StocksCryptoPredict

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 1, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 1, 2026, than on May 8, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Ticker

trump-approval-up-or-down-this-week-332

Volume

134

24h volume

134

1w volume

134

Open interest

124

Liquidity

239

Liquidity CLOB

239

Start

Apr 30, 2026

End

May 9, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Apr 30, 2026

Event ID

435285

Slug

trump-approval-up-or-down-this-week-332

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "slug": "trump-approval-up-or-down-this-week-332",
  "title": "Trump approval Up or Down this week?",
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      "id": "2126913",
      "question": "Trump approval Up or Down this week?",
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      "ticker": "trump-approval-binary",
      "slug": "trump-approval-binary",
      "title": "trump approval binary",
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  "tags": [
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      "id": "126",
      "label": "Trump",
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      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:23:16.384+00",
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      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:14.206724Z",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Recent Reuters/Ipsos and other polls released this week show President Trump's approval rating dipping to a second-term low of 34%, reflecting trader consensus pricing \"Down\" at 60.5% for the weekly change. Surging gas prices from the ongoing U.S. conflict with Iran, coupled with persistent inflation and cost-of-living concerns, have eroded public support, particularly on economic handling—down sharply in multiple surveys like AP-NORC and NBC. Earlier April polls hovered in the mid-30s to low-40s, but fresh data amid escalating foreign policy pressures signals further erosion, outweighing any countervailing factors as midterms loom.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-30T22:28:00.173Z"
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