
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Ticker
will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027
Volume
31.2M
24h volume
14.6K
1w volume
189.8K
Open interest
3.3M
Liquidity
429.2K
Liquidity CLOB
429.2K
Start
Dec 23, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 23, 2025
Event ID
118172
Slug
will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027
Markets
1
Raw event data
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"context_description": "President Trump's push to acquire Greenland, renewed since his 2025 inauguration via a special envoy appointment, invasion threats, and a vague January 2026 Davos \"framework\" for security and mineral access, faces staunch opposition from Denmark—which controls Greenland's foreign affairs—and local leaders affirming ties to the Danish realm. Recent March revelations of Danish contingency plans to sabotage runways amid invasion fears, plus accusations of U.S. covert operations, underscore resistance, while April Pentagon talks seek only expanded military basing, not sovereignty. With no advancing negotiations on territorial transfer and NATO alliance strains mounting, trader consensus implies a 91.8% probability of \"No\" before 2027, barring an unforeseen diplomatic breakthrough.",
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}- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Vol 31.2MLiq 429.4KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book