How high will inflation get in 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Ticker
how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2026
Volume
1.4M
24h volume
9.2K
1w volume
24.4K
Open interest
172.7K
Liquidity
71.9K
Liquidity CLOB
71.9K
Start
Nov 13, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 13, 2025
Event ID
80773
Slug
how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2026
Markets
8
Raw event data
{
"id": "80773",
"ticker": "how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2026",
"slug": "how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2026",
"title": "How high will inflation get in 2026?",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nThis market may not resolve to \"No\" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2025-11-13T21:32:45.893Z",
"creationDate": "2025-11-13T21:37:04.233898Z",
"endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2025-uvsYb27mqBpZ.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2025-uvsYb27mqBpZ.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 71907.13693,
"volume": 1385097.9187489962,
"openInterest": 172699.429054,
"createdAt": "2025-11-13T18:57:50.820382Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-18T17:42:30.053882Z",
"competitive": 0.8767123287671234,
"volume24hr": 9184.02475,
"volume1wk": 24430.206408000002,
"volume1mo": 61800.7419,
"volume1yr": 535151.2932259999,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 71907.13693,
"negRisk": false,
"commentCount": 37,
"markets": [
{
"id": "2241741",
"question": "Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xf4a457c3a455917897fd89aa7d1cea256a8b325eded3c05c7ff771c948fbeaad",
"slug": "will-inflation-reach-more-than-4pt5-in-2026",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "12540.2134",
"startDate": "2026-05-12T14:45:40.339971Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2025-uvsYb27mqBpZ.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2025-uvsYb27mqBpZ.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nThis market may not resolve to \"No\" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.125\", \"0.875\"]",
"volume": "159541.93754699998",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-05-12T14:41:46.040017Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-18T17:42:07.83724Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Above 4.5%",
"groupItemThreshold": "3",
"questionID": "0xcbc10c4e2e6da6021bdd7c3cfbc0ac771e3367bcb36cbf6395a94a3e7ab91584",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 159541.93754699998,
"liquidityNum": 12540.2134,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-05-12",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 6662.633939,
"volume1wk": 15484.763939,
"volume1mo": 30945.716067,
"volume1yr": 159541.937547,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"74673761985513157199971989678705947308950428080518161992747749503329915181832\", \"21769847188346037859472757545480650964035482557504606259957008452341115862340\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 6662.633939,
"volume1wkClob": 15484.763939,
"volume1moClob": 30945.716067,
"volume1yrClob": 159541.937547,
"volumeClob": 159541.93754699998,
"liquidityClob": 12540.2134,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-05-12T14:44:44Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8767123287671234,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "340691",
"conditionId": "0xf4a457c3a455917897fd89aa7d1cea256a8b325eded3c05c7ff771c948fbeaad",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 5,
"startDate": "2026-05-12",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.01,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.04,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.08,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.115,
"lastTradePrice": 0.13,
"bestBid": 0.12,
"bestAsk": 0.13,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-05-12T14:42:25.349192Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "economics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.05,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "680949",
"question": "Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xcd01256212f10704b528e9c86dba7fb9e55a5eeab4a7d7051e25512bb2636b2d",
"slug": "will-inflation-reach-more-than-3-in-2026",
"endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2025-11-13T21:32:45.637552Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2025-uvsYb27mqBpZ.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2025-uvsYb27mqBpZ.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nThis market may not resolve to \"No\" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"1\", \"0\"]",
"volume": "280044.82733599906",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-11-13T18:57:51.727048Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-28T11:03:59.263227Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-10 15:39:55+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Above 3%",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0xa6c755ab14bcb6664fcc0903c92d3da6a873d47e8394b5d9bc42944fd60226b0",
"umaEndDate": "2026-04-10T15:39:55Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 280044.82733599906,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
"startDateIso": "2025-11-13",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"6478474356831359523032969262014082686922886129187075898439624325202312555669\", \"36378311265709846060859255962129667010780913173065483696749977329500251096213\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 280044.82733599906,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-13T21:32:24Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 200,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.0145,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.003,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.2445,
"lastTradePrice": 0.999,
"bestBid": 0.999,
"bestAsk": 1,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-13T21:31:56.236752Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "economics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.05,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "680950",
"question": "Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x1f61db83c47fc787f44997af53d517cc4775e813b169d0b8ae2ad3bff316d052",
"slug": "will-inflation-reach-more-than-4-in-2026-669",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2025-11-13T21:32:49.982Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2025-uvsYb27mqBpZ.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2025-uvsYb27mqBpZ.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nThis market may not resolve to \"No\" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"1\", \"0\"]",
"volume": "292441.7298519972",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-11-13T18:57:52.264722Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-06-11T14:29:35.137782Z",
"closedTime": "2026-06-10 15:09:04+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Above 4%",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0x933606e4d4cd640e026823796fa3263e182b01ddbb573aa08d21e9bcdd97fbd1",
"umaEndDate": "2026-06-10T15:09:04Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 292441.7298519972,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
"startDateIso": "2025-11-13",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"77809380206760496358055332023206786694120788116551923604170177964424180121482\", \"106318720808383838350232661991142011357620427939736042423455604487806219988373\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 292441.7298519972,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-13T21:32:28Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.02,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.0225,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.1845,
"lastTradePrice": 0.999,
"bestBid": 0.999,
