
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Ticker
will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027
Volume
35.3M
24h volume
7.4K
1w volume
32.0K
Open interest
3.0M
Liquidity
223.4K
Liquidity CLOB
223.4K
Start
Dec 23, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 23, 2025
Event ID
118172
Slug
will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027
Markets
1
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"title": "Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?",
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"label": "Davos",
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{
"id": "103123",
"label": "Parent For Derivative",
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{
"id": "101794",
"label": "Foreign Policy",
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{
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"label": "Denmark",
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"id": "126",
"label": "Trump",
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{
"id": "101569",
"label": "Greenland",
"slug": "greenland",
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"context_description": "Strong Danish and Greenlandic opposition, backed by European NATO allies, continues to block any transfer of sovereignty despite U.S. diplomatic and economic overtures. Greenlanders have repeatedly affirmed their preference for the Danish Realm, with polls showing consistent resistance to U.S. incorporation. Early 2026 U.S. tariff threats and special envoy appointments produced no purchase agreement or referendum path, instead yielding only a framework for broader Arctic security talks. With roughly four months remaining before 2027, the absence of legislative or constitutional mechanisms for rapid annexation, combined with Greenland's self-government status and self-determination claims, sustains the overwhelming trader consensus against acquisition. Late developments such as expanded U.S. investments or independence negotiations could theoretically alter the timeline but face entrenched legal and political hurdles.",
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