Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

{
  "id": "79163",
  "ticker": "will-half-life-3-be-announced-before-2027",
  "slug": "will-half-life-3-be-announced-before-2027",
  "title": "Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that Half-Life 3 is in production by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named \"Half-Life 3\" (e.g., Half-Life: Alyx, Half-Life 2: Episode One) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a \"Yes\" resolution. The game must have the words \"Half-Life 3\" in the title to qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2025-11-11T21:46:39.589941Z",
  "creationDate": "2025-11-11T21:46:39.589937Z",
  "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-half-life-3-be-announced-before-2027-BiOuNQ2tWRfq.jpg",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-half-life-3-be-announced-before-2027-BiOuNQ2tWRfq.jpg",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 8868.2863,
  "volume": 98820.67492599992,
  "openInterest": 16671.236652,
  "createdAt": "2025-11-11T21:09:21.444466Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-04-16T23:03:42.833044Z",
  "competitive": 0.9996001599360256,
  "volume24hr": 21.45,
  "volume1wk": 2576.935644,
  "volume1mo": 4373.674785,
  "volume1yr": 98820.67492600004,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 8868.2863,
  "commentCount": 28,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "677218",
      "question": "Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?",
      "conditionId": "0x8af1519f0b6704eaa52ac0890275b011fbca31729bf93fd956899a2c7ea410c0",
      "slug": "will-half-life-3-be-announced-before-2027",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "9357.491",
      "startDate": "2025-11-11T21:40:42.288943Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-half-life-3-be-announced-before-2027-BiOuNQ2tWRfq.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-half-life-3-be-announced-before-2027-BiOuNQ2tWRfq.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that Half-Life 3 is in production by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named \"Half-Life 3\" (e.g., Half-Life: Alyx, Half-Life 2: Episode One) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a \"Yes\" resolution. The game must have the words \"Half-Life 3\" in the title to qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.52\", \"0.48\"]",
      "volume": "98820.67492599992",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-11-11T21:09:22.116444Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-16T23:03:24.092131Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0x32013714d1e08c945ff3b655b11da0b4debb1ef349e9434f17c54e5acece8759",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 98820.67492599992,
      "liquidityNum": 9357.491,
      "endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
      "startDateIso": "2025-11-11",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 21.45,
      "volume1wk": 2576.935644,
      "volume1mo": 4373.674785,
      "volume1yr": 98820.67492600004,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"61357261066156427607874461963210376168557582747775514258762252431133388687435\", \"6991261290382769111733079462092282665787540572081318556604857015498053666166\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 21.45,
      "volume1wkClob": 2576.935644,
      "volume1moClob": 4373.674785,
      "volume1yrClob": 98820.67492600004,
      "volumeClob": 98820.67492599992,
      "liquidityClob": 9357.491,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-11T21:40:21Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.9996001599360256,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "clobRewards": [
        {
          "id": "44431",
          "conditionId": "0x8af1519f0b6704eaa52ac0890275b011fbca31729bf93fd956899a2c7ea410c0",
          "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
          "rewardsAmount": 0,
          "rewardsDailyRate": 5,
          "startDate": "2025-11-20",
          "endDate": "2500-12-31"
        }
      ],
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.02,
      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.01,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.065,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.005,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.52,
      "bestBid": 0.51,
      "bestAsk": 0.53,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-11T21:37:39.269416Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "100639",
      "label": "Games",
      "slug": "games",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2024-09-23T22:41:37.670714Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:28:03.358133Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "596",
      "label": "Culture",
      "slug": "pop-culture",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-15T21:08:01.099409Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": true,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "cumulativeMarkets": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader sentiment on Half-Life 3's pre-2027 announcement hovers at a razor-thin 52% Yes implied probability, driven by persistent unverified leaks like \"HLX\" codename references in recent Deadlock and Dota 2 updates, fueling speculation of active development. Insider claims from journalist Mike Straw tying the long-rumored sequel to Valve's Steam Machine hardware launch—targeted for early 2026—initially boosted optimism, but the Spring window has passed without confirmation, tempering enthusiasm amid Valve's storied secrecy and history of abandoned projects like the original Half-Life 3 efforts. This balance reflects skin-in-the-game caution: code teases suggest progress, yet no official teaser or reveal. Key catalysts include Summer Game Fest in June, Steam Next Fest events, or unannounced hardware showcases, any of which could deliver a decisive trailer and swing odds sharply.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-16T23:03:42.490Z"
  }
}