
Prediction market · Polymarket
This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure. If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ticker
core-pce-yoy-july-2026-20260731151537
Volume
46.5K
24h volume
6.6K
1w volume
22.3K
Open interest
6.3K
Liquidity
10.5K
Liquidity CLOB
10.5K
Start
Jul 31, 2026
End
Aug 26, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jul 31, 2026
Event ID
779109
Slug
core-pce-yoy-july-2026-20260731151537
Markets
7
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"resolutionSource": "",
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"creationDate": "2026-07-31T23:47:08.33338Z",
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"question": "Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% or less in July?",
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"question": "Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in July?",
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"resolutionSource": "",
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}Tickers mapped from the event's catalyst themes.
Walmart Inc.
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
Target Corporation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
Costco Wholesale Corporation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
Dollar General
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
Dollar Tree
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
Procter & Gamble Company
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
PepsiCo Inc.
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
Coca-Cola Company
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
McDonald's Corporation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
Starbucks Corporation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
NIKE Inc.
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
Home Depot Inc.
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
Lowe's Companies Inc.
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.