
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amazon's Purchases of Property and Equipment (capital expenditures) for the full year of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
Ticker
amazon-2026-capex-above
Volume
19.7K
Open interest
4.2K
Liquidity
2.9K
Liquidity CLOB
2.9K
Start
Apr 23, 2026
End
Apr 30, 2027
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 23, 2026
Event ID
407875
Slug
amazon-2026-capex-above
Markets
6
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"ticker": "amazon-2026-capex-above",
"slug": "amazon-2026-capex-above",
"title": "Amazon 2026 capex above ___?",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Amazon's Purchases of Property and Equipment (capital expenditures) for the full year of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n \nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n \nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n \nIf the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n \nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n \nThe resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n \nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.",
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"startDate": "2026-04-23T22:20:36.253Z",
"creationDate": "2026-04-23T22:32:24.498934Z",
"endDate": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/amazon-2026-capex-above-DG7onRmv_FxK.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/amazon-2026-capex-above-DG7onRmv_FxK.png",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
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"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 2902.28534,
"volume": 19687.499301000003,
"openInterest": 4207.175455,
"createdAt": "2026-04-22T22:45:14.30953Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-18T17:36:30.198375Z",
"competitive": 0.9518143961927424,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 2902.28534,
"negRisk": false,
"commentCount": 1,
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{
"id": "2055343",
"question": "Amazon 2026 capex above $170B?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Amazon's Purchases of Property and Equipment (capital expenditures) for the full year of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n \nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n \nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n \nIf the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n \nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n \nThe resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n \nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.",
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"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-23T22:24:54Z",
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{
"id": "2055344",
"question": "Amazon 2026 capex above $180B?",
"conditionId": "0x0a1a5f0cd3445aee7ec41eb2756dada597876031c718f31a9bf6ddde8250be6f",
"slug": "amazon-2026-capex-above-180b",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "453.0673",
"startDate": "2026-04-23T22:20:36.253Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/amazon-2026-capex-above-DG7onRmv_FxK.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/amazon-2026-capex-above-DG7onRmv_FxK.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Amazon's Purchases of Property and Equipment (capital expenditures) for the full year of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n \nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n \nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n \nIf the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n \nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n \nThe resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n \nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.",
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"volume": "6052.363955000001",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
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"makerBaseFee": 1000,
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"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-23T22:19:32Z",
"cyom": false,
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"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
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"automaticallyActive": true,
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"seriesColor": "",
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"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
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{
"id": "2055345",
"question": "Amazon 2026 capex above $190B?",
"conditionId": "0xc912d612601be1e8327b80a1913aea4acc2f4e704eb308f892c84e2d245e7fe5",
"slug": "amazon-2026-capex-above-190b",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
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"startDate": "2026-04-23T22:25:50.946Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/amazon-2026-capex-above-DG7onRmv_FxK.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/amazon-2026-capex-above-DG7onRmv_FxK.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Amazon's Purchases of Property and Equipment (capital expenditures) for the full year of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n \nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n \nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n \nIf the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n \nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n \nThe resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n \nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.",
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{
"id": "2055346",
"question": "Amazon 2026 capex above $200B?",
"conditionId": "0xbf0eb943d3f042c9cd56b2fde526ddfb5ce6ed35af9599e30662dd547f1c5e66",
"slug": "amazon-2026-capex-above-200b",
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"endDate": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
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"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/amazon-2026-capex-above-DG7onRmv_FxK.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Amazon's Purchases of Property and Equipment (capital expenditures) for the full year of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n \nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n \nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n \nIf the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n \nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n \nThe resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n \nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.",
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}Tickers mapped from the event's catalyst themes.
Apple Inc.
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Alphabet Inc. Class A
AI events can shift accelerator demand, cloud capex, networking spend, server demand, and software sentiment.
Alphabet Inc. (Class C)
AI events can shift accelerator demand, cloud capex, networking spend, server demand, and software sentiment.
Meta Platforms Inc.
AI events can shift accelerator demand, cloud capex, networking spend, server demand, and software sentiment.
Amazon.com Inc.
AI events can shift accelerator demand, cloud capex, networking spend, server demand, and software sentiment.
NVIDIA Corporation
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Microsoft Corporation
AI events can shift accelerator demand, cloud capex, networking spend, server demand, and software sentiment.
Broadcom Inc.
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Netflix Inc.
Regulatory outcomes can affect business models, take rates, ad targeting, app-store economics, and breakup risk.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Uber Technologies Inc.
Autonomy milestones can change EV sentiment, ride-share competition, mapping demand, sensor demand, and fleet economics.
Airbnb
Regulatory outcomes can affect business models, take rates, ad targeting, app-store economics, and breakup risk.
ASML Holding N.V.
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.