
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Ticker
will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027
Volume
31.2M
24h volume
14.0K
1w volume
189.7K
Open interest
3.3M
Liquidity
422.0K
Liquidity CLOB
422.0K
Start
Dec 23, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 23, 2025
Event ID
118172
Slug
will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027
Markets
1
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{
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"label": "Trump",
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"context_description": "President Trump's renewed push to acquire Greenland for national security—citing needs like a \"Golden Dome\" defense system against missile threats from China or Russia—has met unyielding opposition from Denmark and Greenland leaders. In January 2026, Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen declared sovereignty \"non-negotiable,\" while Greenland's Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen affirmed choosing Denmark in a joint press conference. Despite U.S. tariff threats on opposing European nations and talk of a negotiating \"framework,\" no deal has advanced, straining NATO ties and highlighting legal barriers to territorial transfer. Trader consensus at 91.8% \"No\" reflects these diplomatic roadblocks and Greenland's autonomy aspirations, with slim odds of resolution before 2027 absent a major breakthrough.",
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"context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T19:16:31.424Z"
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