Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

{
  "id": "149793",
  "ticker": "will-the-doge-1-lunar-mission-launch-before-2027",
  "slug": "will-the-doge-1-lunar-mission-launch-before-2027",
  "title": "Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?",
  "description": "If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.\n\nAny subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2026-01-07T23:09:00.166576Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-01-07T23:11:01.061875Z",
  "endDate": "2027-12-31T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-doge-1-lunar-mission-launch-before-2027-wrmn3EafBT0g.jpg",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-doge-1-lunar-mission-launch-before-2027-wrmn3EafBT0g.jpg",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 74072.52619,
  "volume": 935339.4176659997,
  "openInterest": 236431.966859,
  "createdAt": "2026-01-07T20:29:56.712081Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-08-18T16:04:31.065078Z",
  "competitive": 0.8209580744920938,
  "volume24hr": 30.7,
  "volume1wk": 62637.09789799999,
  "volume1mo": 84262.13789799999,
  "volume1yr": 935262.7487659999,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 74072.52619,
  "negRisk": false,
  "commentCount": 45,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "2479829",
      "question": "Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by June 30, 2027?",
      "conditionId": "0x929725f3165dc1f8597bfabb5058938f340457279dcec5fac8414b19ae90922f",
      "slug": "will-the-doge-1-lunar-mission-launch-by-june-30-2027",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "5620.2202",
      "startDate": "2026-06-09T16:21:43.480852Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-doge-1-lunar-mission-launch-before-2027-wrmn3EafBT0g.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-doge-1-lunar-mission-launch-before-2027-wrmn3EafBT0g.jpg",
      "description": "If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.\n\nAny subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.535\", \"0.465\"]",
      "volume": "1.0989",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-06-09T16:19:04.508963Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-08-18T16:04:08.708723Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "June 30, 2027",
      "groupItemThreshold": "1",
      "questionID": "0xce6578b42f12c38cdf5814f23857c524d07557eb09422791af1f331fe774297d",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 1.0989,
      "liquidityNum": 5620.2202,
      "endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
      "startDateIso": "2026-06-09",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"65650658022855191591515231557780142185344115564911494253164538292237156591356\", \"39386036311291311082686522015219218059091578146627465443153390141009410086330\"]",
      "comboStatus": "disabled",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volumeClob": 1.0989,
      "liquidityClob": 5620.2202,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-06-09T16:20:55Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.3895228345277036,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.61,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.095,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.005,
      "bestBid": 0.23,
      "bestAsk": 0.84,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "seriesColor": "",
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-06-09T16:19:55.911614Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null,
      "version": "v1"
    },
    {
      "id": "2479830",
      "question": "Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2027?",
      "conditionId": "0x10b976548379f4303d51236abbd161095c70aecff1f6d846eff06a505cef254e",
      "slug": "will-the-doge-1-lunar-mission-launch-by-december-31-2027",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "3851.4839",
      "startDate": "2026-06-09T16:21:45.528648Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-doge-1-lunar-mission-launch-before-2027-wrmn3EafBT0g.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-doge-1-lunar-mission-launch-before-2027-wrmn3EafBT0g.jpg",
      "description": "If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.\n\nAny subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.675\", \"0.325\"]",
      "volume": "80.72",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-06-09T16:19:32.859362Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-08-18T16:04:08.708723Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "December 31, 2027",
      "groupItemThreshold": "2",
      "questionID": "0x7be2f03619dba4d7dc955f26e7fd78169beb67643261f752f03f053b1993a0cf",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 80.72,
      "liquidityNum": 3851.4839,
      "endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
      "startDateIso": "2026-06-09",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"5062396271959681601700091076065426973473658589877926102479393103456593204217\", \"89193706267618144718502168957863410527734752739612577203089621390971081314047\"]",
      "comboStatus": "disabled",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volumeClob": 80.72,
      "liquidityClob": 3851.4839,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-06-09T16:20:57Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.6306852637962401,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "clobRewards": [
        {
          "id": "450224",
          "conditionId": "0x10b976548379f4303d51236abbd161095c70aecff1f6d846eff06a505cef254e",
          "assetAddress": "0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb",
          "rewardsAmount": 0,
          "rewardsDailyRate": 0.001,
          "startDate": "2026-06-13",
          "endDate": "2500-12-31"
        }
      ],
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.35,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.15,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": 0.15,
      "bestBid": 0.5,
      "bestAsk": 0.85,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "seriesColor": "",
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-06-09T16:19:55.914037Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null,
      "version": "v1"
    },
    {
      "id": "1131150",
      "question": "Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x1f45664dbc61a1044feaa1fcb773bda82e0a936da8cdb2cf3c06125c0f2a4826",
      "slug": "will-the-doge-1-lunar-mission-launch-before-2027",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "64589.75804",
      "startDate": "2026-01-07T23:09:00.166576Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-doge-1-lunar-mission-launch-before-2027-wrmn3EafBT0g.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-doge-1-lunar-mission-launch-before-2027-wrmn3EafBT0g.jpg",
      "description": "If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.\n\nAny subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.033\", \"0.967\"]",
      "volume": "935257.5987659997",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-01-07T20:29:57.457349Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-08-18T16:04:08.708723Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "December 31, 2026",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0x1476b588edb5d0ea7416d325da95d928bf7fd08f93589c53acd637e0d12af76b",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 935257.5987659997,
      "liquidityNum": 64589.75804,
      "endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
      "startDateIso": "2026-01-07",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 30.7,
      "volume1wk": 62637.09789799999,
      "volume1mo": 84262.13789799999,
      "volume1yr": 935262.7487659999,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"24532244971331469081136591021496807808109838335579455403786547950699236092433\", \"20115696851573188378191998818216679952228452617151380017697522622149021390888\"]",
      "comboStatus": "disabled",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 30.7,
      "volume1wkClob": 62637.09789799999,
      "volume1moClob": 84262.13789799999,
      "volume1yrClob": 935262.7487659999,
      "volumeClob": 935257.5987659997,
      "liquidityClob": 64589.75804,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-07T23:08:37Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8209580744920938,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 0,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 0,
      "spread": 0.004,
      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0075,
      "oneHourPriceChange": -0.005,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.05,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0785,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.032,
      "bestBid": 0.031,
      "bestAsk": 0.035,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "seriesColor": "",
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-07T23:07:51.015148Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null,
      "version": "v1"
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "596",
      "label": "Culture",
      "slug": "pop-culture",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "63",
      "label": "SpaceX",
      "slug": "spacex",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:15:23.311+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:15:23.316Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:33:38.558326Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "1325",
      "label": "Space",
      "slug": "space",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2024-02-14 20:38:45.407+00",
      "createdAt": "2024-02-14T20:38:45.417Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:21:14.178474Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "74",
      "label": "Science",
      "slug": "science",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:20.623+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:20.826Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:33:38.571503Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": false,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "gmpChartMode": "default",
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Recent scheduling shifts and reported postponements have tempered trader confidence in the Doge-1 CubeSat reaching its September 2026 launch window on a SpaceX Falcon 9 rideshare. The crypto-funded lunar mission, backed by Geometric Energy Corporation and long tied to Dogecoin hype, maintains an active countdown on its official site targeting mid-September, yet industry trackers note a slip to a later slot amid ongoing manifest adjustments. Historical delays, lunar alignment requirements, and Elon Musk's earlier 2027 comments underscore the volatility, with fresh payload integration updates or official confirmations likely to swing the market-implied odds ahead of any final resolution.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-08-18T16:01:57.978Z"
  },
  "version": "v1"
}