Will Israel annex any territory by...?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-december-31

Volume

412.9K

24h volume

261

1w volume

9.3K

Open interest

17.4K

Liquidity

65.0K

Liquidity CLOB

65.0K

Start

Jul 23, 2025

End

Dec 31, 2025

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Jul 23, 2025

Event ID

33685

Slug

will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-december-31

Markets

3

Raw event data
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    "context_description": "Israeli security cabinet measures approved in early February 2026 have accelerated de facto control over West Bank territory, including land registration as state land, eased settler property acquisitions, and expanded settlement approvals, prompting condemnation from nearly 20 countries and organizations like Amnesty International as unlawful annexation steps. A UN report in March highlighted mass displacement risks from these expansions, while a Chatham House analysis on April 17 noted ongoing settlement growth undermining peace prospects. No formal Knesset legislation has extended Israeli sovereignty, distinguishing de facto actions from de jure annexation as in the Golan Heights. Traders monitor potential escalations amid Gaza operations, US diplomatic signals under President Trump—who has opposed West Bank annexation—and coalition pressures on Prime Minister Netanyahu before any year-end deadline.",
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