"bestAsk": 1,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-13T21:31:56.242128Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "economics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.05,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "680951",
"question": "Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xa792f029046f2c926ee81c7d9802c21a4a651d33cf7e1bf991ba800ae002f59f",
"slug": "will-inflation-reach-more-than-5-in-2026-282-763",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "32170.7446",
"startDate": "2025-11-13T21:32:45.893Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2025-uvsYb27mqBpZ.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2025-uvsYb27mqBpZ.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nThis market may not resolve to \"No\" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]",
"volume": "309396.9574630002",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-11-13T18:57:52.747811Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-18T17:42:07.83724Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Above 5%",
"groupItemThreshold": "4",
"questionID": "0xb8f3497c70152edaec3105bed2e88eb16266f23346a3541f105c08bf2928e9ae",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 309396.9574630002,
"liquidityNum": 32170.7446,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
"startDateIso": "2025-11-13",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 721.9308110000001,
"volume1wk": 5764.227181,
"volume1mo": 25930.870544999998,
"volume1yr": 309396.95746299997,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"72304052873611261335260464672644781804557218671425470569977240802446584805659\", \"11081619591501953852528312348772244656084481473875428225808210773881723232493\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 721.9308110000001,
"volume1wkClob": 5764.227181,
"volume1moClob": 25930.870544999998,
"volume1yrClob": 309396.95746299997,
"volumeClob": 309396.9574630002,
"liquidityClob": 32170.7446,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-13T21:32:24Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8408837688410519,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "339688",
"conditionId": "0xa792f029046f2c926ee81c7d9802c21a4a651d33cf7e1bf991ba800ae002f59f",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 5,
"startDate": "2026-05-12",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.01,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.015,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.055,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.08,
"lastTradePrice": 0.07,
"bestBid": 0.06,
"bestAsk": 0.07,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-13T21:31:56.233983Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "economics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.05,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "680952",
"question": "Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xa7abe7ea40a00434c712a8e164a9fd0b2337110659ae1fe7333698d95ef2d657",
"slug": "will-inflation-reach-more-than-6-in-2026-978-634",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "8271.31559",
"startDate": "2025-11-13T21:32:49.728Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2025-uvsYb27mqBpZ.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2025-uvsYb27mqBpZ.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nThis market may not resolve to \"No\" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0375\", \"0.9625\"]",
"volume": "66212.398216",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-11-13T18:57:53.203703Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-18T17:42:07.83724Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Above 6%",
"groupItemThreshold": "5",
"questionID": "0xfa7c39d2b6f78c5b5b0fd5d202d5424f107e961d1107c11cab6e4ab726f0fbac",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 66212.398216,
"liquidityNum": 8271.31559,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
"startDateIso": "2025-11-13",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 1799.46,
"volume1wk": 3181.215288,
"volume1mo": 4924.155288,
"volume1yr": 66212.39821599999,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"2994355092890753835421952142336847942524552167232147341214694471416589146406\", \"115633171192844413829178933967688137861383199420540398213776179560955354413016\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 1799.46,
"volume1wkClob": 3181.215288,
"volume1moClob": 4924.155288,
"volume1yrClob": 66212.39821599999,
"volumeClob": 66212.398216,
"liquidityClob": 8271.31559,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-13T21:32:28Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8237868451538164,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 200,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.007,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.002,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.003,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.024,
"lastTradePrice": 0.033,
"bestBid": 0.034,
"bestAsk": 0.041,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-13T21:31:56.244603Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "economics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.05,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "680953",
"question": "Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x04a83249c976c072e7795b7a00e35ff42ab4c68cf55455ce14d61c2025ff4ddd",
"slug": "will-inflation-reach-more-than-8-in-2026-897-311",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "3622.52757",
"startDate": "2025-11-13T21:32:48.217Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2025-uvsYb27mqBpZ.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2025-uvsYb27mqBpZ.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nThis market may not resolve to \"No\" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0365\", \"0.9635\"]",
"volume": "42054.48382900001",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-11-13T18:57:53.67267Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-18T17:42:07.83724Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Above 8%",
"groupItemThreshold": "6",
"questionID": "0x6e13eba745779d5ad862edc33664a9a13ac55e10328902d2326df3a9af70b320",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 42054.48382900001,
"liquidityNum": 3622.52757,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
"startDateIso": "2025-11-13",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"58258390069175430583739342934793095317247919459371029992606946923807586356465\", \"31370790514255476984753308706114064577144633848443373130192326257576637404536\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 42054.48382900001,
"liquidityClob": 3622.52757,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-13T21:32:26Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8231589176201076,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 100,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.027,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.0135,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.0045,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.0155,
"lastTradePrice": 0.021,
"bestBid": 0.023,
"bestAsk": 0.05,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-13T21:31:56.231532Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "economics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.05,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "680954",
"question": "Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x024418fa74e0a95fe9102b5681b73fdc18b7729edbb6550f6322845084c74fea",
"slug": "will-inflation-reach-more-than-10-in-2026-741",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "15010.0627",
