e09596d26670fd93da5a113451e197d059b434c2b27bb5c27b09",
"slug": "will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-1pt5-at-the-end-of-2026-a8ms-587",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "21127.43821",
"startDate": "2026-01-12T17:46:41.992972Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.004\", \"0.996\"]",
"volume": "108653.88998400008",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-12T17:31:41.474728Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:17.9101Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "1.5%",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f40c",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 108653.88998400008,
"liquidityNum": 21127.43821,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-09",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-12",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"24200688643010489802979414720922485726083898678543840432899131608248835588689\", \"10493822129702334789388374785987041030471657186882590140214131671825963087414\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 108653.88998400008,
"liquidityClob": 21127.43821,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f400",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xfc5b8152c009033224a52f0b21d4096c6144deac7b4c317b926c5ff8fcc538a0",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:46:19Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8025579125789717,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.002,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.0015,
"lastTradePrice": 0.004,
"bestBid": 0.003,
"bestAsk": 0.005,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:43:17.153817Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1168843",
"question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x98283dd207781ce8b3e2bf9890b6e9f7d36fc3eb1a24ac0080833f04fb06f2d6",
"slug": "will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-1pt75-at-the-end-of-2026-739",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "20221.09409",
"startDate": "2026-01-12T17:46:42.246334Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0075\", \"0.9925\"]",
"volume": "97964.34501500001",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-12T17:32:08.484069Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:28.880914Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "1.75%",
"groupItemThreshold": "3",
"questionID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f40d",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 97964.34501500001,
"liquidityNum": 20221.09409,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-09",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-12",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"16142510462137475227869367321456992291659620114580902972224851745847257441642\", \"82921925725133085615492926617722730351047520691655198023254751825520835743867\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 97964.34501500001,
"liquidityClob": 20221.09409,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f400",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x99f506b91acaaa1c33ae953f4fca41c250618df421e49e4ad33cab52de9a39f7",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:46:19Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8047925395731582,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.003,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.001,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0.0005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.0035,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.0045,
"lastTradePrice": 0.005,
"bestBid": 0.006,
"bestAsk": 0.009,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:43:17.232201Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1168844",
"question": "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x75ad781e57ad5ef7d8e279c838da39ab60351fdc056492375af4e35247d5af25",
"slug": "will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-2pt0-at-the-end-of-2026-736",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-09T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "21079.89182",
"startDate": "2026-01-12T17:46:44.033403Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",
"description": "The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.01\", \"0.99\"]",
"volume": "117954.05395500002",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-12T17:32:21.229131Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:18.503032Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "2.0%",
"groupItemThreshold": "4",
"questionID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f40e",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 117954.05395500002,
"liquidityNum": 21079.89182,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-09",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-12",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"101115517952714930508586870711049128767846487814601539730559627760869397372071\", \"4393318305486155700766279997920105641637607574286427145226154728192777990304\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 117954.05395500002,
"liquidityClob": 21079.89182,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xd27e8e92e8886adf7bae14129f5d76845c587c8de7e058d5d524de70b1c2f400",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x3925cdc469e021853c3fc82f861dbe98967224770cc0fb9ce871744a378c1143",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:46:21Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8063865817272801,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.006,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.0025,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0.001,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.003,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.005,
"lastTradePrice": 0.009,
"bestBid": 0.007,
"bestAsk": 0.013,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:43:17.233933Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "100196",
"label": "Fed Rates",
"slug": "fed-rates",
"forceShow": true,
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:23:02.133069Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101800",
"label": "Economic Policy",
"slug": "economic-policy",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-02-06T18:05:50.554703Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:19:41.428248Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "159",
"label": "Fed",
"slug": "fed",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:27:18.98+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:27:18.986Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:22:21.975063Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "2",
"label": "Politics",
"slug": "politics",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:26.76623Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "126",
"label": "Trump",
"slug": "trump",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:23:16.384+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:23:16.39Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:19:01.330974Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101550",
"label": "Jerome Powell",
"slug": "jerome-powell",
"createdAt": "2024-12-18T23:06:40.410115Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:32:24.492193Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": true,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-12T17:42:52.325805Z",
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Polymarket traders price a 41% implied probability for the federal funds rate at 3.75% by end-2026, reflecting the FOMC's March 18 decision to hold the current 3.5%-3.75% target amid sticky inflation near 2.4% and resilient labor markets, with the dot plot median at 3.4% signaling just one 25-basis-point cut despite oil price spikes from geopolitical tensions. The 23% odds on 3.5% capture trader consensus for modest easing if personal consumption expenditures inflation moderates toward the Fed's 2% goal, while lower probabilities for sub-3.25% or above-4% outcomes highlight balanced risks from potential wage pressures and fiscal policy uncertainty. Upcoming April CPI data on May 12 and the May FOMC meeting loom as key catalysts for sentiment shifts.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T19:31:26.994Z"
}
}- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Vol 492.0KLiq 21.5KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Vol 57.0KLiq 14.6KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?Vol 38.7KLiq 18.0KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Vol 1.3MLiq 20.8KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?Vol 23.7KLiq 22.8KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Vol 2.4MLiq 14.2KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?Vol 431.3KLiq 29.4KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Vol 404.5KLiq 22.7KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?Vol 125.5KLiq 20.3KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?Vol 192.4KLiq 13.2KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?Vol 118.0KLiq 21.1KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?Vol 62.9KLiq 19.9KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?Vol 98.0KLiq 20.2KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?Vol 105.9KLiq 23.3KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?Vol 108.7KLiq 21.1KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book