Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.

Ticker

will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027

Volume

31.2M

24h volume

14.6K

1w volume

189.8K

Open interest

3.3M

Liquidity

429.2K

Liquidity CLOB

429.2K

Start

Dec 23, 2025

End

Dec 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Dec 23, 2025

Event ID

118172

Slug

will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?",
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      "label": "Denmark",
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      "id": "126",
      "label": "Trump",
      "slug": "trump",
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    "context_description": "President Trump's push to acquire Greenland, renewed since his 2025 inauguration via a special envoy appointment, invasion threats, and a vague January 2026 Davos \"framework\" for security and mineral access, faces staunch opposition from Denmark—which controls Greenland's foreign affairs—and local leaders affirming ties to the Danish realm. Recent March revelations of Danish contingency plans to sabotage runways amid invasion fears, plus accusations of U.S. covert operations, underscore resistance, while April Pentagon talks seek only expanded military basing, not sovereignty. With no advancing negotiations on territorial transfer and NATO alliance strains mounting, trader consensus implies a 91.8% probability of \"No\" before 2027, barring an unforeseen diplomatic breakthrough.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T22:46:40.352Z"
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