Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

{
  "id": "34349",
  "ticker": "will-trump-resign-by-december-31-2026",
  "slug": "will-trump-resign-by-december-31-2026",
  "title": "Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2025-07-25T18:59:28.524859Z",
  "creationDate": "2025-07-25T18:59:28.524856Z",
  "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-resign-in-2025-xcz2AkFjPF5X.jpg",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-resign-in-2025-xcz2AkFjPF5X.jpg",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 131334.7227,
  "volume": 409410.1315659987,
  "openInterest": 105777.897892,
  "createdAt": "2025-07-25T18:31:12.059586Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-04-06T20:59:55.401532Z",
  "competitive": 0.8408837688410519,
  "volume24hr": 651.9922959999999,
  "volume1wk": 6062.2350369999995,
  "volume1mo": 38611.88105499999,
  "volume1yr": 409410.1315660006,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 131334.7227,
  "commentCount": 23,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "568117",
      "question": "Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x448f73e89890ae9d0e42ad0b592f63b53c0ae05d1ca3fa8d80b30027781f1be7",
      "slug": "will-trump-resign-by-december-31-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "131334.7227",
      "startDate": "2025-07-25T18:48:12.574083Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-resign-in-2025-xcz2AkFjPF5X.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-resign-in-2025-xcz2AkFjPF5X.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]",
      "volume": "409410.1315659987",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "0xD4E82534c9d710e3dBD1d10559a89bAeAceA5f79",
      "createdAt": "2025-07-25T18:31:13.211546Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-02T04:17:52.153051Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x157Ce2d672854c848c9b79C49a8Cc6cc89176a49",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0xf089f019a6e13472f9617441bb74e52f4897ad1fd2591514cbda5ff811669ab9",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 409410.1315659987,
      "liquidityNum": 131334.7227,
      "endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
      "startDateIso": "2025-07-25",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 651.9922959999999,
      "volume1wk": 6062.2350369999995,
      "volume1mo": 38611.88105499999,
      "volume1yr": 409410.1315660006,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"82496570332984679554195177789706736795170417640692739176832196524671988217379\", \"74453252193148717007972627387565739933229360141591660605434616142548704822067\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 651.9922959999999,
      "volume1wkClob": 6062.2350369999995,
      "volume1moClob": 38611.88105499999,
      "volume1yrClob": 409410.1315660006,
      "volumeClob": 409410.1315659987,
      "liquidityClob": 131334.7227,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-07-25T18:47:53Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8408837688410519,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "clobRewards": [
        {
          "id": "29980",
          "conditionId": "0x448f73e89890ae9d0e42ad0b592f63b53c0ae05d1ca3fa8d80b30027781f1be7",
          "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
          "rewardsAmount": 0,
          "rewardsDailyRate": 1,
          "startDate": "2025-07-25",
          "endDate": "2500-12-31"
        }
      ],
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.01,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.01,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.06,
      "bestBid": 0.06,
      "bestAsk": 0.07,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-07-25T18:47:12.49744Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "126",
      "label": "Trump",
      "slug": "trump",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:23:16.384+00",
      "updatedBy": 15,
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:23:16.39Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:19:01.330974Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "101191",
      "label": "Trump Presidency",
      "slug": "trump-presidency",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2024-11-06T04:59:43.354523Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:29:44.096309Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "2",
      "label": "Politics",
      "slug": "politics",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:26.76623Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": true,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "cumulativeMarkets": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus prices \"No\" at 93.5% on President Trump resigning by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any official statements, health issues, or impeachment pressures indicating an early exit from his second term. Recent partisan speculation, including Democratic strategist James Carville's repeated predictions over the past two weeks that Trump would resign post-2026 midterms for a pardon from Vice President JD Vance amid potential investigations, has failed to sway markets, viewed as unsubstantiated wishful thinking absent Republican corroboration. Trump remains actively engaged, recently addressing Iran ceasefire talks and threatening NATO withdrawal, signaling commitment to his agenda through the November midterms and beyond. Historical precedent underscores rarity of voluntary resignations without existential scandals.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T20:50:53.164Z"
  }
}