Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Featured
Overview
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election
Volume
31.9M
24h volume
64.9K
1w volume
696.7K
Open interest
956.6K
Liquidity
2.5M
Liquidity CLOB
2.5M
Start
Nov 15, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 15, 2025
Event ID
81557
Slug
who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election
Markets
28
Tags
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Gadi Eizenkot’s emergence as the leading contender stems from his Yashar party’s consistent polling gains ahead of the October 27, 2026, Knesset election, where recent surveys show it matching or exceeding Likud’s projected seats and positioning the former IDF chief of staff as the strongest challenger to Benjamin Netanyahu. Traders have priced Eizenkot’s implied probability highest due to his security credentials, emphasis on national unity, and appeal to centrist and soft-right voters disillusioned by prolonged conflicts in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran. Netanyahu’s lower share reflects ongoing coalition strains, domestic polarization, and legal-political pressures, while smaller probabilities for figures such as Avigdor Lieberman and Naftali Bennett track their parties’ more limited projected support in current opinion data.",
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"version": "v1"
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