ECB rate hike in 2026?

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    "context_description": "Eurozone inflation surged to 2.6% in March 2026, exceeding the ECB's 2% target amid energy price spikes from the Iran conflict, prompting Governing Council minutes on April 16 to stress vigilance while holding key rates steady at 2% deposit facility following the March 19 decision. ECB staff projections now forecast 2.6% average inflation for 2026, up from prior estimates, with subdued 0.9% growth, fueling trader consensus for at least one hike later in the year—markets price around 70 basis points of tightening by year-end. Policymakers, including President Lagarde, signal readiness to act if pressures persist beyond short-lived shocks, though April 30 odds favor no change; IMF endorsed a 50 basis point rise to anchor expectations.",
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