StocksCryptoPredict

Will Marriott (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

As of market creation, Marriott is estimated to release earnings on May 6, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Marriott’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.55 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marriott reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $2.55 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Marriott releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Ticker

mar-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-05-06-2026-2pt55

Volume

162

24h volume

135

1w volume

162

Open interest

157

Liquidity

141

Liquidity CLOB

141

Start

Apr 23, 2026

End

May 6, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Apr 23, 2026

Resolution source

https://seekingalpha.com/

Event ID

410651

Slug

mar-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-05-06-2026-2pt55

Markets

1

Tags

EarningsEquitiesHide From NewFinanceMAR
Raw event data
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  "title": "Will Marriott (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?",
  "description": "As of market creation, Marriott is estimated to release earnings on May 6, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Marriott’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.55 as of market creation. This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Marriott reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $2.55 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\" The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. \n\nIf Marriott releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.)\n\nIf the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” \n\nNote: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).\nNote: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS.\nNote: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.\nNote: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.\nNote: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify.\nNote: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.\nNote: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.\n",
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      "label": "MAR",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader sentiment on Polymarket prices a 59.5% implied probability for Marriott International (MAR) to beat Q1 2026 earnings consensus of $2.58 per share (versus $2.32 last year), ahead of the May 6 release, driven by robust international RevPAR momentum from Q4 2025's 1.9% worldwide growth—led by 6.1% gains in EMEA and APEC offsetting U.S. softness—and FY2026 guidance for 1.5-2.5% RevPAR expansion alongside 4.5-5% net rooms growth. Recent analyst upgrades, including Susquehanna's $385 and JPMorgan's $383 price targets (consensus ~$363), reflect optimism on luxury demand and royalty fee tailwinds, tempering caution around domestic occupancy trends. The closely contested odds highlight key swing factors like final RevPAR prints and margin dynamics in the earnings call.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-30T04:29:36.630Z"
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