What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time. The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
Ticker
what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026
Volume
6.8M
24h volume
2.0K
1w volume
8.0K
Open interest
36.2K
Liquidity
252.7K
Liquidity CLOB
252.7K
Start
Jan 12, 2026
End
Dec 9, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 12, 2026
Event ID
159954
Slug
what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026
Markets
15
Raw event data
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}Related stocks
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BAC
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WFC
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C
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GS
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MS
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Fed rates and inflation
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SCHW
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Fed rates and inflation
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COF
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Fed rates and inflation
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AXP
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Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
DFS
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
SYF
Synchrony Financial
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
V
Visa Inc.
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
DHI
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Housing and mortgages
Mortgage-rate and housing events affect homebuilders, building-products demand, real estate values, REIT financing, and home-improvement spending.
MA
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Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Vol 531.9KLiq 7.7KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
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