
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the percentage change for BTC/USDT is higher than the percentage change for XAU/USD for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is information from TradingView, specifically the charts for BTC/USDT (https://fr.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT) and XAU/USD (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=OANDA%3AXAUUSD). The change value displayed at the top of the graph for the “12M” candle dated “01 Jan ’26” will be used once the data for both relevant candles are finalized. If the change is exactly equal according to the resolution source for the specified candles, this market will resolve 50-50.
Ticker
will-bitcoin-outperform-gold-in-2026
Volume
468.4K
24h volume
354
1w volume
10.1K
Open interest
41.1K
Liquidity
23.6K
Liquidity CLOB
23.6K
Start
Dec 30, 2025
End
Jan 1, 2027
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 30, 2025
Event ID
133707
Slug
will-bitcoin-outperform-gold-in-2026
Markets
1
{
"id": "133707",
"ticker": "will-bitcoin-outperform-gold-in-2026",
"slug": "will-bitcoin-outperform-gold-in-2026",
"title": "Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the percentage change for BTC/USDT is higher than the percentage change for XAU/USD for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from TradingView, specifically the charts for BTC/USDT (https://fr.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT) and XAU/USD (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=OANDA%3AXAUUSD). The change value displayed at the top of the graph for the “12M” candle dated “01 Jan ’26” will be used once the data for both relevant candles are finalized.\n\nIf the change is exactly equal according to the resolution source for the specified candles, this market will resolve 50-50.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2025-12-30T20:56:58.573Z",
"creationDate": "2025-12-30T20:57:35.962314Z",
"endDate": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bitcoin-outperform-gold-in-july-N4L4YE_mBA5s.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bitcoin-outperform-gold-in-july-N4L4YE_mBA5s.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 23584.3666,
"volume": 468389.61446800013,
"openInterest": 41058.492195,
"createdAt": "2025-12-30T20:55:54.937602Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-09-26T22:13:22.959729Z",
"competitive": 0.9910557221079755,
"volume24hr": 354.31,
"volume1wk": 10116.031127,
"volume1mo": 18717.327973,
"volume1yr": 468389.614468,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 23584.3666,
"commentCount": 8,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1068346",
"question": "Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xdcae9573d5680a2c958cca4676ed28df7a06861572124f3396cc60ab6b92b9c2",
"slug": "will-bitcoin-outperform-gold-in-2026",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "23584.3666",
"startDate": "2025-12-30T20:56:58.573Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bitcoin-outperform-gold-in-july-N4L4YE_mBA5s.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bitcoin-outperform-gold-in-july-N4L4YE_mBA5s.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the percentage change for BTC/USDT is higher than the percentage change for XAU/USD for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from TradingView, specifically the charts for BTC/USDT (https://fr.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT) and XAU/USD (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=OANDA%3AXAUUSD). The change value displayed at the top of the graph for the “12M” candle dated “01 Jan ’26” will be used once the data for both relevant candles are finalized.\n\nIf the change is exactly equal according to the resolution source for the specified candles, this market will resolve 50-50.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.405\", \"0.595\"]",
"volume": "468389.61446800013",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-12-30T20:55:55.823062Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-09-26T22:12:49.759076Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0xa89bd71b69407d745932e2c44cdc95d94d85f10a33cb5ea8d17203bb92b11f6f",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 468389.61446800013,
"liquidityNum": 23584.3666,
"endDateIso": "2027-01-01",
"startDateIso": "2025-12-30",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 354.31,
"volume1wk": 10116.031127,
"volume1mo": 18717.327973,
"volume1yr": 468389.614468,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"47113934605305582772590235372495078183833796521066344951188393486940857661087\", \"108842731603268388872372442680604828937896736777451176037156713596409310394087\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 354.31,
"volume1wkClob": 10116.031127,
"volume1moClob": 18717.327973,
"volume1yrClob": 468389.614468,
"volumeClob": 468389.61446800013,
"liquidityClob": 23584.3666,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-30T20:56:37Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9910557221079755,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 0,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 0,
"spread": 0.05,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.035,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.055,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.155,
"lastTradePrice": 0.37,
"bestBid": 0.38,
"bestAsk": 0.43,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-30T20:56:06.807517Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "crypto_fees_v2",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.07,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.2
},
"version": "v1"
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "1312",
"label": "Crypto Prices",
"slug": "crypto-prices",
"forceShow": true,
"publishedAt": "2024-02-12 22:36:40.783+00",
"createdBy": 15,
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2024-02-12T22:34:50.962Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:52:10.030771Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "105301",
"label": "Price Comparison",
"slug": "price-comparison",
"createdAt": "2026-06-09T21:18:52.711357Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-06-09T21:20:01.941231Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "21",
"label": "Crypto",
"slug": "crypto",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:03:54.55+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:03:54.564Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:28:03.349847Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "235",
"label": "Bitcoin",
"slug": "bitcoin",
"forceShow": true,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:40:32.968+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:40:32.974Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:34.210222Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": true,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"version": "v1"
}Tickers mapped from the event's catalyst themes.
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