
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Ticker
will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027
Volume
33.2M
24h volume
10.1K
1w volume
114.1K
Open interest
3.1M
Liquidity
153.1K
Liquidity CLOB
153.1K
Start
Dec 23, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 23, 2025
Event ID
118172
Slug
will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027
Markets
1
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"title": "Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?",
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"id": "101569",
"label": "Greenland",
"slug": "greenland",
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"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:29:06.951081Z",
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"context_description": "Trump’s renewed emphasis on Greenland as a national security priority has sustained diplomatic engagement since early 2025, including the December appointment of a special envoy and January 2026 discussions with NATO leaders that produced a framework for limited Arctic cooperation rather than outright transfer of sovereignty. Danish and Greenlandic officials have consistently rejected any sale or annexation, citing self-determination rights and longstanding ties within the Danish Realm, while European allies have issued joint statements opposing coercion or tariffs tied to the issue. These structural and diplomatic barriers, reinforced by Greenland’s public opposition and the absence of any legislative or treaty pathway for acquisition by the end of 2026, underpin traders’ 93.3 percent assessment that full U.S. control will not occur before 2027.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-05-21T22:30:56.555Z"
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