
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
xi-jinping-out-before-2027
Volume
11.5M
24h volume
8.7K
1w volume
151.6K
Open interest
3.5M
Liquidity
198.5K
Liquidity CLOB
198.5K
Start
Jul 3, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jul 3, 2025
Event ID
30828
Slug
xi-jinping-out-before-2027
Markets
1
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"title": "Xi Jinping out before 2027?",
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"context_description": "Xi Jinping maintains a dominant position within the Chinese Communist Party with no visible internal challenges or succession mechanisms in place ahead of the 21st Party Congress scheduled for late 2027. Recent military leadership purges, including the investigation of senior figures such as Zhang Youxia, have further centralized authority under Xi rather than eroding it, while his public engagements—including a May 2026 summit with U.S. President Trump and emphasis on the 15th Five-Year Plan—underscore ongoing control over foreign policy and economic priorities. Analyses from credible observers note the absence of any appointed successor or factional resistance capable of forcing removal before the end of 2026, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 93.3% probability for “No.” Structural factors, such as Xi’s third-term precedent and nominal age norms that have been flexibly applied, reinforce expectations of continuity through the near term.",
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"context_updated_at": "2026-06-18T02:17:51.435Z"
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}Tickers mapped from the event's catalyst themes.
Coinbase Global Inc.
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MARA Holdings, Inc.
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Riot Platforms, Inc.
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CleanSpark, Inc.
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Apple Inc.
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Hut 8 Corp.
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Amazon.com Inc.
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Bit Digital, Inc.
Policy markets can change trading volume, token custody demand, mining economics, and payment-network competitive pressure.
Walmart Inc.
Tariffs can change input costs, gross margins, sourcing strategy, retail prices, and demand for import-heavy businesses.
IREN Limited
Policy markets can change trading volume, token custody demand, mining economics, and payment-network competitive pressure.
Target Corporation
Tariffs can change input costs, gross margins, sourcing strategy, retail prices, and demand for import-heavy businesses.
TeraWulf Inc.
Policy markets can change trading volume, token custody demand, mining economics, and payment-network competitive pressure.