"startDate": "2025-11-13T21:32:50.238Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2025-uvsYb27mqBpZ.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2025-uvsYb27mqBpZ.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nThis market may not resolve to \"No\" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.031\", \"0.969\"]",
"volume": "58706.398748000014",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-11-13T18:57:54.178376Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-18T17:42:07.83724Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Above 10%",
"groupItemThreshold": "6",
"questionID": "0xe0912af633114fc088071aeb29f3abdaceb9efa9b4001074fd0d0da3319e8e1d",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 58706.398748000014,
"liquidityNum": 15010.0627,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
"startDateIso": "2025-11-13",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"767313090619807826078795132250383167293948459067280703809263365919638960162\", \"10153831923325880603381379908339829878083120649911689146876869023280998215166\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 58706.398748000014,
"liquidityClob": 15010.0627,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-13T21:32:28Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8196983346188936,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "374400",
"conditionId": "0x024418fa74e0a95fe9102b5681b73fdc18b7729edbb6550f6322845084c74fea",
"assetAddress": "0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 0.001,
"startDate": "2026-05-18",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 100,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.006,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0025,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0015,
"lastTradePrice": 0.03,
"bestBid": 0.028,
"bestAsk": 0.034,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-13T21:31:56.239296Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "economics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.05,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "1665896",
"question": "Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xbef7518445fa4a7c6460d9157e2d4a8097320914988d13a809c486eff50e5c06",
"slug": "will-inflation-reach-more-than-3pt5-in-2026-154",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-20T21:44:44.124Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2025-uvsYb27mqBpZ.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2025-uvsYb27mqBpZ.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nThis market may not resolve to \"No\" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"1\", \"0\"]",
"volume": "176699.18575799986",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-20T21:41:39.62899Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-05-13T14:27:22.012048Z",
"closedTime": "2026-05-12 15:03:11+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Above 3.5%",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0x4875bd813600a6f8fd8fb505fe407ed44f4236a32ec57fc2423ad37039f7e524",
"umaEndDate": "2026-05-12T15:03:11Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 176699.18575799986,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-20",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"110773817950849039587117814239345113446666563282132134483524560374665145060775\", \"106535938036992770383536755660055701112562193738748863699791421558824515235213\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 176699.18575799986,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-20T21:43:39Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 0,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 0,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.0005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.013,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.1645,
"lastTradePrice": 0.999,
"bestBid": 0.999,
"bestAsk": 1,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-20T21:42:25.584642Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "economics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.05,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "702",
"label": "Inflation",
"slug": "inflation",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-12-11 19:05:53.075+00",
"createdAt": "2023-12-11T19:05:53.105Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:31:50.167106Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102000",
"label": "Macro Indicators",
"slug": "macro-indicators",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-03-26T21:57:53.430333Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T17:16:07.641202Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100328",
"label": "Economy",
"slug": "economy",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2024-08-05T05:34:54.235643Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:29:06.948273Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "2",
"label": "Politics",
"slug": "politics",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"estimateValue": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Recent July 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation easing to 3.4% year-over-year and core at 2.5%, with shelter and energy components moderating amid fading supply shocks from Middle East tensions. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% through multiple meetings, citing solid growth and labor market conditions while noting inflation remains above the 2% target. Market-implied odds on related contracts reflect trader consensus favoring limited upside, with probabilities for peaks above 4.5% or 5% remaining low. Key near-term catalysts include the September 11 CPI release and the FOMC meeting on September 15-16, alongside any revisions to PCE forecasts that could influence rate path expectations and broader risk sentiment.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-08-18T16:31:50.190Z"
},
"version": "v1"
}Related stocks
Tickers mapped from the event's catalyst themes.
WMT
Walmart Inc.
Consumer inflation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
TGT
Target Corporation
Consumer inflation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
COST
Costco Wholesale Corporation
Consumer inflation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
DG
Dollar General
Consumer inflation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
DLTR
Dollar Tree
Consumer inflation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
PG
Procter & Gamble Company
Consumer inflation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
PEP
PepsiCo Inc.
Consumer inflation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
KO
Coca-Cola Company
Consumer inflation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
MCD
McDonald's Corporation
Consumer inflation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
SBUX
Starbucks Corporation
Consumer inflation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
NKE
NIKE Inc.
Consumer inflation
Inflation and consumer stress can move unit demand, basket size, traffic, and margin pressure for retailers and consumer brands.
HD
Home Depot Inc.
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
LOW
Lowe's Companies Inc.
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
- Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?Vol 292.4KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
- Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?Vol 280.0KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
- Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?Vol 176.7KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
- Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Vol 159.5KLiq 12.5KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Vol 309.4KLiq 32.2KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?Vol 66.2KLiq 8.3KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?Vol 42.1KLiq 3.6KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?Vol 58.7KLiq 15.0KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book