
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
xi-jinping-out-before-2027
Volume
8.1M
24h volume
15.0K
1w volume
324.9K
Open interest
2.5M
Liquidity
152.8K
Liquidity CLOB
152.8K
Start
Jul 3, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jul 3, 2025
Event ID
30828
Slug
xi-jinping-out-before-2027
Markets
1
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"slug": "xi-jinping-out",
"title": "Xi Jinping out",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus prices \"No\" at 92.5% for Xi Jinping remaining in power as CCP General Secretary before 2027, reflecting his consolidated control amid extensive military purges targeting Central Military Commission members like Zhang Youxia in January 2026 and subsequent generals through March. These anti-corruption actions, the largest since 2022, have reshaped leadership ahead of the 21st Party Congress without signaling threats to Xi's position, as he broke term limits for a third term. Recent diplomatic engagements, including meetings with Taiwan's opposition chair on April 10 and Spain's prime minister on April 14, underscore his active role. No verified health issues, coups, or elite challenges have emerged, though speculation persists; late-breaking scandals or internal fractures could shift odds before resolution at the 2027 congress.",
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