Fed rate hike in 2026?

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    "context_description": "Persistent inflation pressures from energy price spikes tied to geopolitical tensions have prompted the FOMC's June dot plot to show a median expectation of one 25-basis-point hike by year-end 2026, with nine of 18 participants projecting higher rates. This balances against recent CPI moderation, stable labor markets, and economist surveys favoring a hold at the 3.50-3.75% target range through December. Market-implied odds near 50% reflect uncertainty around Chair Warsh's hawkish stance versus data-dependent caution. The September 16-17 FOMC meeting, upcoming PCE releases, and any escalation in supply shocks could shift the consensus decisively.",
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