
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-may-31
Volume
95
24h volume
95
1w volume
95
Open interest
90
Liquidity
5.9K
Liquidity CLOB
5.9K
Start
Apr 29, 2026
End
May 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 29, 2026
Event ID
432089
Slug
israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-may-31
Markets
1
Raw event data
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"title": "Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?",
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"id": "78",
"label": "Iran",
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"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:51.647+00",
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{
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"label": "Israel x Iran",
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{
"id": "104010",
"label": "Iran Ceasefire",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus favors no direct diplomatic meeting between Israel and Lebanon by May 31 at 62.5%, reflecting Hezbollah's rejection of U.S.-brokered talks and ongoing border threats that have undermined a fragile ceasefire. Ambassador-level direct discussions occurred April 14 in Washington, hosted by Secretary Rubio, leading to a 10-day hostilities pause on April 16, later extended three weeks after White House sessions on April 23 involving President Trump. However, Hezbollah's defiance, mutual strikes reported April 27, and lack of announced high-level bilateral summits signal persistent escalation risks, with Lebanese President Aoun pushing negotiations amid opposition, tempering expectations for further progress before the deadline.",
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"context_updated_at": "2026-04-30T04:29:32.385Z"
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}- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Vol 95Liq 5.9KEnd May 31, 2026OpenOrder book