
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
xi-jinping-out-before-2027
Volume
7.8M
24h volume
10.8K
1w volume
186.1K
Open interest
2.4M
Liquidity
152.5K
Liquidity CLOB
152.5K
Start
Jul 3, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jul 3, 2025
Event ID
30828
Slug
xi-jinping-out-before-2027
Markets
1
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"title": "Xi Jinping out before 2027?",
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"ticker": "xi-jinping-out",
"slug": "xi-jinping-out",
"title": "Xi Jinping out",
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"tags": [
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"createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:29:03.520452Z",
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"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 22:05:44.425+00",
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{
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{
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"slug": "macro-geopolitics",
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"context_description": "Chinese leader Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption purges, including the recent ouster of a third Politburo member in under six months and dismissal of top People's Liberation Army generals as recently as February 2026, underscore his unchallenged dominance within the Chinese Communist Party elite. Public references to these military crackdowns by Xi himself, coupled with consistent appearances and no verified health issues or successor signals, reinforce trader consensus that he will retain power through the 21st National Congress in late 2027. Absent late-breaking scandals, coups, or health events—scenarios dismissed amid unconfirmed rumors—these actions signal continuity, driving the 92.8% implied probability for \"No.\"",
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"context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T18:46:20.877Z"
}
}