
Will Israel annex any territory by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-december-31
Volume
412.9K
24h volume
261
1w volume
9.3K
Open interest
17.4K
Liquidity
65.0K
Liquidity CLOB
65.0K
Start
Jul 23, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2025
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jul 23, 2025
Event ID
33685
Slug
will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-december-31
Markets
3
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Israeli security cabinet measures approved in early February 2026 have accelerated de facto control over West Bank territory, including land registration as state land, eased settler property acquisitions, and expanded settlement approvals, prompting condemnation from nearly 20 countries and organizations like Amnesty International as unlawful annexation steps. A UN report in March highlighted mass displacement risks from these expansions, while a Chatham House analysis on April 17 noted ongoing settlement growth undermining peace prospects. No formal Knesset legislation has extended Israeli sovereignty, distinguishing de facto actions from de jure annexation as in the Golan Heights. Traders monitor potential escalations amid Gaza operations, US diplomatic signals under President Trump—who has opposed West Bank annexation—and coalition pressures on Prime Minister Netanyahu before any year-end deadline.",
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}- Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Vol 8.3KLiq 31.8KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?Vol 154.3KLiq 33.3KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Vol 250.3KLiq —End Dec 31, 2025Closed