
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
xi-jinping-out-before-2027
Volume
7.8M
24h volume
10.4K
1w volume
186.1K
Open interest
2.4M
Liquidity
152.2K
Liquidity CLOB
152.2K
Start
Jul 3, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jul 3, 2025
Event ID
30828
Slug
xi-jinping-out-before-2027
Markets
1
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Xi Jinping's unchallenged dominance as China's general secretary of the Communist Party, with \"No\" implying a 92.7% probability he remains in power through 2026 ahead of the 21st Party Congress. Recent military purges, including the January 2026 ousters of top Central Military Commission figures like Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli—veterans overseeing the People's Liberation Army—signal Xi's consolidation of control amid an anti-corruption campaign, the largest since the 1989 Tiananmen era. Xi chaired Politburo Standing Committee meetings in January, approved 2026 economic plans, and directed the 15th Five-Year Plan rollout (2026-2030), underscoring institutional stability. A March Politburo shake-up and reports of further elite removals reinforce his authority, with no verified health or resignation developments. Late-breaking scandals or factional challenges could shift odds, but historical precedent favors continuity.",
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}- Xi Jinping out before 2027?Vol 7.8MLiq 151.6KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book